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Elgin City vs Dumbarton — League Two

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Elgin City
Elgin City
3º · 1.64 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
vs
–
–
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
6º · 1.18 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
Borough Briggs·Elgin·Scotland·3,927
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Elgin City and Dumbarton meet in the League Two 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Elgin City have recorded 12 wins from 25 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 2.20 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Dumbarton have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.34 for Elgin City and 1.21 for Dumbarton. The models give Elgin City a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Dumbarton win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Elgin City
—
Dumbarton
3º
Position
6º
1.64
PPG
1.18
45%
Win %
36%
2.45
Goals / game
1.09
1.55
Conceded / game
1.64
52%
BTTS %
58%
32%
Clean sheet %
17%
68%
Over 2.5 %
75%
3.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
10.0
Avg fouls
6.0
31.0%
Avg possession
47.0%

Home vs Away

Elgin City
Home (6)
—
Dumbarton
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
2.67
Goals / game
0.60
1.50
Conceded / game
2.40
50%
BTTS %
64%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
82%
3.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
31.0%
Avg possession
47.0%

Goals Scored

Elgin CityHomeAwayDumbartonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored80%75%85%75%85%64%
Over 1.5 Scored48%42%54%38%54%18%
Over 2.5 Scored36%42%31%21%23%18%
Failed To Score20%25%15%25%15%36%

Goals Conceded

Elgin CityHomeAwayDumbartonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded68%67%69%83%69%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded40%33%46%71%46%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded20%17%23%46%23%73%
Clean Sheets32%33%31%17%31%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Elgin CityDumbarton
Over 0.596%100%
Over 1.584%92%
Over 2.568%75%
Over 3.548%50%
Over 4.536%25%
BTTS52%58%
BTTS & Win20%17%
BTTS & Draw12%8%
BTTS & Over 2.544%54%
BTTS No & Over 2.524%21%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Elgin CityDumbarton
Win 1st Half48%21%
Draw 1st Half24%17%
Loss 1st Half28%63%
Scored 1st Half68%42%
Conceded 1st Half48%67%
Win 2nd Half32%33%
Draw 2nd Half40%21%
Loss 2nd Half28%46%
Scored 2nd Half52%63%
Conceded 2nd Half56%71%
Over 0.5 HT92%83%
Over 1.5 HT52%46%

Recent Venue Form

Elgin City (H)
DEdinburgh City0–0
LAberdeen U210–1
WClyde6–2
WDundee II3–0
LStranraer1–5
WFraserburgh7–0
Dumbarton (A)
LClydebank0–4
LClyde1–2
LStranraer1–3
LCove Rangers1–6
LAnnan Athletic0–2
LKelty Hearts1–3

Number of Corners

12.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.0
Corners / Match
1 games
Match CornersElgin CityDumbartonLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%—
Over 7100%100%—
Over 8100%100%—
Over 9100%100%—
Over 10100%0%—
Over 11100%0%—
Over 120%0%—
Over 130%0%—

Team Corners

Team CornersElgin CityDumbarton
Corners Earned / Match3.03.0
Corners Against / Match9.07.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%100%

Head to Head · 13 matches

4
Elgin City
31%
4
Draws
31%
5
Dumbarton
38%
77%
Over 1.5
10/13
46%
Over 2.5
6/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
05/09/26
Dumbarton
2–1
Elgin City
14/03/26
Elgin City
1–1
Dumbarton
24/01/26
Dumbarton
2–2
Elgin City
15/11/25
Elgin City
2–0
Dumbarton
16/08/25
Dumbarton
1–1
Elgin City
27/04/24
Dumbarton
2–2
Elgin City
27/01/24
Elgin City
0–1
Dumbarton
18/11/23
Dumbarton
1–0
Elgin City
16/09/23
Elgin City
2–0
Dumbarton
29/04/23
Elgin City
1–0
Dumbarton
25/02/23
Dumbarton
1–2
Elgin City
12/11/22
Elgin City
0–4
Dumbarton
27/08/22
Dumbarton
2–1
Elgin City
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer11722+1623
2Clyde11722+923
3Elgin City11533+1018
4Spartans11434+215
5Kelty Hearts11506-515
6Dumbarton11416-613
7Stirling Albion11335-1012
8Edinburgh City11443+211
9Forfar Athletic11326-811
10Annan Athletic11308-109

Team Insights

Elgin City
  • ●Elgin City have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Dumbarton
  • ●Dumbarton have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Dumbarton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Dumbarton's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of Dumbarton's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●100% of Dumbarton's points have been earned at home.
DHEdinburgh City8º0–0
WAForfar Athletic9º2–1
WHClyde2º6–2
WAPeterhead1–0
WHDundee II3–0
LHStranraer1º1–5
LAAnnan Athletic10º0–2
WHKeith1–0
DHStirling Albion7º1–1
LAClydebank0–4
LAClyde2º1–2
WHForfar Athletic9º2–1
WHSpartans4º3–0
LAStranraer1º1–3

Season Schedule

Elgin City
DHEdinburgh City0–0
WAForfar Athletic2–1
WHClyde6–2
LHStranraer1–5
LAAnnan Athletic0–2
LADumbarton1–2
–AKelty Hearts31/10
–HDumbarton07/11
–AStirling Albion14/11
Dumbarton
DHStirling Albion1–1
LAClyde1–2
WHForfar Athletic2–1
WHSpartans3–0
LAStranraer1–3
WHElgin City2–1
–AEdinburgh City31/10
–AElgin City07/11
–HAnnan Athletic14/11

Top Scorers

Elgin City
O. Colloty7 ⚽
J. MacIver6 ⚽
K. Hester6 ⚽
K. Girvan4 ⚽
M. Gallagher4 ⚽
R. Dingwall4 ⚽
Dumbarton
L. McIntosh8 ⚽
S. Honeyman5 ⚽
D. Lang4 ⚽
J. Sowa3 ⚽
A. Gilfedder2 ⚽
C. Campbell2 ⚽

Cards Given

Elgin City
K. Girvan5 🟨
J. Murray4 🟨
M. Grant4 🟨
M. Gallagher3 🟨
J. MacIver2 🟨
L. Scullion1 🟨
Dumbarton
T. Lang4 🟨
M. Doyle3 🟨
D. Craig3 🟨
T. Robson2 🟨
K. Kirkpatrick2 🟨
L. McIntosh2 🟨