Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City — Premier League
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Nottingham Forest and Manchester City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Nottingham Forest have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Manchester City have won 75% of their 16 matches, with 2.56 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Nottingham Forest and 1.51 for Manchester City. The models give Nottingham Forest a 23% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Manchester City win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 38% | 80% | 94% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 40% | 69% | 78% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 50% | 56% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 63% | 20% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 63% | 90% | 69% | 78% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 13% | 30% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 38% | 10% | 31% | 22% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 38% |
| BTTS | 44% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 77% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 69% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 62% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 54% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 54% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 15% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 15% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nottingham Forest | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 44% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 31% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 | |
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of Nottingham Forest's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Nottingham Forest's points have been earned away.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Manchester City's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Manchester City have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.