Rubin vs Fakel — Premier League
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Rubin and Fakel meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Rubin have recorded 9 wins from 27 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Fakel have won 25% of their 28 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Rubin and 1.31 for Fakel. The models give Rubin a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Fakel win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Rubin—
Fakel11º
Position
16º
1.00
PPG
0.50
17%
Win %
8%
1.00
Goals / game
0.67
1.50
Conceded / game
1.67
59%
BTTS %
54%
22%
Clean sheet %
21%
33%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.9
Avg corners
4.5
10.1
Avg shots
10.3
3.1
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
13.2
Avg fouls
15.1
48.9%
Avg possession
45.4%
Home vs Away
Rubin
Home (6)
—
Fakel
Away (5)
0.83
PPG
0.60
17%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.80
53%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
21%
27%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.9
Avg corners
4.5
10.1
Avg shots
10.3
3.1
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
48.9%
Avg possession
45.4%
Goals Scored
| Rubin | Home | Away | Fakel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 87% | 67% | 68% | 57% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 7% | 17% | 11% | 21% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 13% | 33% | 32% | 43% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Rubin | Home | Away | Fakel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 67% | 92% | 79% | 79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 27% | 17% | 32% | 29% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 33% | 8% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rubin | Fakel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 14% |
| BTTS | 59% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rubin | Fakel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Rubin (H)L
Krylia Sovetov0–2
Krylia Sovetov0–2L
FC Orenburg1–4
FC Orenburg1–4L
Dynamo0–1
Dynamo0–1D
Akhmat1–1
Akhmat1–1W
Dinamo Makhachkala3–1
Dinamo Makhachkala3–1D
Spartak Moscow1–1
Spartak Moscow1–1Fakel (A)WKrylia Sovetov2–1
Krylia Sovetov2–1W
FC Krasnodar2–0
FC Krasnodar2–0LSpartak Moscow0–1
Spartak Moscow0–1L
FC Rostov1–3
FC Rostov1–3LAkhmat1–2
Akhmat1–2L
CSKA Moscow0–1
CSKA Moscow0–1Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
8.8
93 games
9.6
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Rubin | Fakel | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 79% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 79% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 64% | 46% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 57% | 37% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 29% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 21% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 21% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 14% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rubin | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 36% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 50% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Rubin
57%
2
Draws
29%
1
Fakel
14%
43%
Over 1.5
3/7
29%
Over 2.5
2/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
27/04/25Fakel
Rubin
2–1Fakel01/10/24Fakel
Rubin
0–1Fakel27/09/24Rubin
Fakel
0–0Rubin27/08/24Rubin
Fakel
0–2Rubin26/11/23Fakel
Rubin
1–0Fakel25/09/23Rubin
Fakel
0–1Rubin20/01/22Fakel
Rubin
4–4Fakel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Zenit | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 | FC Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 23 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 |  Baltika | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | FC Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Rubin | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 |  Akron | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 |  Lokomotiv | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 | Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moskva | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Rubin- ●Rubin have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Rubin have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Rubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Rubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Rubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Rubin have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Fakel- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Fakel have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fakel have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fakel have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Fakel's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
RubinLHKrylia Sovetov0–2
Krylia Sovetov0–2LASpartak Moscow0–4
Spartak Moscow0–4LHDynamo0–1
Dynamo0–1DARodina Moskva1–1
Rodina Moskva1–1DACSKA Moscow1–1
CSKA Moscow1–1DHAkhmat1–1
Akhmat1–1–HFakel31/10
Fakel31/10–ALokomotiv06/11
Lokomotiv06/11–HZenit21/11
Zenit21/11FakelLHRodina Moskva0–1
Rodina Moskva0–1WAKrylia Sovetov2–1
Krylia Sovetov2–1LHLokomotiv0–5
Lokomotiv0–5LASpartak Moscow0–1
Spartak Moscow0–1DHBaltika2–2
Baltika2–2LAFC Rostov1–3
FC Rostov1–3–ARubin31/10
Rubin31/10–HDynamo07/11
Dynamo07/11–AAkron21/11
Akron21/11Top Scorers
RubinA. Jukic4 ⚽
J. Siwe4 ⚽
M. Daku3 ⚽
Jacques Siwe2 ⚽
Anderson Arroyo2 ⚽
N. Gripshi2 ⚽
FakelM. Turishchev3 ⚽
B. Pusi2 ⚽
A. Gnapi Dable2 ⚽
A. Sutormin1 ⚽
Aleksandr Koksharov1 ⚽
Abdula Bagamaev1 ⚽
Cards Given
Rubin5 🟨
Jakhongir Urozov4 🟨
V. Hodza3 🟨
I. Rozhkov3 🟨
Jacques Siwe2 🟨
A. Jukic2 🟨
FakelAlbert Gabaraev4 🟨
D. Todorovic2 🟨
Aleksey Sutormin2 🟨
Abdula Bagamaev2 🟨
B. Magomedov2 🟨
Matvey Bardachev2 🟨