Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat — First League
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Sutjeska and Arsenal Tivat meet in the First League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Sutjeska have recorded 9 wins from 29 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Arsenal Tivat have won 10% of their 21 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Sutjeska and 1.08 for Arsenal Tivat. The models give Sutjeska a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Arsenal Tivat win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Sutjeska—
Arsenal Tivat2º
Position
10º
1.64
PPG
0.75
43%
Win %
8%
1.36
Goals / game
0.75
0.71
Conceded / game
1.33
38%
BTTS %
52%
38%
Clean sheet %
29%
38%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sutjeska
Home (7)
—
Arsenal Tivat
Away (6)
1.86
PPG
1.17
57%
Win %
17%
2.14
Goals / game
1.17
1.14
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sutjeska | Home | Away | Arsenal Tivat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 78% | 36% | 57% | 56% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 39% | 9% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 22% | 64% | 43% | 44% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Sutjeska | Home | Away | Arsenal Tivat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 67% | 55% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 33% | 18% | 57% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 9% | 43% | 11% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 33% | 45% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sutjeska | Arsenal Tivat | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 24% |
| BTTS | 38% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sutjeska | Arsenal Tivat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Sutjeska (H)D
Jezero2–2
Jezero2–2W
Bokelj4–0
Bokelj4–0D
Dečić0–0
Dečić0–0WDečić2–0
Dečić2–0W
Mornar1–0
Mornar1–0W
Mladost DG5–1
Mladost DG5–1Arsenal Tivat (A)L
Otrant-Olympic1–3
Otrant-Olympic1–3D
Buducnost Podgorica3–3
Buducnost Podgorica3–3W
Petrovac2–1
Petrovac2–1LJezero2–5
Jezero2–5DBokelj0–0
Bokelj0–0DMornar0–0
Mornar0–0Head to Head · 20 matches
8
Sutjeska
40%
9
Draws
45%
3
Arsenal Tivat
15%
80%
Over 1.5
16/20
35%
Over 2.5
7/20
20%
Over 3.5
4/20
55%
BTTS
11/20
19/09/26Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
0–2Sutjeska09/05/26Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1–1Sutjeska11/03/26Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
4–1Arsenal Tivat24/01/26Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
3–0Arsenal Tivat09/11/25Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
0–0Sutjeska13/09/25Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
2–0Arsenal Tivat26/04/25Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1–1Sutjeska02/03/25Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
2–0Arsenal Tivat23/10/24Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
0–1Sutjeska21/08/24Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1–2Arsenal Tivat14/04/24Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1–0Sutjeska24/02/24Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1–1Arsenal Tivat07/10/23Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1–1Sutjeska06/08/23Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
2–2Arsenal Tivat21/06/23Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0–2Arsenal Tivat29/05/23Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1–1Sutjeska25/05/23Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
0–1Sutjeska01/04/23Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
2–2Arsenal Tivat03/12/22Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
2–2Sutjeska17/09/22Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
2–1Arsenal Tivat| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buducnost Podgorica | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 | Sutjeska | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 | Mornar | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 | Otrant-Olympic | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | Bokelj | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Dečić | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Petrovac | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Jezero | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 9 | Mladost DG | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
Team Insights
Sutjeska- ●Sutjeska have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Sutjeska have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sutjeska have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sutjeska have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sutjeska have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sutjeska have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sutjeska have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●79% of Sutjeska's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Sutjeska's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Arsenal Tivat- ●Arsenal Tivat have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Arsenal Tivat's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Arsenal Tivat's points have been earned away.
- ●Arsenal Tivat have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SutjeskaWAMladost DG1–0
Mladost DG1–0DHJezero2–2
Jezero2–2DAOtrant-Olympic1–1
Otrant-Olympic1–1WHBokelj4–0
Bokelj4–0DABuducnost Podgorica0–0
Buducnost Podgorica0–0WAArsenal Tivat2–0
Arsenal Tivat2–0–HPetrovac07/11
Petrovac07/11–AMornar21/11
Mornar21/11–ADečić29/11
Dečić29/11Arsenal TivatLAOtrant-Olympic1–3
Otrant-Olympic1–3DHBokelj0–0
Bokelj0–0DABuducnost Podgorica3–3
Buducnost Podgorica3–3LHMornar1–2
Mornar1–2LHSutjeska0–2
Sutjeska0–2WAPetrovac2–1
Petrovac2–1–HJezero07/11
Jezero07/11–AMladost DG21/11
Mladost DG21/11–HPetrovac29/11
Petrovac29/11Top Scorers
Sutjeska6 ⚽
B. Toskovic6 ⚽
M. Mrvaljevic5 ⚽
A. Boljevic3 ⚽
V. Cavor3 ⚽
M. Simun2 ⚽
Arsenal TivatI. Vukcevic7 ⚽
M. Djukanovic3 ⚽
P. Raznatovic1 ⚽
P. Soskic1 ⚽
Z. Mikijelj1 ⚽
A. Abdullahi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Sutjeska8 🟨
D. Hocko3 🟨
Andrija Ražnatović3 🟨
B. Toskovic3 🟨
A. Raznatovic2 🟨
B. Kopitovic2 🟨
Arsenal TivatG. Petovic5 🟨
S. Mandic4 🟨
M. Zivanovic3 🟨
S. Sesay3 🟨
K. Vujacic2 🟨
P. Malisic2 🟨