Hamilton Academical vs East Kilbride — League One
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ZLX Stadium·Hamilton·Scotland·6,078
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Hamilton Academical and East Kilbride meet in the League One 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Hamilton Academical have recorded 17 wins from 27 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 52% of games. East Kilbride have won 50% of their 24 matches, with 2.54 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Hamilton Academical and 1.08 for East Kilbride. The models give Hamilton Academical a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an East Kilbride win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Hamilton Academical—
East Kilbride2º
Position
4º
2.54
PPG
1.50
77%
Win %
42%
2.08
Goals / game
1.75
0.46
Conceded / game
1.42
41%
BTTS %
71%
52%
Clean sheet %
17%
52%
Over 2.5 %
88%
6.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
8.5
Avg fouls
0.0
59.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Hamilton Academical
Home (7)
—
East Kilbride
Away (5)
2.71
PPG
1.40
86%
Win %
40%
2.14
Goals / game
1.20
0.57
Conceded / game
1.80
50%
BTTS %
67%
43%
Clean sheet %
11%
50%
Over 2.5 %
89%
6.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
59.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Hamilton Academical | Home | Away | East Kilbride | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 93% | 85% | 88% | 94% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 43% | 62% | 76% | 81% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 29% | 31% | 60% | 69% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Hamilton Academical | Home | Away | East Kilbride | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 48% | 57% | 38% | 84% | 81% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 7% | 15% | 48% | 44% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 7% | 0% | 40% | 31% | 56% |
| Clean Sheets | 52% | 43% | 62% | 16% | 19% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hamilton Academical | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 36% |
| BTTS | 41% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hamilton Academical | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 7% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 84% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Hamilton Academical (H)D
Raith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1D
Montrose1–1
Montrose1–1W
East Fife2–1
East Fife2–1W
Peterhead2–1
Peterhead2–1W
Kilmarnock II3–0
Kilmarnock II3–0W
Cowdenbeath1–0
Cowdenbeath1–0East Kilbride (A)WEast Fife3–0
East Fife3–0L
Stranraer3–4
Stranraer3–4W
Alloa Athletic2–1
Alloa Athletic2–1L
Ross County0–4
Ross County0–4WCowdenbeath3–1
Cowdenbeath3–1LMontrose0–3
Montrose0–3Team Corners
| Team Corners | Hamilton Academical | East Kilbride |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
5
Hamilton Academical
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
East Kilbride
0%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
80%
Over 3.5
4/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
05/09/26Hamilton Academical
East Kilbride
0–1Hamilton Academical06/09/25Hamilton Academical
East Kilbride
2–4Hamilton Academical14/10/23Hamilton Academical
East Kilbride
2–5Hamilton Academical26/11/22East Kilbride
Hamilton Academical
4–0East Kilbride15/07/17Hamilton Academical
East Kilbride
1–3Hamilton Academical| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +37 | 35 |
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | +21 | 33 |
| 3 | Montrose | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 20 |
| 4 | East Kilbride | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 6 |  Airdrie United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 13 |
| 7 |  Queen of the South | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 13 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | East Fife | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Cove Rangers | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Hamilton Academical- ●Hamilton Academical have been undefeated in their last 13 matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
East Kilbride- ●East Kilbride have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●East Kilbride have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●East Kilbride failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●East Kilbride have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●East Kilbride have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●East Kilbride failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●East Kilbride have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●East Kilbride failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of East Kilbride's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Hamilton AcademicalDHMontrose1–1
Montrose1–1DARoss County1–1
Ross County1–1WHEast Fife2–1
East Fife2–1WAAirdrie United2–1
Airdrie United2–1WAAlloa Athletic3–0
Alloa Athletic3–0WHPeterhead2–1
Peterhead2–1–ACove Rangers07/11
Cove Rangers07/11–HRoss County14/11
Ross County14/11–AQueen of the South21/11
Queen of the South21/11East KilbrideLHRoss County1–2
Ross County1–2DHMontrose1–1
Montrose1–1DHAirdrie United2–2
Airdrie United2–2WAEast Fife3–0
East Fife3–0WAAlloa Athletic2–1
Alloa Athletic2–1WHPeterhead3–1
Peterhead3–1–AQueen of the South07/11
Queen of the South07/11–HAlloa Athletic14/11
Alloa Athletic14/11–APeterhead21/11
Peterhead21/11Top Scorers
Hamilton AcademicalA. Ryan10 ⚽
C. Blues8 ⚽
D. Thomas7 ⚽
K. MacDonald6 ⚽
S. Bannigan4 ⚽
S. McKinstry4 ⚽
East KilbrideC. Elliott21 ⚽
C. McGuffie11 ⚽
L. McGrattan6 ⚽
F. Gray4 ⚽
C. McKenzie3 ⚽
J. Balde3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hamilton AcademicalC. Blues5 🟨
S. Bannigan4 🟨
A. Comrie4 🟨
S. McKinstry2 🟨
S. Hendrie2 🟨
2 🟨
East KilbrideR. Armstrong5 🟨
D. O'Connor5 🟨
A. Steele3 🟨
S. Fagan3 🟨
J. Balde2 🟨
C. McGuffie2 🟨