Scotland · League Two · Regular Season - 15

Stranraer

1º · 2.09 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h

–

Elgin City

3º · 1.64 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h

Stair Park·Stranraer·Scotland·6,250

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Stranraer and Elgin City meet in the League Two 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Stranraer have recorded 11 wins from 25 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Elgin City have won 48% of their 25 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Stranraer and 1.38 for Elgin City. The models give Stranraer a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Elgin City win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Stranraer

—

Elgin City

1º

Position

3º

2.09

PPG

1.64

64%

Win %

45%

2.27

Goals / game

2.45

0.82

Conceded / game

1.55

52%

BTTS %

52%

36%

Clean sheet %

32%

68%

Over 2.5 %

68%

3.0

Avg corners

3.0

2.0

Avg shots

7.0

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

1.0

14.0

Avg fouls

10.0

33.0%

Avg possession

31.0%

Home vs Away

Stranraer

Home (5)

—

Elgin City

Away (5)

2.00

PPG

1.40

60%

Win %

40%

1.20

Goals / game

2.20

0.40

Conceded / game

1.60

43%

BTTS %

54%

43%

Clean sheet %

31%

57%

Over 2.5 %

69%

3.0

Avg corners

3.0

2.0

Avg shots

7.0

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

1.0

33.0%

Avg possession

31.0%

Goals Scored

	Stranraer	Home	Away	Elgin City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	76%	71%	82%	80%	75%	85%
Over 1.5 Scored	64%	64%	64%	48%	42%	54%
Over 2.5 Scored	40%	50%	27%	36%	42%	31%
Failed To Score	24%	29%	18%	20%	25%	15%

Goals Conceded

	Stranraer	Home	Away	Elgin City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	64%	57%	73%	68%	67%	69%
Over 1.5 Conceded	44%	36%	55%	40%	33%	46%
Over 2.5 Conceded	28%	29%	27%	20%	17%	23%
Clean Sheets	36%	43%	27%	32%	33%	31%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Stranraer	Elgin City
Over 0.5	88%	96%
Over 1.5	80%	84%
Over 2.5	68%	68%
Over 3.5	52%	48%
Over 4.5	28%	36%
BTTS	52%	52%
BTTS & Win	20%	20%
BTTS & Draw	12%	12%
BTTS & Over 2.5	52%	44%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	16%	24%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Stranraer	Elgin City
Win 1st Half	44%	48%
Draw 1st Half	32%	24%
Loss 1st Half	24%	28%
Scored 1st Half	60%	68%
Conceded 1st Half	36%	48%
Win 2nd Half	44%	32%
Draw 2nd Half	24%	40%
Loss 2nd Half	32%	28%
Scored 2nd Half	64%	52%
Conceded 2nd Half	40%	56%
Over 0.5 HT	76%	92%
Over 1.5 HT	40%	52%

Recent Venue Form

Stranraer (H)

Tayport3–1

Kilmarnock II3–3

Edinburgh City0–0

East Kilbride4–3

Dumbarton3–1

Celtic II3–4

Elgin City (A)

Stirling University2–1

Forfar Athletic2–1

Peterhead1–0

Annan Athletic0–2

Dumbarton1–2

Clachnacuddin2–0

Number of Corners

7.0

Corners / Match

1 games

League Avg

0.0

0 games

12.0

Corners / Match

1 games

Match Corners	Stranraer	Elgin City	League Avg
Over 6	100%	100%	—
Over 7	0%	100%	—
Over 8	0%	100%	—
Over 9	0%	100%	—
Over 10	0%	100%	—
Over 11	0%	100%	—
Over 12	0%	0%	—
Over 13	0%	0%	—

Team Corners

Team Corners	Stranraer	Elgin City
Corners Earned / Match	3.0	3.0
Corners Against / Match	4.0	9.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	0%	0%
Over 4.5 Corners For	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	100%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	0%	100%

Head to Head · 24 matches

Stranraer

46%

Draws

17%

Elgin City

38%

75%

Over 1.5

18/24

58%

Over 2.5

14/24

29%

Over 3.5

7/24

67%

BTTS

16/24

19/09/26

Elgin City

1–5

Stranraer

02/05/26

Elgin City

0–1

Stranraer

28/02/26

Stranraer

1–2

Elgin City

13/12/25

Elgin City

1–2

Stranraer

20/09/25

Stranraer

1–1

Elgin City

26/04/25

Elgin City

3–0

Stranraer

15/02/25

Stranraer

1–0

Elgin City

02/11/24

Elgin City

1–0

Stranraer

24/08/24

Stranraer

1–1

Elgin City

16/03/24

Stranraer

1–2

Elgin City

06/01/24

Elgin City

2–1

Stranraer

04/11/23

Stranraer

3–1

Elgin City

05/08/23

Elgin City

0–1

Stranraer

22/04/23

Stranraer

3–1

Elgin City

18/02/23

Elgin City

0–1

Stranraer

08/10/22

Stranraer

2–3

Elgin City

20/08/22

Elgin City

2–2

Stranraer

30/04/22

Stranraer

2–0

Elgin City

12/02/22

Elgin City

1–2

Stranraer

20/11/21

Stranraer

1–0

Elgin City

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stranraer	11	7	2	2	+16	23
2	Clyde	11	7	2	2	+9	23
3	Elgin City	11	5	3	3	+10	18
4	Spartans	11	4	3	4	+2	15
5	Kelty Hearts	11	5	0	6	-5	15
6	Dumbarton	11	4	1	6	-6	13
7	Stirling Albion	11	3	3	5	-10	12
8	Edinburgh City	11	4	4	3	+2	11
9	Forfar Athletic	11	3	2	6	-8	11
10	Annan Athletic	11	3	0	8	-10	9

Team Insights

Stranraer

●Stranraer have won their last 2 matches.
●Stranraer have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
●Stranraer have won their last 4 away matches.
●Stranraer have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Stranraer have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Stranraer have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
●Stranraer have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
●Stranraer have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●76% of Stranraer's goals have been scored away.
●78% of Stranraer's goals conceded were conceded away.
●Stranraer have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.