Liverpool vs Brighton — Premier League
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Anfield·Liverpool·England·61,276
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Liverpool and Brighton meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Liverpool have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Brighton have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 2.80 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 73%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Liverpool and 1.81 for Brighton. The models give Liverpool a 35% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Brighton win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Liverpool—
Brighton5º
Position
3º
1.71
PPG
2.29
43%
Win %
71%
1.29
Goals / game
3.29
1.14
Conceded / game
0.71
62%
BTTS %
27%
31%
Clean sheet %
73%
69%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.8
Avg corners
6.8
16.7
Avg shots
20.8
5.5
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.6
Avg fouls
13.3
55.3%
Avg possession
64.3%
Home vs Away
Liverpool
Home (3)
—
Brighton
Away (3)
0.67
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
3.33
1.67
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
33%
25%
Clean sheet %
67%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.8
Avg corners
6.8
16.7
Avg shots
20.8
5.5
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
55.3%
Avg possession
64.3%
Goals Scored
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 63% | 100% | 87% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 63% | 80% | 73% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 67% | 78% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 38% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 75% | 60% | 27% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 50% | 40% | 20% | 11% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 38% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 25% | 40% | 73% | 78% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 33% |
| BTTS | 62% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 47% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 80% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 13% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Liverpool (H)W
Villarreal4–3
Villarreal4–3L
Manchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3W
Tottenham3–1
Tottenham3–1D
Fulham0–0
Fulham0–0W
Atletico Madrid2–1
Atletico Madrid2–1D
Nottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2Brighton (A)D
FK Jablonec0–0
FK Jablonec0–0W
Sunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0W
Manchester United3–2
Manchester United3–2W
Coventry5–0
Coventry5–0L
Chelsea3–4
Chelsea3–4D
Tromso0–0
Tromso0–0Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
75 games
10.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Liverpool | Brighton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 67% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 58% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 55% | 58% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 45% | 42% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 8% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Liverpool | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 6.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 50% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
14
Liverpool
61%
4
Draws
17%
5
Brighton
22%
87%
Over 1.5
20/23
74%
Over 2.5
17/23
39%
Over 3.5
9/23
65%
BTTS
15/23
21/03/26Liverpool
Brighton
2–1Liverpool14/02/26Brighton
Liverpool
3–0Brighton13/12/25Brighton
Liverpool
2–0Brighton19/05/25Liverpool
Brighton
3–2Liverpool02/11/24Brighton
Liverpool
2–1Brighton30/10/24Liverpool
Brighton
2–3Liverpool31/03/24Brighton
Liverpool
2–1Brighton08/10/23Liverpool
Brighton
2–2Liverpool29/01/23Liverpool
Brighton
2–1Liverpool14/01/23Liverpool
Brighton
3–0Liverpool01/10/22Brighton
Liverpool
3–3Brighton12/03/22Liverpool
Brighton
0–2Liverpool30/10/21Brighton
Liverpool
2–2Brighton03/02/21Brighton
Liverpool
0–1Brighton28/11/20Liverpool
Brighton
1–1Liverpool08/07/20Liverpool
Brighton
1–3Liverpool30/11/19Brighton
Liverpool
2–1Brighton12/01/19Liverpool
Brighton
0–1Liverpool25/08/18Brighton
Liverpool
1–0Brighton13/05/18Brighton
Liverpool
4–0Brighton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Liverpool- ●Liverpool have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Liverpool have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●78% of Liverpool's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Liverpool's points have been earned away.
Brighton- ●Brighton have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Brighton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Brighton have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
LiverpoolWABrentford2–1
Brentford2–1LHManchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3WABournemouth1–0
Bournemouth1–0DHFulham0–0
Fulham0–0WAIpswich2–0
Ipswich2–0DHNottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2–HBrighton25/10
Brighton25/10–HArsenal01/11
Arsenal01/11–ACrystal Palace08/11
Crystal Palace08/11BrightonWHCrystal Palace5–0
Crystal Palace5–0WASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0WHArsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0WACoventry5–0
Coventry5–0DHLeeds1–1
Leeds1–1LAChelsea3–4
Chelsea3–4–ALiverpool25/10
Liverpool25/10–AManchester City31/10
Manchester City31/10–HBrentford08/11
Brentford08/11Top Scorers
LiverpoolAlexander Isak4 ⚽
Alexis Mac Allister4 ⚽
Bradley Barcola3 ⚽
A. Isak2 ⚽
C. Gakpo2 ⚽
Dominik Szoboszlai2 ⚽
BrightonJ. Hinshelwood4 ⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas4 ⚽
G. Rutter3 ⚽
Pascal Groß3 ⚽
Maxim De Cuyper2 ⚽
M. De Cuyper2 ⚽
Cards Given
LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister3 🟨
Ryan Gravenberch2 🟨
Milos Kerkez2 🟨
Jérémy Jacquet2 🟨
Ronald Araujo2 🟨
D. Szoboszlai1 🟨
BrightonMaxim De Cuyper3 🟨
Pascal Struijk2 🟨
Chema Andrés2 🟨
Pascal Groß2 🟨
Costinha2 🟨
Jaouen Hadjam1 🟨