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Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer — League Two

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Scotland · League Two · Regular Season - 14
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
5º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Stranraer
Stranraer
1º · 2.09 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
New Central Park·Kelty·Scotland·3,000
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Kelty Hearts and Stranraer meet in the League Two 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Kelty Hearts have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 2.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Stranraer have won 44% of their 25 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Kelty Hearts and 2.04 for Stranraer. The models give Kelty Hearts a 32% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Stranraer win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.

Season Statistics

Kelty Hearts
—
Stranraer
5º
Position
1º
1.36
PPG
2.09
45%
Win %
64%
1.45
Goals / game
2.27
1.91
Conceded / game
0.82
68%
BTTS %
52%
8%
Clean sheet %
36%
80%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
14.0
18.0%
Avg possession
33.0%

Home vs Away

Kelty Hearts
Home (5)
—
Stranraer
Away (6)
2.40
PPG
2.17
80%
Win %
67%
2.20
Goals / game
3.17
1.60
Conceded / game
1.17
83%
BTTS %
64%
0%
Clean sheet %
27%
92%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
18.0%
Avg possession
33.0%

Goals Scored

Kelty HeartsHomeAwayStranraerHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%83%69%76%71%82%
Over 1.5 Scored44%75%15%64%64%64%
Over 2.5 Scored24%42%8%40%50%27%
Failed To Score24%17%31%24%29%18%

Goals Conceded

Kelty HeartsHomeAwayStranraerHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded92%100%85%64%57%73%
Over 1.5 Conceded68%67%69%44%36%55%
Over 2.5 Conceded40%42%38%28%29%27%
Clean Sheets8%0%15%36%43%27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Kelty HeartsStranraer
Over 0.5100%88%
Over 1.596%80%
Over 2.580%68%
Over 3.544%52%
Over 4.532%28%
BTTS68%52%
BTTS & Win28%20%
BTTS & Draw4%12%
BTTS & Over 2.564%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.516%16%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Kelty HeartsStranraer
Win 1st Half36%44%
Draw 1st Half16%32%
Loss 1st Half48%24%
Scored 1st Half52%60%
Conceded 1st Half76%36%
Win 2nd Half28%44%
Draw 2nd Half32%24%
Loss 2nd Half40%32%
Scored 2nd Half64%64%
Conceded 2nd Half64%40%
Over 0.5 HT96%76%
Over 1.5 HT60%40%

Recent Venue Form

Kelty Hearts (H)
WForfar Athletic2–1
WMontrose2–1
LHearts U213–5
LEdinburgh City1–3
WAnnan Athletic2–1
LClydebank2–4
Stranraer (A)
WSpartans2–0
WAnnan Athletic6–1
LBerwick Rangers2–3
WElgin City5–1
WForfar Athletic3–0
DStirling Albion2–2

Number of Corners

13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
7.0
Corners / Match
1 games
Match CornersKelty HeartsStranraerLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%—
Over 7100%0%—
Over 8100%0%—
Over 9100%0%—
Over 10100%0%—
Over 11100%0%—
Over 12100%0%—
Over 130%0%—

Team Corners

Team CornersKelty HeartsStranraer
Corners Earned / Match0.03.0
Corners Against / Match13.04.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%0%

Head to Head · 8 matches

6
Kelty Hearts
75%
0
Draws
0%
2
Stranraer
25%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
25%
BTTS
2/8
29/08/26
Stranraer
2–0
Kelty Hearts
06/09/25
Kelty Hearts
3–0
Stranraer
25/07/23
Kelty Hearts
2–0
Stranraer
16/04/22
Stranraer
0–3
Kelty Hearts
29/01/22
Kelty Hearts
3–2
Stranraer
18/12/21
Stranraer
0–4
Kelty Hearts
25/09/21
Kelty Hearts
1–0
Stranraer
09/01/21
Kelty Hearts
2–3
Stranraer
League Two
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer11722+1623
2Clyde11722+923
3Elgin City11533+1018
4Spartans11434+215
5Kelty Hearts11506-515
6Dumbarton11416-613
7Stirling Albion11335-1012
8Edinburgh City11443+211
9Forfar Athletic11326-811
10Annan Athletic11308-109

Team Insights

Kelty Hearts
  • ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●69% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●80% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Stranraer
  • ●Stranraer have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Stranraer have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Stranraer have won their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Stranraer have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●76% of Stranraer's goals have been scored away.
  • ●78% of Stranraer's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Stranraer have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts
LAEdinburgh City1–4
WHForfar Athletic9º2–1
LAEast Kilbride1–2
LAStirling Albion7º1–2
WASpartans4º2–0
WHMontrose2–1
LHHearts U213–5
LHEdinburgh City8º1–3
LAClyde2º1–4
WACumbernauld Colts3–0
StranraerStranraer
WHTayport3–1
WASpartans4º2–0
DHKilmarnock II3–3
WAAnnan Athletic10º6–1
DHEdinburgh City8º0–0
WHEast Kilbride4–3
LABerwick Rangers2–3
WAElgin City3º5–1
WHDumbarton6º3–1
WAForfar Athletic9º3–0

Season Schedule

Kelty Hearts
WHForfar Athletic2–1
LAStirling Albion1–2
WASpartans2–0
LHEdinburgh City1–3
LAClyde1–4
WHAnnan Athletic2–1
–HElgin City31/10
–AAnnan Athletic07/11
–HStranraer14/11
Stranraer
WASpartans2–0
WAAnnan Athletic6–1
DHEdinburgh City0–0
WAElgin City5–1
WHDumbarton3–1
WAForfar Athletic3–0
–HClyde31/10
–HStirling Albion07/11
–AKelty Hearts14/11

Top Scorers

Kelty Hearts
I. Murray6 ⚽
J. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
Stranraer
L. Dobbie8 ⚽
E. Dunne6 ⚽
A. Quigg6 ⚽
S. Mason5 ⚽
D. Clelland5 ⚽
A. Healy4 ⚽

Cards Given

Kelty Hearts
A. Ferguson6 🟨
G. Walker5 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
C. Flatman3 🟨
F. Moffett2 🟨
Stranraer
Z. Bruce3 🟨
K. Nair3 🟨
A. Traynor3 🟨
E. Dunne3 🟨
B. Coll2 🟨
A. Quigg2 🟨