Sunderland vs Leeds — Premier League
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Stadium of Light·Sunderland·England·49,000
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Sunderland and Leeds meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sunderland have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Leeds have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Sunderland and 1.32 for Leeds. The models give Sunderland a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Leeds win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Sunderland—
Leeds20º
Position
8º
0.57
PPG
1.43
14%
Win %
29%
0.86
Goals / game
1.29
2.00
Conceded / game
0.86
50%
BTTS %
58%
29%
Clean sheet %
42%
36%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.8
Avg corners
3.9
14.7
Avg shots
12.9
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.2
Avg fouls
12.2
50.6%
Avg possession
47.8%
Home vs Away
Sunderland
Home (3)
—
Leeds
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
0.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
17%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.8
Avg corners
3.9
14.7
Avg shots
12.9
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
50.6%
Avg possession
47.8%
Goals Scored
| Sunderland | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 67% | 88% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 17% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 33% | 13% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sunderland | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 88% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 38% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 13% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sunderland | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sunderland | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Sunderland (H)L
Brighton0–2
Brighton0–2W
AZ Alkmaar1–0
AZ Alkmaar1–0L
Arsenal0–2
Arsenal0–2W
Hull City1–0
Hull City1–0W
Fulham1–0
Fulham1–0W
Rennes2–1
Rennes2–1Leeds (A)LArsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2L
Chelsea3–6
Chelsea3–6DBrighton1–1
Brighton1–1W
Nottingham Forest2–0
Nottingham Forest2–0WNottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0D
Manchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
7.9
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Sunderland | Leeds | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 44% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 33% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 22% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 11% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sunderland | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 33% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Sunderland
30%
4
Draws
40%
3
Leeds
30%
50%
Over 1.5
5/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
10%
Over 3.5
1/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
30/07/26Leeds
Sunderland
0–1Leeds03/03/26Sunderland
Leeds
0–1Sunderland28/12/25Leeds
Sunderland
1–1Leeds17/02/25Sunderland
Leeds
2–1Sunderland04/10/24Leeds
Sunderland
2–2Leeds09/04/24Sunderland
Leeds
0–0Sunderland12/12/23Leeds
Sunderland
1–0Leeds07/04/18Sunderland
Leeds
1–1Sunderland19/08/17Leeds
Sunderland
0–2Leeds04/01/15Leeds
Sunderland
1–0Leeds| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Sunderland- ●Sunderland have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sunderland have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Sunderland failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sunderland have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Sunderland have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●71% of Sunderland's goals conceded were conceded away.
Leeds- ●Leeds have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Leeds's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
SunderlandLABournemouth0–2
Bournemouth0–2LHBrighton0–2
Brighton0–2LAManchester City3–5
Manchester City3–5LHArsenal0–2
Arsenal0–2DABrentford1–1
Brentford1–1WHFulham1–0
Fulham1–0–HLeeds25/10
Leeds25/10–ACoventry31/10
Coventry31/10–HChelsea08/11
Chelsea08/11LeedsDHManchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1LAArsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2DHCrystal Palace0–0
Crystal Palace0–0WHNewcastle4–1
Newcastle4–1DABrighton1–1
Brighton1–1DHBrentford1–1
Brentford1–1–ASunderland25/10
Sunderland25/10–ABournemouth31/10
Bournemouth31/10–HTottenham07/11
Tottenham07/11Top Scorers
SunderlandE. Le Fee3 ⚽
Brian Brobbey3 ⚽
W. Isidor2 ⚽
T. Hume2 ⚽
Enzo Le Fée1 ⚽
C. Rigg1 ⚽
LeedsDominic Calvert-Lewin3 ⚽
Jayden Bogle2 ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
A. Stach2 ⚽
J. Justin2 ⚽
Brenden Aaronson1 ⚽
Cards Given
SunderlandNordi Mukiele2 🟨
Reinildo Isnard Mandava2 🟨
Granit Xhaka2 🟨
Kevin Danso2 🟨
Enzo Le Fée1 🟨
D. Ballard1 🟨
LeedsEthan Ampadu2 🟨
Jayden Bogle2 🟨
Ao Tanaka2 🟨
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 🟨
E. Ampadu1 🟨
D. Calvert-Lewin1 🟨