Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W — USL Super League
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Sporting JAX W and Carolina Ascent W meet in the USL Super League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Sporting JAX W have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Carolina Ascent W have won 73% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 0.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 73%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Sporting JAX W and 1.39 for Carolina Ascent W. The models give Sporting JAX W a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Carolina Ascent W win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sporting JAX | Home | Away | Carolina Ascent | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 56% | 90% | 91% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 56% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 44% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Sporting JAX | Home | Away | Carolina Ascent | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 67% | 80% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 22% | 40% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 11% | 30% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 33% | 20% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sporting JAX | Carolina Ascent | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 9% |
| BTTS | 58% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sporting JAX | Carolina Ascent | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 73% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 | |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 | |
| 7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Sporting JAX W have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.