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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City — Premier League

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Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
18º · 0.75 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 22h
vs
–
–
Manchester City
Manchester City
1º · 2.63 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 6h
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Nottingham Forest and Manchester City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Nottingham Forest have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Manchester City have won 75% of their 16 matches, with 2.56 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Nottingham Forest and 1.51 for Manchester City. The models give Nottingham Forest a 23% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Manchester City win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Nottingham Forest
—
Manchester City
18º
Position
1º
0.75
PPG
2.63
13%
Win %
88%
0.75
Goals / game
2.50
1.25
Conceded / game
1.13
44%
BTTS %
63%
22%
Clean sheet %
31%
39%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.6
Avg corners
5.8
16.2
Avg shots
15.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
13.9
Avg fouls
11.0
46.8%
Avg possession
62.9%

Home vs Away

Nottingham Forest
Home (4)
—
Manchester City
Away (4)
0.25
PPG
2.25
0%
Win %
75%
0.00
Goals / game
2.25
0.75
Conceded / game
0.75
13%
BTTS %
43%
38%
Clean sheet %
43%
25%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.6
Avg corners
5.8
16.2
Avg shots
15.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
46.8%
Avg possession
62.9%

Goals Scored

Nottingham ForestHomeAwayManchester CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored61%38%80%94%100%86%
Over 1.5 Scored39%38%40%69%78%57%
Over 2.5 Scored6%13%0%50%56%43%
Failed To Score39%63%20%6%0%14%

Goals Conceded

Nottingham ForestHomeAwayManchester CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded78%63%90%69%78%57%
Over 1.5 Conceded22%13%30%31%33%29%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%20%19%22%14%
Clean Sheets22%38%10%31%22%43%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Nottingham ForestManchester City
Over 0.594%100%
Over 1.567%88%
Over 2.539%75%
Over 3.517%50%
Over 4.56%38%
BTTS44%63%
BTTS & Win17%44%
BTTS & Draw17%6%
BTTS & Over 2.533%56%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%19%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Nottingham ForestManchester City
Win 1st Half33%44%
Draw 1st Half50%25%
Loss 1st Half17%31%
Scored 1st Half56%50%
Conceded 1st Half33%56%
Win 2nd Half22%63%
Draw 2nd Half33%31%
Loss 2nd Half44%6%
Scored 2nd Half33%75%
Conceded 2nd Half56%44%
Over 0.5 HT67%81%
Over 1.5 HT28%50%

Recent Venue Form

Nottingham Forest (H)
LArsenal0–1
LCoventry0–1
DTottenham0–0
LLeeds0–2
LLeeds0–1
WStade Brestois 292–0
Manchester City (A)
LAston Villa1–2
WLiverpool3–0
WManchester United1–0
WFC Porto2–0
WCrystal Palace4–1
LArsenal0–3

Number of Corners

8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
9.3
Corners / Match
13 games
Match CornersNottingham ForestManchester CityLeague Avg
Over 667%77%88%
Over 756%69%71%
Over 833%62%51%
Over 933%54%47%
Over 1033%54%39%
Over 1133%15%27%
Over 1222%15%17%
Over 1311%0%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersNottingham ForestManchester City
Corners Earned / Match4.65.8
Corners Against / Match4.03.5
Over 2.5 Corners For78%85%
Over 3.5 Corners For56%85%
Over 4.5 Corners For56%69%
Over 2.5 Corners Against56%69%
Over 3.5 Corners Against44%38%
Over 4.5 Corners Against44%31%

Head to Head · 9 matches

1
Nottingham Forest
11%
2
Draws
22%
6
Manchester City
67%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
04/03/26
Manchester City
2–2
Nottingham Forest
27/12/25
Nottingham Forest
1–2
Manchester City
27/04/25
Nottingham Forest
0–2
Manchester City
08/03/25
Nottingham Forest
1–0
Manchester City
04/12/24
Manchester City
3–0
Nottingham Forest
28/04/24
Nottingham Forest
0–2
Manchester City
23/09/23
Manchester City
2–0
Nottingham Forest
18/02/23
Nottingham Forest
1–1
Manchester City
31/08/22
Manchester City
6–0
Nottingham Forest
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City8701+1121
2Arsenal8701+821
3Brighton7511+1816
4Chelsea8413+213
5Liverpool7331+112
6Aston Villa8323-311
7Brentford7241+510
8Leeds7241+310
9Everton8242-110
10Ipswich8314-410
11Hull City7232+19
12Tottenham8233-29
13Fulham8224-28
14Newcastle7223-48
15Manchester United714207
16Crystal Palace7214-87
17Bournemouth7133-46
18Nottingham Forest8134-46
19Coventry8206-96
20Sunderland7115-84

Team Insights

Nottingham Forest
  • ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Nottingham Forest have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●70% of Nottingham Forest's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●83% of Nottingham Forest's points have been earned away.
Manchester City
  • ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Manchester City have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●67% of Manchester City's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Manchester City have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
DAIpswich10º1–1
LHArsenal2º0–1
LACrystal Palace16º1–3
LHCoventry19º0–1
WAAston Villa6º2–1
DHTottenham12º0–0
DALiverpool5º2–2
LHLeeds0–2
LHLeeds8º0–1
LAAston Villa6º1–2
WHAEK Athens FC6º5–1
WHAEK Athens FC29º5–1
WHIpswich10º3–2
WALiverpool5º3–0
WHSunderland20º5–3
WHNorwich5–0

Season Schedule

Nottingham Forest
DAIpswich1–1
LHArsenal0–1
LACrystal Palace1–3
LHCoventry0–1
WAAston Villa2–1
DHTottenham0–0
–ABrentford31/10
–HManchester City07/11
–ABournemouth21/11
Manchester City
LAAston Villa1–2
WHIpswich3–2
WALiverpool3–0
WHSunderland5–3
WAManchester United1–0
WHCoventry1–0
–HBrighton31/10
–ANottingham Forest07/11
–HFulham21/11

Top Scorers

Nottingham Forest
Igor Jesus4 ⚽
A. Kalimuendo3 ⚽
D. Ndoye2 ⚽
L. Netz1 ⚽
Liam Delap1 ⚽
M. Gibbs-White1 ⚽
Manchester City
Erling Haaland11 ⚽
Rayan Cherki4 ⚽
Phil Foden4 ⚽
Floyd Samba2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽

Cards Given

Nottingham Forest
Murillo Santiago3 🟨
O. Aina2 🟨
Cunha2 🟨
James Mcatee2 🟨
Liam Delap2 🟨
Igor Jesus1 🟨
Manchester City
Josko Gvardiol4 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨
E. Anderson1 🟨