Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań — I Liga
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Stal Rzeszów and Warta Poznań meet in the I Liga 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Stal Rzeszów have recorded 10 wins from 29 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Warta Poznań have won 42% of their 24 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Stal Rzeszów and 1.76 for Warta Poznań. The models give Stal Rzeszów a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Warta Poznań win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Stal Rzeszów—
Warta Poznań18º
Position
12º
0.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
5.00
Conceded / game
4.00
69%
BTTS %
63%
17%
Clean sheet %
25%
69%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stal Rzeszów
Home (1)
—
Warta Poznań
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
5.00
Conceded / game
4.00
77%
BTTS %
71%
15%
Clean sheet %
21%
77%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stal Rzeszów | Home | Away | Warta Poznań | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 92% | 75% | 88% | 80% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 54% | 19% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 23% | 13% | 38% | 40% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 8% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Stal Rzeszów | Home | Away | Warta Poznań | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 85% | 81% | 75% | 70% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 54% | 56% | 46% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 8% | 44% | 25% | 10% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 15% | 19% | 25% | 30% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stal Rzeszów | Warta Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 25% |
| BTTS | 69% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stal Rzeszów | Warta Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Stal Rzeszów (H)D
Puszcza Niepołomice2–2
Puszcza Niepołomice2–2L
Lechia Gdansk1–2
Lechia Gdansk1–2W
Polonia Warszawa2–1
Polonia Warszawa2–1W
Podbeskidzie3–0
Podbeskidzie3–0L
Ruch Chorzów0–1
Ruch Chorzów0–1L
Chrobry Głogów1–5
Chrobry Głogów1–5Warta Poznań (A)DPodbeskidzie1–1
Podbeskidzie1–1L
Stal Mielec1–2
Stal Mielec1–2WChrobry Głogów3–1
Chrobry Głogów3–1L
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0–1
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0–1L
Miedz Legnica1–2
Miedz Legnica1–2WChrobry Głogów1–0
Chrobry Głogów1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Stal Rzeszów
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Warta Poznań
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
01/03/25Stal Rzeszów
Warta Poznań
0–1Stal Rzeszów17/08/24Warta Poznań
Stal Rzeszów
4–0Warta Poznań| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Warszawa | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 2 | Lechia Gdansk | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 22 |
| 3 |  ŁKS Łódź | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 21 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzów | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Polonia Bytom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Nieciecza | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 | Warta Poznań | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 10 | Stal Rzeszów | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 |  Pogoń Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 | Chrobry Głogów | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -4 | 13 |
| 17 |  Odra Opole | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |  Unia Skierniewice | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 11 |
Team Insights
Stal Rzeszów- ●Stal Rzeszów failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Stal Rzeszów have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Stal Rzeszów's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Stal Rzeszów's points have been earned away.
- ●Stal Rzeszów have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Warta Poznań- ●Warta Poznań failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Warta Poznań have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●65% of Warta Poznań's goals have been scored away.
- ●82% of Warta Poznań's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Warta Poznań have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Stal RzeszówDHPuszcza Niepołomice2–2
Puszcza Niepołomice2–2LAPodbeskidzie1–2
Podbeskidzie1–2WAPogoń Siedlce4–3
Pogoń Siedlce4–3LHLechia Gdansk1–2
Lechia Gdansk1–2WAMiedz Legnica3–2
Miedz Legnica3–2WAOdra Opole1–0
Odra Opole1–0–AŁKS Łódź08/11
ŁKS Łódź08/11–HPolonia Bytom22/11
Polonia Bytom22/11–ANieciecza28/11
Nieciecza28/11Warta PoznańDAPodbeskidzie1–1
Podbeskidzie1–1LHŁKS Łódź0–1
ŁKS Łódź0–1WHUnia Skierniewice1–0
Unia Skierniewice1–0LAStal Mielec1–2
Stal Mielec1–2WHPuszcza Niepołomice3–2
Puszcza Niepołomice3–2WHArka Gdynia3–0
Arka Gdynia3–0–HPolonia Warszawa07/11
Polonia Warszawa07/11–ARuch Chorzów21/11
Ruch Chorzów21/11–HPogoń Siedlce28/11
Pogoń Siedlce28/11Top Scorers
Stal RzeszówS. Goss6 ⚽
S. Pukala6 ⚽
V. Krasovskiy5 ⚽
A. Buksa5 ⚽
M. Listkowski2 ⚽
Jonathan Junior2 ⚽
Warta PoznańM. Stanek7 ⚽
M. Stefaniak5 ⚽
J. Apolinarski5 ⚽
A. Wolczek2 ⚽
M. Smoczynski2 ⚽
K. Szymanek2 ⚽
Cards Given
Stal RzeszówK. Kukulka6 🟨
V. Krasovskiy5 🟨
5 🟨
M. Leniart4 🟨
Jonathan Junior4 🟨
S. Goss4 🟨
Warta PoznańA. Najemski5 🟨
J. Apolinarski3 🟨
A. Wolczek3 🟨
K. Lysiak2 🟨
J. Niedzielski2 🟨
J. Kendzia1 🟨