Brighton vs Newcastle — Premier League
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Brighton and Newcastle meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Brighton have recorded 12 wins from 18 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 28% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Newcastle have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.40 for Brighton and 1.19 for Newcastle. The models give Brighton a 64% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Newcastle win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Brighton—
Newcastle3º
Position
13º
2.11
PPG
1.22
67%
Win %
33%
2.67
Goals / game
1.33
0.78
Conceded / game
1.67
28%
BTTS %
68%
67%
Clean sheet %
21%
61%
Over 2.5 %
63%
6.1
Avg corners
5.9
19.4
Avg shots
15.2
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.6
13.5
Avg fouls
12.4
61.1%
Avg possession
52.9%
Home vs Away
Brighton
Home (4)
—
Newcastle
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
1.50
75%
Win %
50%
3.25
Goals / game
1.50
0.25
Conceded / game
2.00
22%
BTTS %
67%
78%
Clean sheet %
33%
78%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.1
Avg corners
5.9
19.4
Avg shots
15.2
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.6
61.1%
Avg possession
52.9%
Goals Scored
| Brighton | Home | Away | Newcastle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 67% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 78% | 56% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 56% | 78% | 33% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Brighton | Home | Away | Newcastle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 22% | 44% | 79% | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 11% | 44% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 11% | 26% | 10% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 78% | 56% | 21% | 10% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Brighton | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 21% |
| BTTS | 28% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 39% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Brighton | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 17% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 61% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Brighton (H)W
Crystal Palace5–0
Crystal Palace5–0W
Kauno Žalgiris4–0
Kauno Žalgiris4–0W
Arsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0D
Leeds1–1
Leeds1–1W
Tromso4–0
Tromso4–0W
Aston Villa4–0
Aston Villa4–0Newcastle (A)L
Everton1–3
Everton1–3WCrystal Palace2–0
Crystal Palace2–0L
Coventry1–4
Coventry1–4LLeeds1–4
Leeds1–4W
Millwall1–0
Millwall1–0W
Tottenham2–0
Tottenham2–0Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
9.6
90 games
10.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Brighton | Newcastle | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 92% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 42% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 25% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 25% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 25% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Brighton | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 87% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 58% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
10
Brighton
42%
8
Draws
33%
6
Newcastle
25%
67%
Over 1.5
16/24
42%
Over 2.5
10/24
13%
Over 3.5
3/24
50%
BTTS
12/24
02/05/26Brighton
Newcastle
3–1Brighton18/10/25Newcastle
Brighton
2–1Newcastle04/05/25Newcastle
Brighton
1–1Newcastle02/03/25Brighton
Newcastle
1–2Brighton19/10/24Brighton
Newcastle
0–1Brighton11/05/24Brighton
Newcastle
1–1Brighton02/09/23Newcastle
Brighton
3–1Newcastle28/07/23Newcastle
Brighton
1–2Newcastle18/05/23Brighton
Newcastle
4–1Brighton13/08/22Newcastle
Brighton
0–0Newcastle05/03/22Brighton
Newcastle
2–1Brighton06/11/21Newcastle
Brighton
1–1Newcastle20/03/21Newcastle
Brighton
3–0Newcastle20/09/20Brighton
Newcastle
0–3Brighton20/07/20Newcastle
Brighton
0–0Newcastle21/09/19Brighton
Newcastle
0–0Brighton27/04/19Newcastle
Brighton
1–1Newcastle20/10/18Brighton
Newcastle
0–1Brighton30/12/17Brighton
Newcastle
0–0Brighton24/09/17Newcastle
Brighton
1–0Newcastle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Brighton- ●Brighton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brighton have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Newcastle- ●Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newcastle have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
BrightonWAManchester City1–0
Manchester City1–0LALiverpool0–2
Liverpool0–2WHCrystal Palace5–0
Crystal Palace5–0WASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0WHArsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0WACoventry5–0
Coventry5–0–HBrentford08/11
Brentford08/11–AHull City22/11
Hull City22/11–HNewcastle29/11
Newcastle29/11NewcastleLHEverton0–1
Everton0–1WACrystal Palace2–0
Crystal Palace2–0LHAston Villa0–1
Aston Villa0–1LACoventry1–4
Coventry1–4WHHull City2–1
Hull City2–1LALeeds1–4
Leeds1–4–AFulham07/11
Fulham07/11–HArsenal21/11
Arsenal21/11–ABrighton29/11
Brighton29/11Top Scorers
BrightonPascal Groß4 ⚽
J. Hinshelwood4 ⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas4 ⚽
G. Rutter3 ⚽
Maxim De Cuyper3 ⚽
Yasin Ayari3 ⚽
NewcastleH. Barnes4 ⚽
Y. Wissa3 ⚽
A. Elanga2 ⚽
B. Toure2 ⚽
Harvey Barnes2 ⚽
J. Willock2 ⚽
Cards Given
BrightonMaxim De Cuyper4 🟨
Pascal Groß3 🟨
Chema Andrés3 🟨
Costinha3 🟨
Olivier Boscagli2 🟨
Pascal Struijk2 🟨
NewcastleJoelinton3 🟨
Jacob Ramsey3 🟨
Fabian Schär3 🟨
Jacob Murphy2 🟨
J. Ramsey2 🟨
J. Murphy2 🟨