Newcastle vs Sunderland — Premier League
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Newcastle and Sunderland meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Newcastle have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Sunderland have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Newcastle and 1.31 for Sunderland. The models give Newcastle a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sunderland win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Newcastle | Home | Away | Sunderland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 80% | 100% | 76% | 63% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 35% | 25% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 20% | 0% | 24% | 38% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Newcastle | Home | Away | Sunderland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 90% | 67% | 71% | 50% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 44% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 10% | 44% | 12% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 10% | 33% | 29% | 50% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newcastle | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS | 68% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newcastle | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Newcastle | Sunderland | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 93% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 71% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 50% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 36% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 36% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 21% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 14% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 14% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newcastle | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 50% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newcastle have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sunderland have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Sunderland have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sunderland failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sunderland have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sunderland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sunderland have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●76% of Sunderland's goals conceded were conceded away.