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Manchester City vs Brighton — Premier League

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England · Premier League · Regular Season - 9
Manchester City
Manchester City
1º · 2.63 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 3h
vs
–
–
Brighton
Brighton
3º · 2.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 22h
Etihad Stadium·Manchester·England·55,097
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Manchester City and Brighton meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Manchester City have recorded 12 wins from 16 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.56 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Brighton have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 2.80 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 73%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for Manchester City and 1.77 for Brighton. The models give Manchester City a 51% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Brighton win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.

Season Statistics

Manchester City
—
Brighton
1º
Position
3º
2.63
PPG
2.29
88%
Win %
71%
2.50
Goals / game
3.29
1.13
Conceded / game
0.71
63%
BTTS %
27%
31%
Clean sheet %
73%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.8
Avg corners
6.8
15.9
Avg shots
20.8
6.2
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.0
Avg fouls
13.3
62.9%
Avg possession
64.3%

Home vs Away

Manchester City
Home (4)
—
Brighton
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
67%
2.75
Goals / game
3.33
1.50
Conceded / game
1.33
78%
BTTS %
33%
22%
Clean sheet %
67%
78%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.8
Avg corners
6.8
15.9
Avg shots
20.8
6.2
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
62.9%
Avg possession
64.3%

Goals Scored

Manchester CityHomeAwayBrightonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored94%100%86%87%100%67%
Over 1.5 Scored69%78%57%73%78%67%
Over 2.5 Scored50%56%43%67%78%50%
Failed To Score6%0%14%13%0%33%

Goals Conceded

Manchester CityHomeAwayBrightonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded69%78%57%27%22%33%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%33%29%20%11%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded19%22%14%13%11%17%
Clean Sheets31%22%43%73%78%67%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Manchester CityBrighton
Over 0.5100%87%
Over 1.588%80%
Over 2.575%67%
Over 3.550%53%
Over 4.538%33%
BTTS63%27%
BTTS & Win44%13%
BTTS & Draw6%7%
BTTS & Over 2.556%20%
BTTS No & Over 2.519%47%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Manchester CityBrighton
Win 1st Half44%47%
Draw 1st Half25%33%
Loss 1st Half31%20%
Scored 1st Half50%67%
Conceded 1st Half56%27%
Win 2nd Half63%80%
Draw 2nd Half31%20%
Loss 2nd Half6%0%
Scored 2nd Half75%80%
Conceded 2nd Half44%13%
Over 0.5 HT81%73%
Over 1.5 HT50%60%

Recent Venue Form

Manchester City (H)
WAEK Athens FC5–1
WIpswich3–2
LParis Saint Germain2–4
WSunderland5–3
WNorwich5–0
WCoventry1–0
Brighton (A)
DFK Jablonec0–0
WSunderland2–0
WManchester United3–2
WCoventry5–0
LChelsea3–4
DTromso0–0

Number of Corners

9.3
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
10.6
Corners / Match
12 games
Match CornersManchester CityBrightonLeague Avg
Over 677%100%88%
Over 769%75%71%
Over 862%67%51%
Over 954%58%47%
Over 1054%58%39%
Over 1115%42%27%
Over 1215%33%17%
Over 130%8%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersManchester CityBrighton
Corners Earned / Match5.86.8
Corners Against / Match3.53.8
Over 2.5 Corners For85%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For85%83%
Over 4.5 Corners For69%83%
Over 2.5 Corners Against69%67%
Over 3.5 Corners Against38%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against31%50%

Head to Head · 19 matches

13
Manchester City
68%
3
Draws
16%
3
Brighton
16%
89%
Over 1.5
17/19
68%
Over 2.5
13/19
47%
Over 3.5
9/19
58%
BTTS
11/19
07/01/26
Manchester City
1–1
Brighton
31/08/25
Brighton
2–1
Manchester City
15/03/25
Manchester City
2–2
Brighton
09/11/24
Brighton
2–1
Manchester City
25/04/24
Brighton
0–4
Manchester City
21/10/23
Manchester City
2–1
Brighton
24/05/23
Brighton
1–1
Manchester City
22/10/22
Manchester City
3–1
Brighton
20/04/22
Manchester City
3–0
Brighton
23/10/21
Brighton
1–4
Manchester City
18/05/21
Brighton
3–2
Manchester City
13/01/21
Manchester City
1–0
Brighton
11/07/20
Brighton
0–5
Manchester City
31/08/19
Manchester City
4–0
Brighton
12/05/19
Brighton
1–4
Manchester City
06/04/19
Manchester City
1–0
Brighton
29/09/18
Manchester City
2–0
Brighton
09/05/18
Manchester City
3–1
Brighton
12/08/17
Brighton
0–2
Manchester City
Premier League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City8701+1121
2Arsenal8701+821
3Brighton7511+1816
4Chelsea8413+213
5Liverpool7331+112
6Aston Villa8323-311
7Brentford7241+510
8Leeds7241+310
9Everton8242-110
10Ipswich8314-410
11Hull City7232+19
12Tottenham8233-29
13Fulham8224-28
14Newcastle7223-48
15Manchester United714207
16Crystal Palace7214-87
17Bournemouth7133-46
18Nottingham Forest8134-46
19Coventry8206-96
20Sunderland7115-84

Team Insights

Manchester City
  • ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Manchester City have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●67% of Manchester City's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Manchester City have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Brighton
  • ●Brighton have won their last 4 matches.
  • ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Brighton have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Brighton have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Manchester CityManchester City
LAAston Villa6º1–2
WHAEK Athens FC6º5–1
WHAEK Athens FC29º5–1
WHIpswich10º3–2
LHParis Saint Germain21º2–4
LHParis Saint Germain1º2–4
WALiverpool5º3–0
WHSunderland20º5–3
WHNorwich5–0
WAManchester United15º1–0
BrightonBrighton
DAFK Jablonec19º0–0
DAFK Jablonec24º0–0
WHCrystal Palace16º5–0
WHKauno Žalgiris21º4–0
WHKauno Žalgiris36º4–0
WASunderland20º2–0
WHArsenal2º3–0
WAManchester United3–2
WACoventry19º5–0
DHLeeds8º1–1

Season Schedule

Manchester City
LAAston Villa1–2
WHIpswich3–2
WALiverpool3–0
WHSunderland5–3
WAManchester United1–0
WHCoventry1–0
–HBrighton31/10
–ANottingham Forest07/11
–HFulham21/11
Brighton
WHCrystal Palace5–0
WASunderland2–0
WHArsenal3–0
WACoventry5–0
DHLeeds1–1
LAChelsea3–4
–ALiverpool25/10
–AManchester City31/10
–HBrentford08/11

Top Scorers

Manchester City
Erling Haaland11 ⚽
Rayan Cherki4 ⚽
Phil Foden4 ⚽
Floyd Samba2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
Brighton
J. Hinshelwood4 ⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas4 ⚽
G. Rutter3 ⚽
Pascal Groß3 ⚽
Maxim De Cuyper2 ⚽
M. De Cuyper2 ⚽

Cards Given

Manchester City
Josko Gvardiol4 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨
E. Anderson1 🟨
Brighton
Maxim De Cuyper3 🟨
Pascal Struijk2 🟨
Chema Andrés2 🟨
Pascal Groß2 🟨
Costinha2 🟨
Jaouen Hadjam1 🟨