England · Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Chelsea

4º · 1.63 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 22h

–

Leeds

8º · 1.43 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 2h

Stamford Bridge·London·England·41,841

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Chelsea and Leeds meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Chelsea have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.56 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Leeds have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 42%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Chelsea and 1.48 for Leeds. The models give Chelsea a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leeds win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Chelsea

—

Leeds

4º

Position

8º

1.63

PPG

1.43

50%

Win %

29%

2.13

Goals / game

1.29

1.88

Conceded / game

0.86

63%

BTTS %

58%

19%

Clean sheet %

42%

75%

Over 2.5 %

33%

5.8

Avg corners

3.9

14.9

Avg shots

12.9

5.8

Avg shots on target

4.3

1.6

Avg yellow cards

1.8

9.6

Avg fouls

12.2

47.8%

Avg possession

47.8%

Home vs Away

Chelsea

Home (4)

—

Leeds

Away (3)

1.75

PPG

1.33

50%

Win %

33%

2.75

Goals / game

1.00

2.00

Conceded / game

1.00

64%

BTTS %

67%

18%

Clean sheet %

33%

73%

Over 2.5 %

33%

5.8

Avg corners

3.9

14.9

Avg shots

12.9

5.8

Avg shots on target

4.3

1.6

Avg yellow cards

1.8

47.8%

Avg possession

47.8%

Goals Scored

	Chelsea	Home	Away	Leeds	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	81%	82%	80%	92%	83%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	69%	73%	60%	42%	50%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	50%	55%	40%	25%	33%	17%
Failed To Score	19%	18%	20%	8%	17%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Chelsea	Home	Away	Leeds	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	81%	82%	80%	58%	50%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	63%	55%	80%	17%	0%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	31%	27%	40%	8%	0%	17%
Clean Sheets	19%	18%	20%	42%	50%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Chelsea	Leeds
Over 0.5	100%	92%
Over 1.5	94%	83%
Over 2.5	75%	33%
Over 3.5	50%	25%
Over 4.5	38%	17%
BTTS	63%	58%
BTTS & Win	38%	8%
BTTS & Draw	13%	33%
BTTS & Over 2.5	63%	25%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	13%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Chelsea	Leeds
Win 1st Half	25%	42%
Draw 1st Half	63%	42%
Loss 1st Half	13%	17%
Scored 1st Half	63%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	56%	25%
Win 2nd Half	50%	50%
Draw 2nd Half	13%	25%
Loss 2nd Half	38%	25%
Scored 2nd Half	69%	75%
Conceded 2nd Half	69%	33%
Over 0.5 HT	69%	67%
Over 1.5 HT	56%	25%

Recent Venue Form

Chelsea (H)

Tottenham0–2

Bournemouth5–1

Hull City2–2

Leeds6–3

Brighton4–3

Luton2–0

Leeds (A)

Arsenal1–2

Chelsea3–6

Brighton1–1

Nottingham Forest2–0

Nottingham Forest1–0

Manchester United1–1

Number of Corners

11.0

Corners / Match

10 games

League Avg

9.5

75 games

7.9

Corners / Match

9 games

Match Corners	Chelsea	Leeds	League Avg
Over 6	100%	67%	88%
Over 7	100%	44%	71%
Over 8	70%	33%	51%
Over 9	70%	33%	47%
Over 10	50%	22%	39%
Over 11	40%	11%	27%
Over 12	20%	11%	17%
Over 13	20%	0%	9%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Chelsea	Leeds
Corners Earned / Match	5.8	3.9
Corners Against / Match	5.2	4.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	90%	67%
Over 3.5 Corners For	70%	67%
Over 4.5 Corners For	40%	44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	90%	33%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	70%	33%

Head to Head · 12 matches

Chelsea

67%

Draws

17%

Leeds

17%

75%

Over 1.5

9/12

75%

Over 2.5

9/12

58%

Over 3.5

7/12

58%

BTTS

7/12

09/09/26

Chelsea

6–3

Leeds

26/04/26

Chelsea

1–0

Leeds

10/02/26

Chelsea

2–2

Leeds

03/12/25

Leeds

3–1

Chelsea

28/02/24

Chelsea

3–2

Leeds

04/03/23

Chelsea

1–0

Leeds

21/08/22

Leeds

3–0

Chelsea

11/05/22

Leeds

0–3

Chelsea

11/12/21

Chelsea

3–2

Leeds

13/03/21

Leeds

0–0

Chelsea

05/12/20

Chelsea

3–1

Leeds

19/12/12

Leeds

1–5

Chelsea

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	+8	21
3	Brighton	7	5	1	1	+18	16
4	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	-3	11
7	Brentford	7	2	4	1	+5	10
8	Leeds	7	2	4	1	+3	10
9	Everton	8	2	4	2	-1	10
10	Ipswich	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Hull City	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Tottenham	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Fulham	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Newcastle	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Manchester United	7	1	4	2	0	7
16	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-8	7
17	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Nottingham Forest	8	1	3	4	-4	6
19	Coventry	8	2	0	6	-9	6
20	Sunderland	7	1	1	5	-8	4