Tampa Bay Sun W vs Sporting JAX W — USL Super League
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Tampa Bay Sun W and Sporting JAX W meet in the USL Super League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Tampa Bay Sun W have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Sporting JAX W have won 42% of their 19 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Tampa Bay Sun W and 1.64 for Sporting JAX W. The models give Tampa Bay Sun W a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sporting JAX W win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Tampa Bay Sun W—
Sporting JAX W7º
Position
3º
0.90
PPG
1.60
20%
Win %
40%
1.10
Goals / game
2.30
1.60
Conceded / game
1.80
80%
BTTS %
58%
0%
Clean sheet %
26%
60%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tampa Bay Sun W
Home (4)
—
Sporting JAX W
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.20
25%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
75%
BTTS %
70%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tampa Bay | Home | Away | Sporting JAX | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 75% | 83% | 74% | 56% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 25% | 33% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 37% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 25% | 17% | 26% | 44% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Tampa Bay | Home | Away | Sporting JAX | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 74% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 33% | 32% | 22% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 17% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tampa Bay | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 42% |
| BTTS | 80% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tampa Bay | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Tampa Bay (H)L
DC Power W1–2
DC Power W1–2L
Carolina Ascent W0–3
Carolina Ascent W0–3D
Lexington W1–1
Lexington W1–1W
Fort Lauderdale United W2–1
Fort Lauderdale United W2–1L
Dallas Trinity W0–2
Dallas Trinity W0–2LCarolina Ascent W1–2
Carolina Ascent W1–2Sporting JAX (A)DLexington W3–3
Lexington W3–3DCarolina Ascent W3–3
Carolina Ascent W3–3L
Brooklyn W2–3
Brooklyn W2–3DDC Power W1–1
DC Power W1–1WFort Lauderdale United W1–0
Fort Lauderdale United W1–0L
Miami City W0–2
Miami City W0–2Head to Head · 5 matches
0
Tampa Bay
0%
1
Draws
20%
4
Sporting JAX
80%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
60%
Over 3.5
3/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
22/08/26Tampa Bay Sun W
Sporting JAX W
3–2Tampa Bay Sun W20/12/25Tampa Bay Sun W
Sporting JAX W
3–1Tampa Bay Sun W07/12/25Sporting JAX W
Tampa Bay Sun W
0–3Sporting JAX W18/10/25Tampa Bay Sun W
Sporting JAX W
1–1Tampa Bay Sun W31/08/25Sporting JAX W
Tampa Bay Sun W
2–3Sporting JAX W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | DC Power W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 3 | Sporting JAX W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Lexington W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Dallas Trinity W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Brooklyn W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
Team Insights
Tampa Bay- ●Tampa Bay Sun W have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Sun W have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Sun W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Sun W have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Sun W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Sun W failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Sun W have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Tampa Bay Sun W's goals have been scored away.
Sporting JAX- ●Sporting JAX W have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Tampa BayLHDC Power W1–2
DC Power W1–2LABrooklyn W0–1
Brooklyn W0–1LALexington W1–2
Lexington W1–2LHCarolina Ascent W0–3
Carolina Ascent W0–3DHLexington W1–1
Lexington W1–1DADC Power W1–1
DC Power W1–1–AFort Lauderdale United W07/11
Fort Lauderdale United W07/11–HDallas Trinity W14/11
Dallas Trinity W14/11–HBrooklyn W21/11
Brooklyn W21/11Sporting JAXDHBrooklyn W4–4
Brooklyn W4–4DALexington W3–3
Lexington W3–3WHFort Lauderdale United W4–1
Fort Lauderdale United W4–1DACarolina Ascent W3–3
Carolina Ascent W3–3LHLexington W0–1
Lexington W0–1LABrooklyn W2–3
Brooklyn W2–3–ADallas Trinity W08/11
Dallas Trinity W08/11–HDC Power W15/11
DC Power W15/11–HCarolina Ascent W21/11
Carolina Ascent W21/11Top Scorers
Tampa BayS. Connors5 ⚽
T. Waldeck-Zierenberg3 ⚽
E. Dale1 ⚽
J. Zade1 ⚽
S. Nasello1 ⚽
Sporting JAXA. Puerta8 ⚽
B. DeSmit8 ⚽
P. Kenton3 ⚽
A. Hennessey1 ⚽
M. Illig1 ⚽
S. Boman1 ⚽
Cards Given
Tampa BayS. Connors4 🟨
K. Hill3 🟨
S. Nasello2 🟨
L. Scarpelli2 🟨
S. McNeill2 🟨
B. Hendrix1 🟨
Sporting JAXA. Hennessey2 🟨
M. Hughes2 🟨
G. Fontenot1 🟨
M. Descary1 🟨
S. Jones1 🟨
M. Illig1 🟨