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Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W — USL Super League

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Sporting JAX W
Sporting JAX W
3º · 1.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 4h
vs
–
–
Carolina Ascent W
Carolina Ascent W
1º · 2.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 20d 23h
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Sporting JAX W and Carolina Ascent W meet in the USL Super League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Sporting JAX W have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Carolina Ascent W have won 73% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 0.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 73%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Sporting JAX W and 1.39 for Carolina Ascent W. The models give Sporting JAX W a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Carolina Ascent W win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Sporting JAX W
—
Carolina Ascent W
3º
Position
1º
1.60
PPG
2.36
40%
Win %
73%
2.30
Goals / game
1.64
1.80
Conceded / game
0.55
58%
BTTS %
27%
26%
Clean sheet %
73%
47%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Sporting JAX W
Home (5)
—
Carolina Ascent W
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
2.60
60%
Win %
80%
2.60
Goals / game
1.60
1.60
Conceded / game
0.20
44%
BTTS %
20%
33%
Clean sheet %
80%
44%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Sporting JAXHomeAwayCarolina AscentHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored74%56%90%91%100%80%
Over 1.5 Scored53%56%50%36%33%40%
Over 2.5 Scored37%33%40%36%33%40%
Failed To Score26%44%10%9%0%20%

Goals Conceded

Sporting JAXHomeAwayCarolina AscentHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded74%67%80%27%33%20%
Over 1.5 Conceded32%22%40%18%33%0%
Over 2.5 Conceded21%11%30%9%17%0%
Clean Sheets26%33%20%73%67%80%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Sporting JAXCarolina Ascent
Over 0.589%91%
Over 1.568%45%
Over 2.547%45%
Over 3.542%18%
Over 4.542%9%
BTTS58%27%
BTTS & Win26%9%
BTTS & Draw26%9%
BTTS & Over 2.547%27%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Sporting JAXCarolina Ascent
Win 1st Half21%55%
Draw 1st Half57%36%
Loss 1st Half21%9%
Scored 1st Half64%64%
Conceded 1st Half50%18%
Win 2nd Half43%27%
Draw 2nd Half50%73%
Loss 2nd Half7%0%
Scored 2nd Half71%55%
Conceded 2nd Half50%27%
Over 0.5 HT71%73%
Over 1.5 HT43%36%

Recent Venue Form

Sporting JAX (H)
DBrooklyn W4–4
WFort Lauderdale United W4–1
LLexington W0–1
WDallas Trinity W2–0
WTampa Bay Sun W3–2
LTLH Reckoning W0–1
Carolina Ascent (A)
DFort Lauderdale United W0–0
WTampa Bay Sun W3–0
WLexington W1–0
WDallas Trinity W3–1
WDC Power W1–0
LLexington W1–3

Head to Head · 6 matches

2
Sporting JAX
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Carolina Ascent
33%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
26/09/26
Carolina Ascent W
3–3
Sporting JAX W
24/05/26
Sporting JAX W
0–1
Carolina Ascent W
16/05/26
Carolina Ascent W
3–1
Sporting JAX W
31/01/26
Sporting JAX W
1–0
Carolina Ascent W
28/09/25
Carolina Ascent W
3–4
Sporting JAX W
13/09/25
Sporting JAX W
2–2
Carolina Ascent W
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W11821+1226
2DC Power W10523+417
3Sporting JAX W10442+516
4Lexington W10424+414
5Dallas Trinity W10424014
6Brooklyn W10325-811
7Tampa Bay Sun W10235-59
8Fort Lauderdale United W11218-127

Team Insights

Sporting JAX
  • ●Sporting JAX W have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Carolina Ascent
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.

Season Schedule

Sporting JAX
DHBrooklyn W4–4
DALexington W3–3
WHFort Lauderdale United W4–1
DACarolina Ascent W3–3
LHLexington W0–1
LABrooklyn W2–3
–ADallas Trinity W08/11
–HDC Power W15/11
–HCarolina Ascent W21/11
Carolina Ascent
WHLexington W1–0
DAFort Lauderdale United W0–0
WHDC Power W1–0
WATampa Bay Sun W3–0
DHSporting JAX W3–3
WHBrooklyn W1–0
–ABrooklyn W07/11
–ASporting JAX W21/11
–HDallas Trinity W28/11

Top Scorers

Sporting JAX
A. Puerta8 ⚽
B. DeSmit8 ⚽
P. Kenton3 ⚽
A. Hennessey1 ⚽
M. Illig1 ⚽
S. Boman1 ⚽
Carolina Ascent
J. Aguilera3 ⚽
R. Baisden3 ⚽
S. Groom2 ⚽
M. Corbin2 ⚽
R. Tappan2 ⚽
A. Coleman2 ⚽

Cards Given

Sporting JAX
A. Hennessey2 🟨
M. Hughes2 🟨
G. Fontenot1 🟨
M. Descary1 🟨
S. Jones1 🟨
M. Illig1 🟨
Carolina Ascent
S. Groom3 🟨
J. Aguilera2 🟨
R. Tappan2 🟨
J. Butler2 🟨
M. Corbin2 🟨
A. Cook2 🟨