Chelsea vs Liverpool — Premier League
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Stamford Bridge·London·England·41,841
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Chelsea and Liverpool meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Chelsea have recorded 10 wins from 18 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Liverpool have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.01 for Chelsea and 1.69 for Liverpool. The models give Chelsea a 43% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Liverpool win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Chelsea—
Liverpool4º
Position
5º
1.78
PPG
1.67
56%
Win %
44%
2.11
Goals / game
1.22
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
61%
BTTS %
56%
22%
Clean sheet %
31%
67%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.9
Avg corners
5.9
14.9
Avg shots
16.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
9.4
Avg fouls
13.0
48.8%
Avg possession
53.7%
Home vs Away
Chelsea
Home (5)
—
Liverpool
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.50
60%
Win %
75%
2.60
Goals / game
1.75
1.60
Conceded / game
0.75
58%
BTTS %
60%
25%
Clean sheet %
40%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.9
Avg corners
5.9
14.9
Avg shots
16.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
48.8%
Avg possession
53.7%
Goals Scored
| Chelsea | Home | Away | Liverpool | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 83% | 75% | 64% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 50% | 63% | 55% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 36% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelsea | Home | Away | Liverpool | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 83% | 69% | 73% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 67% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 27% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 17% | 31% | 27% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelsea | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 19% |
| BTTS | 61% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelsea | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelsea (H)W
Manchester United2–0
Manchester United2–0L
Tottenham0–2
Tottenham0–2W
Bournemouth5–1
Bournemouth5–1D
Hull City2–2
Hull City2–2W
Leeds6–3
Leeds6–3W
Brighton4–3
Brighton4–3Liverpool (A)W
Brentford2–1
Brentford2–1W
Lask Linz6–3
Lask Linz6–3WBournemouth1–0
Bournemouth1–0W
Ipswich2–0
Ipswich2–0D
Newcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2L
Aston Villa2–4
Aston Villa2–4Number of Corners
11.4
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.6
90 games
10.2
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Chelsea | Liverpool | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 64% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 57% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 57% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 43% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 21% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 14% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chelsea | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 92% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 43% |
Head to Head · 44 matches
12
Chelsea
27%
18
Draws
41%
14
Liverpool
32%
77%
Over 1.5
34/44
39%
Over 2.5
17/44
18%
Over 3.5
8/44
64%
BTTS
28/44
28/10/26Chelsea
Liverpool
1–1Chelsea09/05/26Chelsea
Liverpool
1–1Chelsea04/10/25Liverpool
Chelsea
2–1Liverpool04/05/25Liverpool
Chelsea
3–1Liverpool20/10/24Chelsea
Liverpool
2–1Chelsea25/02/24Liverpool
Chelsea
0–1Liverpool31/01/24Chelsea
Liverpool
4–1Chelsea13/08/23Liverpool
Chelsea
1–1Liverpool04/04/23Liverpool
Chelsea
0–0Liverpool21/01/23Chelsea
Liverpool
0–0Chelsea14/05/22Liverpool
Chelsea
0–0Liverpool27/02/22Liverpool
Chelsea
0–0Liverpool02/01/22Liverpool
Chelsea
2–2Liverpool28/08/21Chelsea
Liverpool
1–1Chelsea04/03/21Chelsea
Liverpool
0–1Chelsea20/09/20Liverpool
Chelsea
0–2Liverpool22/07/20Chelsea
Liverpool
5–3Chelsea03/03/20Liverpool
Chelsea
2–0Liverpool22/09/19Liverpool
Chelsea
1–2Liverpool14/08/19Chelsea
Liverpool
3–3Chelsea| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Chelsea- ●Chelsea failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●68% of Chelsea's goals have been scored at home.
Liverpool- ●Liverpool have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Liverpool have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Liverpool's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Liverpool's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Liverpool's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
ChelseaWHManchester United2–0
Manchester United2–0LHTottenham0–2
Tottenham0–2WAEverton2–0
Everton2–0WHBournemouth5–1
Bournemouth5–1LABrentford0–3
Brentford0–3DHHull City2–2
Hull City2–2–ASunderland08/11
Sunderland08/11–HLeeds21/11
Leeds21/11–ANottingham Forest27/11
Nottingham Forest27/11LiverpoolLHArsenal0–1
Arsenal0–1WHBrighton2–0
Brighton2–0WABrentford2–1
Brentford2–1LHManchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3WABournemouth1–0
Bournemouth1–0DHFulham0–0
Fulham0–0–ACrystal Palace08/11
Crystal Palace08/11–HManchester United22/11
Manchester United22/11–AEverton29/11
Everton29/11Top Scorers
ChelseaJoao Pedro9 ⚽
Morgan Rogers6 ⚽
Pedro Neto4 ⚽
João Pedro3 ⚽
Cole Palmer3 ⚽
Jordan Henderson3 ⚽
LiverpoolAlexander Isak6 ⚽
Alexis Mac Allister5 ⚽
Bradley Barcola4 ⚽
Cody Gakpo3 ⚽
C. Gakpo2 ⚽
A. Isak2 ⚽
Cards Given
ChelseaCole Palmer4 🟨
Morgan Rogers3 🟨
R. Lavia2 🟨
Josh Acheampong2 🟨
Pedro Neto2 🟨
L. Colwill1 🟨
LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister4 🟨
Milos Kerkez3 🟨
Ronald Araujo2 🟨
Bradley Barcola2 🟨
Jérémy Jacquet2 🟨
Ryan Gravenberch2 🟨