Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat — First League
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Dečić and Arsenal Tivat meet in the First League 2026 season on 9 December 2026. Dečić have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Arsenal Tivat have won 10% of their 21 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Dečić and 0.89 for Arsenal Tivat. The models give Dečić a 49% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Arsenal Tivat win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Dečić—
Arsenal Tivat6º
Position
10º
1.50
PPG
0.75
42%
Win %
8%
1.00
Goals / game
0.75
0.83
Conceded / game
1.33
33%
BTTS %
52%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
22%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Dečić
Home (7)
—
Arsenal Tivat
Away (6)
1.71
PPG
1.17
43%
Win %
17%
1.00
Goals / game
1.17
0.57
Conceded / game
1.50
56%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Dečić | Home | Away | Arsenal Tivat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 78% | 33% | 57% | 56% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 22% | 67% | 43% | 44% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Dečić | Home | Away | Arsenal Tivat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 11% | 33% | 57% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 11% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dečić | Arsenal Tivat | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 24% |
| BTTS | 33% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dečić | Arsenal Tivat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 61% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Dečić (H)W
Otrant-Olympic2–0
Otrant-Olympic2–0L
Buducnost Podgorica0–1
Buducnost Podgorica0–1D
Mornar1–1
Mornar1–1D
Petrovac1–1
Petrovac1–1W
Jezero2–1
Jezero2–1W
Bokelj1–0
Bokelj1–0Arsenal Tivat (A)LOtrant-Olympic1–3
Otrant-Olympic1–3DBuducnost Podgorica3–3
Buducnost Podgorica3–3WPetrovac2–1
Petrovac2–1LJezero2–5
Jezero2–5DBokelj0–0
Bokelj0–0DMornar0–0
Mornar0–0Head to Head · 25 matches
9
Dečić
36%
9
Draws
36%
7
Arsenal Tivat
28%
56%
Over 1.5
14/25
44%
Over 2.5
11/25
32%
Over 3.5
8/25
44%
BTTS
11/25
02/08/26Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0–0Arsenal Tivat04/07/26Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
4–1Arsenal Tivat20/05/26Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1–2Arsenal Tivat21/03/26Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0–1Dečić30/11/25Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
4–2Arsenal Tivat21/09/25Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1–1Dečić12/04/25Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1–0Dečić22/02/25Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0–0Arsenal Tivat06/10/24Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0–0Dečić18/09/24Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1–3Arsenal Tivat25/05/24Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
3–1Arsenal Tivat30/03/24Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0–2Dečić02/12/23Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0–1Arsenal Tivat23/09/23Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0–1Dečić14/05/23Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0–0Dečić12/03/23Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0–0Arsenal Tivat12/11/22Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1–2Dečić03/09/22Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2–4Arsenal Tivat10/06/20Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
3–0Dečić10/11/19Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
4–1Arsenal Tivat| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buducnost Podgorica | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Sutjeska | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 | Mornar | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 | Otrant-Olympic | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | Bokelj | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Dečić | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Petrovac | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Jezero | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
Team Insights
Dečić- ●Dečić have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dečić have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Dečić have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Arsenal Tivat- ●Arsenal Tivat have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Arsenal Tivat's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Arsenal Tivat's points have been earned away.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DečićLAJezero0–1
Jezero0–1WHOtrant-Olympic2–0
Otrant-Olympic2–0LABokelj0–2
Bokelj0–2LHBuducnost Podgorica0–1
Buducnost Podgorica0–1DHMornar1–1
Mornar1–1LASutjeska0–2
Sutjeska0–2–HMladost DG07/11
Mladost DG07/11–APetrovac21/11
Petrovac21/11–HSutjeska29/11
Sutjeska29/11Arsenal TivatLAOtrant-Olympic1–3
Otrant-Olympic1–3DHBokelj0–0
Bokelj0–0DABuducnost Podgorica3–3
Buducnost Podgorica3–3LHMornar1–2
Mornar1–2LHSutjeska0–2
Sutjeska0–2WAPetrovac2–1
Petrovac2–1–HJezero07/11
Jezero07/11–AMladost DG21/11
Mladost DG21/11–HPetrovac29/11
Petrovac29/11Top Scorers
Dečić9 ⚽
B. Radusinovic3 ⚽
M. Djokaj2 ⚽
M. Bozanovic2 ⚽
N. Braunovic2 ⚽
A. Cetkovic1 ⚽
Arsenal TivatI. Vukcevic7 ⚽
M. Djukanovic3 ⚽
P. Raznatovic1 ⚽
P. Soskic1 ⚽
Z. Mikijelj1 ⚽
A. Abdullahi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Dečić5 🟨
N. Braunovic3 🟨
J. Mugosa2 🟨
D. Kontic2 🟨
L. Ujkaj2 🟨
B. Radusinovic1 🟨
Arsenal TivatG. Petovic5 🟨
S. Mandic4 🟨
M. Zivanovic3 🟨
S. Sesay3 🟨
K. Vujacic2 🟨
P. Malisic2 🟨