Ipswich vs Aston Villa — Premier League
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Ipswich and Aston Villa meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Ipswich have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Aston Villa have won 48% of their 21 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Ipswich and 1.44 for Aston Villa. The models give Ipswich a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Aston Villa win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Ipswich—
Aston Villa10º
Position
6º
1.25
PPG
1.38
38%
Win %
38%
1.50
Goals / game
1.13
2.00
Conceded / game
1.50
69%
BTTS %
71%
13%
Clean sheet %
19%
69%
Over 2.5 %
86%
3.1
Avg corners
4.5
10.6
Avg shots
14.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.3
Avg fouls
11.7
43.7%
Avg possession
46.2%
Home vs Away
Ipswich
Home (4)
—
Aston Villa
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
1.75
50%
Win %
50%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.25
Conceded / game
1.50
67%
BTTS %
69%
22%
Clean sheet %
23%
67%
Over 2.5 %
85%
3.1
Avg corners
4.5
10.6
Avg shots
14.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
43.7%
Avg possession
46.2%
Goals Scored
| Ipswich | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 89% | 71% | 86% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 56% | 71% | 52% | 63% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 22% | 29% | 38% | 25% | 46% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 11% | 29% | 14% | 13% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Ipswich | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 78% | 100% | 81% | 88% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 71% | 52% | 50% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 11% | 29% | 10% | 13% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 22% | 0% | 19% | 13% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ipswich | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 24% |
| BTTS | 69% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ipswich | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Ipswich (H)D
Nottingham Forest1–1
Nottingham Forest1–1W
Fulham2–1
Fulham2–1L
Arsenal2–4
Arsenal2–4L
Liverpool0–2
Liverpool0–2W
Leicester3–1
Leicester3–1W
Sunderland2–1
Sunderland2–1Aston Villa (A)W
Newcastle1–0
Newcastle1–0W
Sevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1W
Tottenham3–2
Tottenham3–2W
Coventry3–1
Coventry3–1W
Club Brugge KV3–2
Club Brugge KV3–2D
Hull City0–0
Hull City0–0Number of Corners
7.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
8.8
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Ipswich | Aston Villa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 77% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 54% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 20% | 54% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 10% | 38% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 10% | 38% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 23% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 15% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 15% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ipswich | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 10% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 38% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Ipswich
11%
4
Draws
44%
4
Aston Villa
44%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
15/02/25Ipswich
Aston Villa
1–1Ipswich29/09/24Aston Villa
Ipswich
2–2Aston Villa26/01/19Ipswich
Aston Villa
2–1Ipswich18/08/18Aston Villa
Ipswich
1–1Aston Villa21/04/18Aston Villa
Ipswich
0–4Aston Villa25/11/17Ipswich
Aston Villa
2–0Ipswich11/02/17Ipswich
Aston Villa
0–1Ipswich17/09/16Aston Villa
Ipswich
0–0Aston Villa05/01/13Ipswich
Aston Villa
2–1Ipswich| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Ipswich- ●Ipswich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Ipswich have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Ipswich's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Ipswich have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Aston Villa have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aston Villa have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Aston Villa's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
IpswichDHNottingham Forest1–1
Nottingham Forest1–1LAManchester City2–3
Manchester City2–3WHFulham2–1
Fulham2–1LAEverton0–1
Everton0–1WACrystal Palace3–2
Crystal Palace3–2LHLiverpool0–2
Liverpool0–2–AHull City31/10
Hull City31/10–HBournemouth08/11
Bournemouth08/11–ATottenham21/11
Tottenham21/11Aston VillaWHManchester City2–1
Manchester City2–1WANewcastle1–0
Newcastle1–0DHBrentford2–2
Brentford2–2WATottenham3–2
Tottenham3–2LHNottingham Forest1–2
Nottingham Forest1–2DAHull City0–0
Hull City0–0–HFulham31/10
Fulham31/10–AManchester United08/11
Manchester United08/11–HSunderland21/11
Sunderland21/11Top Scorers
IpswichEmersonn4 ⚽
L. Davis3 ⚽
C. Akpom3 ⚽
M. Nunez2 ⚽
J. Clarke2 ⚽
Zian Flemming2 ⚽
Aston VillaNicolas Jackson7 ⚽
B. Madjo4 ⚽
Ross Barkley4 ⚽
Johan Manzambi3 ⚽
Emiliano Buendía3 ⚽
Tammy Abraham3 ⚽
Cards Given
IpswichAbdul Fatawu Issahaku3 🟨
J. Greaves2 🟨
Leif Davis2 🟨
C. Humphreys1 🟨
I. Fatawu1 🟨
Christian Walton1 🟨
Aston VillaAlysson4 🟨
4 🟨
Matty Cash3 🟨
Emiliano Buendía3 🟨
J. McGinn3 🟨
Joao Gomes3 🟨