Aston Villa vs Sunderland — Premier League
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Villa Park·Birmingham·England·42,824
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Aston Villa and Sunderland meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Aston Villa have recorded 10 wins from 21 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Sunderland have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Aston Villa and 1.34 for Sunderland. The models give Aston Villa a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Sunderland win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Aston Villa—
Sunderland6º
Position
20º
1.38
PPG
0.57
38%
Win %
14%
1.13
Goals / game
0.86
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
50%
19%
Clean sheet %
29%
86%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.5
Avg corners
5.8
14.3
Avg shots
14.7
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.7
Avg fouls
12.2
46.2%
Avg possession
50.6%
Home vs Away
Aston Villa
Home (4)
—
Sunderland
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
0.25
25%
Win %
0%
1.25
Goals / game
1.25
1.50
Conceded / game
2.50
75%
BTTS %
75%
13%
Clean sheet %
13%
88%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.5
Avg corners
5.8
14.3
Avg shots
14.7
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
46.2%
Avg possession
50.6%
Goals Scored
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Sunderland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 88% | 85% | 79% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 63% | 46% | 36% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 46% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 33% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Sunderland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 88% | 77% | 71% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 50% | 54% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 50% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 14% |
| BTTS | 71% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Aston Villa (H)W
Manchester City2–1
Manchester City2–1W
Viking3–1
Viking3–1W
Fenerbahçe6–0
Fenerbahçe6–0D
Brentford2–2
Brentford2–2L
Nottingham Forest1–2
Nottingham Forest1–2L
Arsenal0–1
Arsenal0–1Sunderland (A)D
Lech Poznan1–1
Lech Poznan1–1L
Bournemouth0–2
Bournemouth0–2W
Torreense2–1
Torreense2–1LManchester City3–5
Manchester City3–5DBrentford1–1
Brentford1–1L
Ipswich1–2
Ipswich1–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
10.6
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Aston Villa | Sunderland | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 54% | 73% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 54% | 55% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 45% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 45% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 27% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 18% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 18% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aston Villa | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 62% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 62% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 45% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
7
Aston Villa
44%
6
Draws
38%
3
Sunderland
19%
56%
Over 1.5
9/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
38%
Over 3.5
6/16
44%
BTTS
7/16
19/04/26Sunderland
Aston Villa
4–3Sunderland21/09/25Aston Villa
Sunderland
1–1Aston Villa06/03/18Aston Villa
Sunderland
0–3Aston Villa21/11/17Sunderland
Aston Villa
2–1Sunderland02/01/16Aston Villa
Sunderland
3–1Aston Villa29/08/15Sunderland
Aston Villa
2–2Sunderland14/03/15Aston Villa
Sunderland
0–4Aston Villa28/12/14Sunderland
Aston Villa
0–0Sunderland01/01/14Aston Villa
Sunderland
0–1Aston Villa30/11/13Sunderland
Aston Villa
0–0Sunderland29/04/13Sunderland
Aston Villa
6–1Sunderland03/11/12Aston Villa
Sunderland
0–1Aston Villa21/04/12Sunderland
Aston Villa
0–0Sunderland29/10/11Aston Villa
Sunderland
2–2Aston Villa05/01/11Sunderland
Aston Villa
0–1Sunderland23/10/10Aston Villa
Sunderland
1–0Aston Villa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Aston Villa have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aston Villa have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Aston Villa's points have been earned away.
Sunderland- ●Sunderland have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sunderland have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Sunderland failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sunderland have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Sunderland have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●71% of Sunderland's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Aston VillaWHManchester City2–1
Manchester City2–1WANewcastle1–0
Newcastle1–0DHBrentford2–2
Brentford2–2WATottenham3–2
Tottenham3–2LHNottingham Forest1–2
Nottingham Forest1–2DAHull City0–0
Hull City0–0–HFulham31/10
Fulham31/10–AManchester United08/11
Manchester United08/11–HSunderland21/11
Sunderland21/11SunderlandLABournemouth0–2
Bournemouth0–2LHBrighton0–2
Brighton0–2LAManchester City3–5
Manchester City3–5LHArsenal0–2
Arsenal0–2DABrentford1–1
Brentford1–1WHFulham1–0
Fulham1–0–HLeeds25/10
Leeds25/10–ACoventry31/10
Coventry31/10–HChelsea08/11
Chelsea08/11Top Scorers
Aston VillaNicolas Jackson7 ⚽
B. Madjo4 ⚽
Ross Barkley4 ⚽
Johan Manzambi3 ⚽
Emiliano Buendía3 ⚽
Tammy Abraham3 ⚽
SunderlandE. Le Fee3 ⚽
Brian Brobbey3 ⚽
W. Isidor2 ⚽
T. Hume2 ⚽
Enzo Le Fée1 ⚽
C. Rigg1 ⚽
Cards Given
Aston VillaAlysson4 🟨
4 🟨
Matty Cash3 🟨
Emiliano Buendía3 🟨
J. McGinn3 🟨
Joao Gomes3 🟨
SunderlandNordi Mukiele2 🟨
Reinildo Isnard Mandava2 🟨
Granit Xhaka2 🟨
Kevin Danso2 🟨
Enzo Le Fée1 🟨
D. Ballard1 🟨