Bournemouth vs Leeds — Premier League
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Bournemouth and Leeds meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Bournemouth have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.69 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Leeds have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Bournemouth and 1.26 for Leeds. The models give Bournemouth a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leeds win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Bournemouth—
Leeds17º
Position
8º
0.86
PPG
1.43
14%
Win %
29%
1.29
Goals / game
1.29
1.86
Conceded / game
0.86
69%
BTTS %
58%
25%
Clean sheet %
42%
81%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.4
Avg corners
3.9
17.8
Avg shots
12.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
13.1
Avg fouls
12.2
54.0%
Avg possession
47.8%
Home vs Away
Bournemouth
Home (4)
—
Leeds
Away (3)
1.25
PPG
1.33
25%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
44%
BTTS %
67%
44%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.4
Avg corners
3.9
17.8
Avg shots
12.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
54.0%
Avg possession
47.8%
Goals Scored
| Bournemouth | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 89% | 100% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 78% | 57% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 56% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 11% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Bournemouth | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 56% | 100% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 11% | 86% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 44% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bournemouth | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS | 69% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bournemouth | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 73% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 7% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 87% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 7% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Bournemouth (H)W
AC Milan3–0
AC Milan3–0W
Sunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0W
Sturm Graz3–0
Sturm Graz3–0L
Liverpool0–1
Liverpool0–1D
Brentford2–2
Brentford2–2W
Lincoln4–0
Lincoln4–0Leeds (A)L
Arsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2L
Chelsea3–6
Chelsea3–6D
Brighton1–1
Brighton1–1W
Nottingham Forest2–0
Nottingham Forest2–0WNottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0D
Manchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
7.9
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Bournemouth | Leeds | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 44% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 33% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 22% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 11% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bournemouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 33% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
2
Bournemouth
25%
2
Draws
25%
4
Leeds
50%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
88%
Over 2.5
7/8
75%
Over 3.5
6/8
88%
BTTS
7/8
22/04/26Leeds
Bournemouth
2–2Leeds27/09/25Bournemouth
Leeds
2–2Bournemouth30/04/23Leeds
Bournemouth
4–1Leeds05/11/22Bournemouth
Leeds
4–3Bournemouth20/01/15Bournemouth
Leeds
1–0Bournemouth16/09/14Leeds
Bournemouth
1–3Leeds25/03/14Leeds
Bournemouth
4–1Leeds01/10/13Bournemouth
Leeds
2–1Bournemouth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Bournemouth- ●Bournemouth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Bournemouth's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Bournemouth's points have been earned at home.
- ●Bournemouth have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Leeds- ●Leeds have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Leeds's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BournemouthWHSunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0LAChelsea1–5
Chelsea1–5LHLiverpool0–1
Liverpool0–1DHBrentford2–2
Brentford2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2DHEverton1–1
Everton1–1–AManchester United25/10
Manchester United25/10–HLeeds31/10
Leeds31/10–AIpswich08/11
Ipswich08/11LeedsDHManchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1LAArsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2DHCrystal Palace0–0
Crystal Palace0–0WHNewcastle4–1
Newcastle4–1DABrighton1–1
Brighton1–1DHBrentford1–1
Brentford1–1–ASunderland25/10
Sunderland25/10–ABournemouth31/10
Bournemouth31/10–HTottenham07/11
Tottenham07/11Top Scorers
BournemouthMarcus Tavernier4 ⚽
M. Tavernier3 ⚽
Francisco Evanilson3 ⚽
Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha3 ⚽
Justin Kluivert3 ⚽
Ryan Christie3 ⚽
LeedsDominic Calvert-Lewin3 ⚽
Jayden Bogle2 ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
A. Stach2 ⚽
J. Justin2 ⚽
Brenden Aaronson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Bournemouth4 🟨
Bafode Diakite3 🟨
Justin Kluivert3 🟨
Adrien Truffert3 🟨
Antonio Silva3 🟨
Adam Smith2 🟨
LeedsEthan Ampadu2 🟨
Jayden Bogle2 🟨
Ao Tanaka2 🟨
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 🟨
E. Ampadu1 🟨
D. Calvert-Lewin1 🟨