Maribor vs Nafta — 1. SNL
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Ljudski vrt·Maribor·Slovenia·12,994
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Maribor and Nafta meet in the 1. SNL 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Maribor have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Nafta have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Maribor and 1.30 for Nafta. The models give Maribor a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Nafta win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Maribor—
Nafta1º
Position
4º
2.00
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.00
Conceded / game
1.00
72%
BTTS %
47%
28%
Clean sheet %
24%
50%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Maribor
Home (1)
—
Nafta
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
3.00
100%
Win %
100%
3.00
Goals / game
3.00
0.00
Conceded / game
0.00
73%
BTTS %
43%
27%
Clean sheet %
29%
45%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Maribor | Home | Away | Nafta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 91% | 86% | 65% | 70% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 45% | 57% | 35% | 40% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 18% | 43% | 24% | 30% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 9% | 14% | 35% | 30% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Maribor | Home | Away | Nafta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 73% | 71% | 76% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 27% | 29% | 47% | 70% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 14% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 27% | 29% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maribor | Nafta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS | 72% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maribor | Nafta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Maribor (H)D
Celje0–0
Celje0–0D
HNK Gorica1–1
HNK Gorica1–1D
Aluminij2–2
Aluminij2–2D
Mura1–1
Mura1–1W
Bravo3–1
Bravo3–1W
Koper2–0
Koper2–0Nafta (A)D
Triglav1–1
Triglav1–1DMura0–0
Mura0–0LKoper0–2
Koper0–2W
Brinje-Grosuplje2–1
Brinje-Grosuplje2–1L
Olimpija Ljubljana0–1
Olimpija Ljubljana0–1DAluminij1–1
Aluminij1–1Head to Head · 6 matches
4
Maribor
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Nafta
17%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
30/08/26Maribor
Nafta
2–3Maribor25/05/25Nafta
Maribor
0–1Nafta16/04/25Maribor
Nafta
1–1Maribor08/12/24Nafta
Maribor
4–0Nafta22/09/24Maribor
Nafta
0–3Maribor16/01/24Maribor
Nafta
0–3Maribor| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +12 | 24 |
| 2 | Koper | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Bravo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 4 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Nafta | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 | Celje | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Aluminij | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 9 | Mura | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 10 |  Radomlje | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
Team Insights
Maribor- ●Maribor have been undefeated in their last 12 matches.
- ●Maribor have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Maribor have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Maribor have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Maribor have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Maribor have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Maribor have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Maribor have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Maribor have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Nafta- ●Nafta have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Nafta have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nafta have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nafta failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Nafta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Nafta's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
MariborDHCelje0–0
Celje0–0WABrinje-Grosuplje2–1
Brinje-Grosuplje2–1DHAluminij2–2
Aluminij2–2WARadomlje3–0
Radomlje3–0DHMura1–1
Mura1–1WANafta3–2
Nafta3–2–AKoper27/10
Koper27/10–HOlimpija Ljubljana31/10
Olimpija Ljubljana31/10–ABravo07/11
Bravo07/11NaftaDAMura0–0
Mura0–0WHBravo1–0
Bravo1–0LAKoper0–2
Koper0–2WABrinje-Grosuplje2–1
Brinje-Grosuplje2–1WHRadomlje3–1
Radomlje3–1LHMaribor2–3
Maribor2–3–HAluminij28/10
Aluminij28/10–ACelje01/11
Celje01/11–HOlimpija Ljubljana07/11
Olimpija Ljubljana07/11Top Scorers
MariborT. Cipot5 ⚽
I. Tshipamba5 ⚽
Z. Repas4 ⚽
A. Reghba2 ⚽
B. Feta2 ⚽
L. Zahovic2 ⚽
NaftaA. Marosa7 ⚽
J. Zorica7 ⚽
A. Ferreira2 ⚽
L. Pihler2 ⚽
L. Poredos2 ⚽
R. Pirtovsek2 ⚽
Cards Given
MariborZ. Karnicnik3 🟨
2 🟨
T. Cipot2 🟨
Z. Jevsenak2 🟨
I. Tshipamba1 🟨
C. Bumbic1 🟨
NaftaK. Lavrencic3 🟨
A. Pihler3 🟨
J. Zorica3 🟨
M. Vidnyanszky2 🟨
R. Pirtovsek2 🟨
A. Dragoner1 🟨