Brighton vs Brentford — Premier League
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Brighton and Brentford meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Brighton have recorded 11 wins from 15 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 2.80 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 73% of games. Brentford have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 2.91 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.32 for Brighton and 1.43 for Brentford. The models give Brighton a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Brentford win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Brighton—
Brentford3º
Position
7º
2.29
PPG
1.43
71%
Win %
29%
3.29
Goals / game
1.86
0.71
Conceded / game
1.14
27%
BTTS %
73%
73%
Clean sheet %
27%
67%
Over 2.5 %
82%
6.8
Avg corners
4.4
20.8
Avg shots
16.2
6.2
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.3
Avg fouls
14.0
64.3%
Avg possession
48.8%
Home vs Away
Brighton
Home (4)
—
Brentford
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
1.00
75%
Win %
0%
3.25
Goals / game
1.67
0.25
Conceded / game
1.67
22%
BTTS %
100%
78%
Clean sheet %
0%
78%
Over 2.5 %
83%
6.8
Avg corners
4.4
20.8
Avg shots
16.2
6.2
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
64.3%
Avg possession
48.8%
Goals Scored
| Brighton | Home | Away | Brentford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 78% | 67% | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 67% | 78% | 50% | 45% | 60% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Brighton | Home | Away | Brentford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 27% | 22% | 33% | 73% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 11% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 11% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 73% | 78% | 67% | 27% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Brighton | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 27% |
| BTTS | 27% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 47% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Brighton | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 64% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 82% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 80% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 13% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Brighton (H)W
Crystal Palace5–0
Crystal Palace5–0W
Kauno Žalgiris4–0
Kauno Žalgiris4–0W
Arsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0D
Leeds1–1
Leeds1–1W
Tromso4–0
Tromso4–0W
Aston Villa4–0
Aston Villa4–0Brentford (A)DAston Villa2–2
Aston Villa2–2W
Reading2–1
Reading2–1D
Bournemouth2–2
Bournemouth2–2DLeeds1–1
Leeds1–1W
Birmingham6–1
Birmingham6–1W
Rennes4–2
Rennes4–2Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
9.4
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Brighton | Brentford | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 67% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 67% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 44% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 11% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Brighton | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.8 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 83% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 44% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
8
Brighton
42%
5
Draws
26%
6
Brentford
32%
68%
Over 1.5
13/19
37%
Over 2.5
7/19
21%
Over 3.5
4/19
32%
BTTS
6/19
21/02/26Brighton
Brentford
0–2Brighton22/11/25Brentford
Brighton
2–1Brentford19/04/25Brighton
Brentford
4–2Brighton27/12/24Brentford
Brighton
0–0Brentford03/04/24Brighton
Brentford
0–0Brighton06/12/23Brentford
Brighton
2–1Brentford26/07/23Brighton
Brentford
0–2Brighton01/04/23Brentford
Brighton
3–3Brentford14/10/22Brighton
Brentford
2–0Brighton26/07/22Brentford
Brighton
0–1Brentford26/12/21Brentford
Brighton
2–0Brentford11/09/21Brighton
Brentford
0–1Brighton05/02/17Brighton
Brentford
3–3Brighton10/09/16Brentford
Brighton
0–2Brentford05/02/16Brentford
Brighton
3–0Brentford26/12/15Brighton
Brentford
0–0Brighton17/01/15Brentford
Brighton
0–1Brentford03/01/15Brighton
Brentford
0–2Brighton13/09/14Brighton
Brentford
3–2Brighton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Brighton- ●Brighton have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Brighton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Brighton have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Brentford- ●Brentford have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Brentford have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Brentford have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Brentford's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BrightonWHCrystal Palace5–0
Crystal Palace5–0WASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0WHArsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0WACoventry5–0
Coventry5–0DHLeeds1–1
Leeds1–1LAChelsea3–4
Chelsea3–4–ALiverpool25/10
Liverpool25/10–AManchester City31/10
Manchester City31/10–HBrentford08/11
Brentford08/11BrentfordLHLiverpool1–2
Liverpool1–2DAAston Villa2–2
Aston Villa2–2WHChelsea3–0
Chelsea3–0DABournemouth2–2
Bournemouth2–2DHSunderland1–1
Sunderland1–1DALeeds1–1
Leeds1–1–AHull City25/10
Hull City25/10–HNottingham Forest31/10
Nottingham Forest31/10–ABrighton08/11
Brighton08/11Top Scorers
BrightonJ. Hinshelwood4 ⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas4 ⚽
G. Rutter3 ⚽
Pascal Groß3 ⚽
Maxim De Cuyper2 ⚽
M. De Cuyper2 ⚽
BrentfordI. Thiago4 ⚽
K. Schade3 ⚽
K. Lewis-Potter2 ⚽
C. Wilson2 ⚽
Fabio Carvalho2 ⚽
D. Ouattara2 ⚽
Cards Given
BrightonMaxim De Cuyper3 🟨
Pascal Struijk2 🟨
Chema Andrés2 🟨
Pascal Groß2 🟨
Costinha2 🟨
Jaouen Hadjam1 🟨
BrentfordVitaly Janelt4 🟨
Igor Thiago4 🟨
Yehor Yarmoliuk2 🟨
Mamadou Sangare2 🟨
V. Janelt2 🟨
K. Andrews1 🟨