Manchester City vs Leeds — Premier League
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Etihad Stadium·Manchester·England·55,097
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Manchester City and Leeds meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Manchester City have recorded 12 wins from 16 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.56 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Leeds have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 31%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.09 for Manchester City and 1.36 for Leeds. The models give Manchester City a 58% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Leeds win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Manchester City—
Leeds1º
Position
8º
2.63
PPG
1.43
88%
Win %
29%
2.50
Goals / game
1.29
1.13
Conceded / game
0.86
63%
BTTS %
54%
31%
Clean sheet %
46%
75%
Over 2.5 %
31%
5.8
Avg corners
3.9
15.9
Avg shots
12.9
6.2
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.0
Avg fouls
12.2
62.9%
Avg possession
47.8%
Home vs Away
Manchester City
Home (4)
—
Leeds
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.33
100%
Win %
33%
2.75
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
78%
BTTS %
57%
22%
Clean sheet %
43%
78%
Over 2.5 %
29%
5.8
Avg corners
3.9
15.9
Avg shots
12.9
6.2
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
62.9%
Avg possession
47.8%
Goals Scored
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 86% | 85% | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 78% | 57% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 43% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 78% | 57% | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 33% | 29% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 22% | 43% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester City | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 15% |
| BTTS | 63% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 44% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester City | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchester City (H)W
AEK Athens FC5–1
AEK Athens FC5–1W
Ipswich3–2
Ipswich3–2L
Paris Saint Germain2–4
Paris Saint Germain2–4W
Sunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3W
Norwich5–0
Norwich5–0W
Coventry1–0
Coventry1–0Leeds (A)DSunderland0–0
Sunderland0–0L
Arsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2L
Chelsea3–6
Chelsea3–6D
Brighton1–1
Brighton1–1W
Nottingham Forest2–0
Nottingham Forest2–0WNottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
7.9
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Manchester City | Leeds | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 44% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 33% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 54% | 22% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 15% | 11% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester City | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 85% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 33% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
7
Manchester City
78%
1
Draws
11%
1
Leeds
11%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
28/02/26Manchester City
Leeds
0–1Manchester City29/11/25Leeds
Manchester City
3–2Leeds06/05/23Leeds
Manchester City
2–1Leeds28/12/22Manchester City
Leeds
1–3Manchester City30/04/22Manchester City
Leeds
0–4Manchester City14/12/21Leeds
Manchester City
7–0Leeds10/04/21Leeds
Manchester City
1–2Leeds03/10/20Manchester City
Leeds
1–1Manchester City17/02/13Leeds
Manchester City
4–0Leeds| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Manchester City's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Manchester City have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Leeds- ●Leeds have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Leeds's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Manchester CityLAAston Villa1–2
Aston Villa1–2WHIpswich3–2
Ipswich3–2WALiverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0WHSunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3WAManchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0WHCoventry1–0
Coventry1–0–HBrighton31/10
Brighton31/10–ANottingham Forest07/11
Nottingham Forest07/11–HFulham21/11
Fulham21/11LeedsDASunderland0–0
Sunderland0–0DHManchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1LAArsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2DHCrystal Palace0–0
Crystal Palace0–0WHNewcastle4–1
Newcastle4–1DABrighton1–1
Brighton1–1–ABournemouth31/10
Bournemouth31/10–HTottenham07/11
Tottenham07/11–AChelsea21/11
Chelsea21/11Top Scorers
Manchester CityErling Haaland11 ⚽
Rayan Cherki4 ⚽
Phil Foden4 ⚽
Floyd Samba2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
LeedsDominic Calvert-Lewin3 ⚽
Jayden Bogle2 ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
A. Stach2 ⚽
J. Justin2 ⚽
Brenden Aaronson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchester CityJosko Gvardiol4 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨
E. Anderson1 🟨
LeedsEthan Ampadu3 🟨
Jayden Bogle3 🟨
Ao Tanaka2 🟨
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 🟨
E. Ampadu1 🟨
D. Calvert-Lewin1 🟨