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Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City — League Two

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Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
5º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
vs
–
–
Elgin City
Elgin City
3º · 1.64 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
New Central Park·Kelty·Scotland·3,000
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Kelty Hearts and Elgin City meet in the League Two 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Kelty Hearts have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 2.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Elgin City have won 48% of their 25 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Kelty Hearts and 1.75 for Elgin City. The models give Kelty Hearts a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Elgin City win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 70%.

Season Statistics

Kelty Hearts
—
Elgin City
5º
Position
3º
1.36
PPG
1.64
45%
Win %
45%
1.45
Goals / game
2.45
1.91
Conceded / game
1.55
68%
BTTS %
52%
8%
Clean sheet %
32%
80%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
13.0
Avg fouls
10.0
18.0%
Avg possession
31.0%

Home vs Away

Kelty Hearts
Home (5)
—
Elgin City
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
1.40
80%
Win %
40%
2.20
Goals / game
2.20
1.60
Conceded / game
1.60
83%
BTTS %
54%
0%
Clean sheet %
31%
92%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
18.0%
Avg possession
31.0%

Goals Scored

Kelty HeartsHomeAwayElgin CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%83%69%80%75%85%
Over 1.5 Scored44%75%15%48%42%54%
Over 2.5 Scored24%42%8%36%42%31%
Failed To Score24%17%31%20%25%15%

Goals Conceded

Kelty HeartsHomeAwayElgin CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded92%100%85%68%67%69%
Over 1.5 Conceded68%67%69%40%33%46%
Over 2.5 Conceded40%42%38%20%17%23%
Clean Sheets8%0%15%32%33%31%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Kelty HeartsElgin City
Over 0.5100%96%
Over 1.596%84%
Over 2.580%68%
Over 3.544%48%
Over 4.532%36%
BTTS68%52%
BTTS & Win28%20%
BTTS & Draw4%12%
BTTS & Over 2.564%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.516%24%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Kelty HeartsElgin City
Win 1st Half36%48%
Draw 1st Half16%24%
Loss 1st Half48%28%
Scored 1st Half52%68%
Conceded 1st Half76%48%
Win 2nd Half28%32%
Draw 2nd Half32%40%
Loss 2nd Half40%28%
Scored 2nd Half64%52%
Conceded 2nd Half64%56%
Over 0.5 HT96%92%
Over 1.5 HT60%52%

Recent Venue Form

Kelty Hearts (H)
WForfar Athletic2–1
WMontrose2–1
LHearts U213–5
LEdinburgh City1–3
WAnnan Athletic2–1
LClydebank2–4
Elgin City (A)
WStirling University2–1
WForfar Athletic2–1
WPeterhead1–0
LAnnan Athletic0–2
LDumbarton1–2
WClachnacuddin2–0

Number of Corners

13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
12.0
Corners / Match
1 games
Match CornersKelty HeartsElgin CityLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%—
Over 7100%100%—
Over 8100%100%—
Over 9100%100%—
Over 10100%100%—
Over 11100%100%—
Over 12100%0%—
Over 130%0%—

Team Corners

Team CornersKelty HeartsElgin City
Corners Earned / Match0.03.0
Corners Against / Match13.09.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%100%

Head to Head · 9 matches

3
Kelty Hearts
33%
3
Draws
33%
3
Elgin City
33%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
15/08/26
Elgin City
4–1
Kelty Hearts
30/11/24
Elgin City
3–2
Kelty Hearts
07/09/24
Kelty Hearts
3–1
Elgin City
16/07/24
Elgin City
1–1
Kelty Hearts
19/03/22
Elgin City
0–0
Kelty Hearts
05/02/22
Kelty Hearts
4–0
Elgin City
25/01/22
Elgin City
2–0
Kelty Hearts
11/09/21
Kelty Hearts
1–1
Elgin City
20/07/21
Elgin City
1–3
Kelty Hearts
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer11722+1623
2Clyde11722+923
3Elgin City11533+1018
4Spartans11434+215
5Kelty Hearts11506-515
6Dumbarton11416-613
7Stirling Albion11335-1012
8Edinburgh City11443+211
9Forfar Athletic11326-811
10Annan Athletic11308-109

Team Insights

Kelty Hearts
  • ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●69% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●80% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Elgin City
  • ●Elgin City have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
DHEdinburgh City8º0–0
WAForfar Athletic9º2–1
WHClyde2º6–2
WAPeterhead1–0
WHDundee II3–0
LHStranraer1º1–5
LAAnnan Athletic10º0–2

Season Schedule

Kelty Hearts
WHForfar Athletic2–1
LAStirling Albion1–2
WASpartans2–0
LHEdinburgh City1–3
LAClyde1–4
WHAnnan Athletic2–1
–HElgin City31/10
–AAnnan Athletic07/11
–HStranraer14/11
Elgin City
DHEdinburgh City0–0
WAForfar Athletic2–1
WHClyde6–2
LHStranraer1–5
LAAnnan Athletic0–2
LADumbarton1–2
–AKelty Hearts31/10
–HDumbarton07/11
–AStirling Albion14/11

Top Scorers

Kelty Hearts
I. Murray6 ⚽
J. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
Elgin City
O. Colloty7 ⚽
J. MacIver6 ⚽
K. Hester6 ⚽
K. Girvan4 ⚽
M. Gallagher4 ⚽
R. Dingwall4 ⚽

Cards Given

Kelty Hearts
A. Ferguson6 🟨
G. Walker5 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
C. Flatman3 🟨
F. Moffett2 🟨
Elgin City
K. Girvan5 🟨
J. Murray4 🟨
M. Grant4 🟨
M. Gallagher3 🟨
J. MacIver2 🟨
L. Scullion1 🟨