Newcastle vs Manchester United — Premier League
← Back
vs
–
–
St. James' Park·Newcastle upon Tyne·England·52,758
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Newcastle and Manchester United meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Newcastle have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Manchester United have won 21% of their 19 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Newcastle and 1.27 for Manchester United. The models give Newcastle a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Manchester United win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Newcastle—
Manchester United13º
Position
17º
1.22
PPG
0.78
33%
Win %
11%
1.33
Goals / game
1.11
1.67
Conceded / game
1.67
68%
BTTS %
58%
21%
Clean sheet %
11%
63%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.9
Avg corners
5.8
15.2
Avg shots
17.1
4.3
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.4
Avg fouls
10.8
52.9%
Avg possession
51.8%
Home vs Away
Newcastle
Home (5)
—
Manchester United
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.60
20%
Win %
0%
1.20
Goals / game
0.80
1.40
Conceded / game
1.60
70%
BTTS %
56%
10%
Clean sheet %
11%
70%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.9
Avg corners
5.8
15.2
Avg shots
17.1
4.3
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
52.9%
Avg possession
51.8%
Goals Scored
| Newcastle | Home | Away | Manchester United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 80% | 100% | 70% | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 55% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 27% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 20% | 0% | 30% | 27% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Newcastle | Home | Away | Manchester United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 90% | 67% | 90% | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 45% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 10% | 44% | 20% | 27% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 10% | 33% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newcastle | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS | 68% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newcastle | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Newcastle (H)L
Everton0–1
Everton0–1L
Aston Villa0–1
Aston Villa0–1W
Hull City2–1
Hull City2–1D
Bournemouth2–2
Bournemouth2–2W
West Brom3–2
West Brom3–2D
Liverpool2–2
Liverpool2–2Manchester United (A)L
Chelsea0–2
Chelsea0–2L
Como1–4
Como1–4D
Leeds1–1
Leeds1–1L
Atletico Madrid0–2
Atletico Madrid0–2D
Fulham1–1
Fulham1–1DEverton2–2
Everton2–2Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.6
90 games
9.2
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Newcastle | Manchester United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 85% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 54% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 46% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 31% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 31% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 31% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 23% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 15% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newcastle | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 15% |
Head to Head · 33 matches
10
Newcastle
30%
6
Draws
18%
17
Manchester United
52%
73%
Over 1.5
24/33
55%
Over 2.5
18/33
36%
Over 3.5
12/33
45%
BTTS
15/33
04/03/26Manchester United
Newcastle
2–1Manchester United26/12/25Newcastle
Manchester United
1–0Newcastle13/04/25Manchester United
Newcastle
4–1Manchester United30/12/24Newcastle
Manchester United
0–2Newcastle15/05/24Newcastle
Manchester United
3–2Newcastle02/12/23Manchester United
Newcastle
1–0Manchester United01/11/23Newcastle
Manchester United
0–3Newcastle02/04/23Manchester United
Newcastle
2–0Manchester United26/02/23Newcastle
Manchester United
2–0Newcastle16/10/22Newcastle
Manchester United
0–0Newcastle27/12/21Manchester United
Newcastle
1–1Manchester United11/09/21Newcastle
Manchester United
4–1Newcastle21/02/21Newcastle
Manchester United
3–1Newcastle17/10/20Manchester United
Newcastle
1–4Manchester United26/12/19Newcastle
Manchester United
4–1Newcastle06/10/19Manchester United
Newcastle
1–0Manchester United02/01/19Manchester United
Newcastle
0–2Manchester United06/10/18Newcastle
Manchester United
3–2Newcastle11/02/18Manchester United
Newcastle
1–0Manchester United18/11/17Newcastle
Manchester United
4–1Newcastle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Newcastle- ●Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newcastle have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Manchester United- ●Manchester United have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
NewcastleLHEverton0–1
Everton0–1WACrystal Palace2–0
Crystal Palace2–0LHAston Villa0–1
Aston Villa0–1LACoventry1–4
Coventry1–4WHHull City2–1
Hull City2–1LALeeds1–4
Leeds1–4–AFulham07/11
Fulham07/11–HArsenal21/11
Arsenal21/11–ABrighton29/11
Brighton29/11Manchester UnitedLAChelsea0–2
Chelsea0–2LHBournemouth0–3
Bournemouth0–3DALeeds1–1
Leeds1–1DHTottenham1–1
Tottenham1–1DAFulham1–1
Fulham1–1LHManchester City0–1
Manchester City0–1–HAston Villa08/11
Aston Villa08/11–ALiverpool22/11
Liverpool22/11–HBrentford28/11
Brentford28/11Top Scorers
NewcastleH. Barnes4 ⚽
Y. Wissa3 ⚽
A. Elanga2 ⚽
B. Toure2 ⚽
Harvey Barnes2 ⚽
J. Willock2 ⚽
Manchester UnitedMatheus Cunha4 ⚽
B. Mbeumo4 ⚽
B. Fernandes3 ⚽
Bryan Mbeumo3 ⚽
Benjamin Šeško2 ⚽
Bruno Fernandes2 ⚽
Cards Given
NewcastleJoelinton3 🟨
Jacob Ramsey3 🟨
Fabian Schär3 🟨
Jacob Murphy2 🟨
J. Ramsey2 🟨
J. Murphy2 🟨
Manchester UnitedHarry Maguire5 🟨
Lisandro Martínez3 🟨
Andrey Santos3 🟨
Bruno Fernandes3 🟨
Ayden Heaven2 🟨
Diogo Dalot2 🟨