Manchester United vs Bournemouth — Premier League
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Old Trafford·Manchester·England·76,212
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Manchester United and Bournemouth meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Manchester United have recorded 4 wins from 17 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Bournemouth have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 2.69 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.14 for Manchester United and 1.50 for Bournemouth. The models give Manchester United a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Bournemouth win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Manchester United—
Bournemouth15º
Position
17º
1.00
PPG
0.86
14%
Win %
14%
1.43
Goals / game
1.29
1.43
Conceded / game
1.86
65%
BTTS %
69%
12%
Clean sheet %
25%
47%
Over 2.5 %
81%
5.7
Avg corners
5.4
17.5
Avg shots
17.8
5.3
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.8
9.8
Avg fouls
13.1
51.8%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Manchester United
Home (3)
—
Bournemouth
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.33
Conceded / game
3.00
67%
BTTS %
100%
11%
Clean sheet %
0%
56%
Over 2.5 %
100%
5.7
Avg corners
5.4
17.5
Avg shots
17.8
5.3
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.8
51.8%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Bournemouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 78% | 75% | 94% | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 56% | 25% | 69% | 78% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 22% | 13% | 38% | 56% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 22% | 25% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Bournemouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 89% | 88% | 75% | 56% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 33% | 50% | 44% | 11% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 11% | 13% | 25% | 44% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester United | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS | 65% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester United | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 73% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 87% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 7% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchester United (H)D
Tottenham1–1
Tottenham1–1L
Brighton2–3
Brighton2–3L
Manchester City0–1
Manchester City0–1W
Sabah FA4–0
Sabah FA4–0W
Ipswich5–2
Ipswich5–2L
AC Milan2–4
AC Milan2–4Bournemouth (A)L
Chelsea1–5
Chelsea1–5W
Real Sociedad2–1
Real Sociedad2–1D
Newcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2LManchester City1–2
Manchester City1–2L
FSV Mainz 051–2
FSV Mainz 051–2D
Real Betis2–2
Real Betis2–2Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
9.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Manchester United | Bournemouth | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 82% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 45% | 73% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 55% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 55% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 27% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 18% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 18% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester United | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 55% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 9% | 27% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
10
Manchester United
53%
5
Draws
26%
4
Bournemouth
21%
84%
Over 1.5
16/19
68%
Over 2.5
13/19
42%
Over 3.5
8/19
63%
BTTS
12/19
20/03/26Manchester United
Bournemouth
2–2Manchester United15/12/25Bournemouth
Manchester United
4–4Bournemouth31/07/25Bournemouth
Manchester United
4–1Bournemouth27/04/25Manchester United
Bournemouth
1–1Manchester United22/12/24Bournemouth
Manchester United
0–3Bournemouth13/04/24Manchester United
Bournemouth
2–2Manchester United09/12/23Bournemouth
Manchester United
0–3Bournemouth20/05/23Manchester United
Bournemouth
0–1Manchester United03/01/23Bournemouth
Manchester United
3–0Bournemouth04/07/20Bournemouth
Manchester United
5–2Bournemouth02/11/19Manchester United
Bournemouth
1–0Manchester United30/12/18Bournemouth
Manchester United
4–1Bournemouth03/11/18Manchester United
Bournemouth
1–2Manchester United18/04/18Manchester United
Bournemouth
0–2Manchester United13/12/17Bournemouth
Manchester United
1–0Bournemouth04/03/17Bournemouth
Manchester United
1–1Bournemouth14/08/16Manchester United
Bournemouth
1–3Manchester United17/05/16Bournemouth
Manchester United
3–1Bournemouth12/12/15Manchester United
Bournemouth
2–1Manchester United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Manchester United- ●Manchester United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Manchester United have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Bournemouth- ●Bournemouth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Bournemouth's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Bournemouth's points have been earned at home.
- ●Bournemouth have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Manchester UnitedDALeeds1–1
Leeds1–1DHTottenham1–1
Tottenham1–1DAFulham1–1
Fulham1–1LHManchester City0–1
Manchester City0–1DAEverton2–2
Everton2–2WHIpswich5–2
Ipswich5–2–HBournemouth25/10
Bournemouth25/10–AChelsea31/10
Chelsea31/10–HAston Villa08/11
Aston Villa08/11BournemouthWHSunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0LAChelsea1–5
Chelsea1–5LHLiverpool0–1
Liverpool0–1DHBrentford2–2
Brentford2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2DHEverton1–1
Everton1–1–AManchester United25/10
Manchester United25/10–HLeeds31/10
Leeds31/10–AIpswich08/11
Ipswich08/11Top Scorers
Manchester UnitedB. Mbeumo4 ⚽
Bryan Mbeumo3 ⚽
B. Fernandes3 ⚽
J. Zirkzee2 ⚽
Benjamin Šeško2 ⚽
Matheus Cunha2 ⚽
BournemouthMarcus Tavernier4 ⚽
M. Tavernier3 ⚽
Francisco Evanilson3 ⚽
Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha3 ⚽
Justin Kluivert3 ⚽
Ryan Christie3 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchester UnitedHarry Maguire2 🟨
A. Heaven2 🟨
Bruno Fernandes2 🟨
Andrey Santos2 🟨
Diogo Dalot2 🟨
Luke Shaw2 🟨
Bournemouth4 🟨
Bafode Diakite3 🟨
Justin Kluivert3 🟨
Adrien Truffert3 🟨
Antonio Silva3 🟨
Adam Smith2 🟨