Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W — USL Super League
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Sporting JAX W and Carolina Ascent W meet in the USL Super League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Sporting JAX W have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Carolina Ascent W have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Sporting JAX W and 1.26 for Carolina Ascent W. The models give Sporting JAX W a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Carolina Ascent W win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Sporting JAX WCarolina Ascent WHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sporting JAX | Home | Away | Carolina Ascent | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 50% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 38% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 17% | 25% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sporting JAX | Home | Away | Carolina Ascent | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 75% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 25% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sporting JAX | Carolina Ascent | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sporting JAX | Carolina Ascent | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 80% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Sporting JAX (H)
Dallas Trinity W2–0
Tampa Bay Sun W3–2
TLH Reckoning W0–1
Miami City W0–0
Fort Lauderdale Utd II W2–1
Brooke House W0–0Carolina Ascent (A)
Lexington W1–0Dallas Trinity W3–1
DC Power W1–0Lexington W1–3Sporting JAX W1–0
Fort Lauderdale United W3–0Head to Head · 5 matches
Carolina Ascent WSporting JAX WCarolina Ascent WSporting JAX WCarolina Ascent W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Sporting JAX W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Dallas Trinity W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC Power W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Lexington W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 |  Brooklyn W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
Team Insights
Sporting JAX- ●Sporting JAX W have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX W have won their last 2 home matches.
Carolina Ascent- ●Carolina Ascent W have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Carolina Ascent W's points have been earned away.
- ●Carolina Ascent W have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sporting JAXBrooklyn W2–3DC Power W1–1Dallas Trinity W2–0Tampa Bay Sun W3–2Fort Lauderdale United W1–0Lexington W20/09Carolina Ascent W26/09DC Power W09/10Carolina AscentLexington W1–0Fort Lauderdale United W3–0Tampa Bay Sun W1–2Dallas Trinity W3–1DC Power W1–0Brooklyn W19/09Sporting JAX W26/09Tampa Bay Sun W10/10Top Scorers
Sporting JAXCarolina AscentCards Given
Sporting JAXCarolina Ascent