Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd — Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium·Inverness·Scotland·7,918
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Inverness CT and Ayr Utd meet in the Championship 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Inverness CT have recorded 11 wins from 22 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Ayr Utd have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Inverness CT and 0.82 for Ayr Utd. The models give Inverness CT a 50% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ayr Utd win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Inverness CT—
Ayr Utd4º
Position
7º
1.58
PPG
1.09
42%
Win %
27%
1.33
Goals / game
0.91
0.92
Conceded / game
1.09
50%
BTTS %
47%
41%
Clean sheet %
32%
45%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.0
Avg corners
5.0
9.0
Avg shots
12.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.0
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
8.0
Avg fouls
13.0
58.5%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Inverness CT
Home (6)
—
Ayr Utd
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
1.40
50%
Win %
40%
1.17
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
22%
BTTS %
50%
56%
Clean sheet %
25%
11%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.0
Avg corners
5.0
9.0
Avg shots
12.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.0
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
58.5%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Inverness CT | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 67% | 92% | 79% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 33% | 62% | 53% | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 0% | 31% | 21% | 27% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 33% | 8% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Inverness CT | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 44% | 69% | 68% | 64% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 22% | 38% | 21% | 9% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 56% | 31% | 32% | 36% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 16% |
| BTTS | 50% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Inverness CT (H)W
Arbroath2–0
Arbroath2–0W
Stenhousemuir2–0
Stenhousemuir2–0W
Morton2–0
Morton2–0L
Raith Rovers0–2
Raith Rovers0–2D
Partick1–1
Partick1–1D
Dunfermline0–0
Dunfermline0–0Ayr Utd (A)W
Livingston2–1
Livingston2–1W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0LPartick0–1
Partick0–1LRaith Rovers0–2
Raith Rovers0–2L
Kilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3DDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1Number of Corners
6.0
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
13
Inverness CT
54%
6
Draws
25%
5
Ayr Utd
21%
71%
Over 1.5
17/24
54%
Over 2.5
13/24
33%
Over 3.5
8/24
58%
BTTS
14/24
12/09/26Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
1–3Inverness CT24/02/26Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
1–2Inverness CT16/03/24Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
1–2Ayr Utd06/01/24Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
1–3Inverness CT11/11/23Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
3–1Ayr Utd12/08/23Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
1–0Inverness CT05/05/23Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
1–2Ayr Utd04/03/23Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
1–2Inverness CT19/11/22Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
2–2Ayr Utd01/10/22Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
0–1Inverness CT09/04/22Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
2–2Inverness CT19/02/22Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
1–2Ayr Utd06/11/21Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
2–2Inverness CT21/08/21Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
1–0Ayr Utd30/04/21Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
2–2Ayr Utd20/02/21Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
0–2Inverness CT24/10/20Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
1–1Ayr Utd25/01/20Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
1–0Inverness CT07/12/19Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
2–0Ayr Utd05/10/19Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
0–2Inverness CT| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Inverness CT- ●Inverness CT have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Inverness CT have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Inverness CT's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Inverness CT have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Inverness CT have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Ayr Utd- ●Ayr Utd have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ayr Utd have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Ayr Utd have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Inverness CTWARaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0WHArbroath2–0
Arbroath2–0LAQueen's Park1–2
Queen's Park1–2WHStenhousemuir2–0
Stenhousemuir2–0WHMorton2–0
Morton2–0DALivingston2–2
Livingston2–2–ADunfermline31/10
Dunfermline31/10–HLivingston07/11
Livingston07/11–APartick14/11
Partick14/11Ayr UtdLHPartick0–1
Partick0–1DHDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1WALivingston2–1
Livingston2–1LHStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1WAQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0LHInverness CT1–3
Inverness CT1–3–HQueen's Park31/10
Queen's Park31/10–AArbroath07/11
Arbroath07/11–HRaith Rovers14/11
Raith Rovers14/11Top Scorers
Inverness CTA. Bavidge6 ⚽
R. Duncan4 ⚽
A. Stewart4 ⚽
P. Allan3 ⚽
A. Mackinnon3 ⚽
L. Longstaff3 ⚽
Ayr UtdO. Stirton7 ⚽
R. Taylor5 ⚽
L. McBeth3 ⚽
J. Murphy2 ⚽
B. Summers2 ⚽
K. Holt1 ⚽
Cards Given
Inverness CTA. Stewart5 🟨
R. MacGregor2 🟨
A. Mackinnon2 🟨
G. Shinnie2 🟨
M. Bates2 🟨
R. Savage2 🟨
Ayr UtdL. McBeth4 🟨
S. McMann3 🟨
O. Stirton2 🟨
K. Shanks2 🟨
K. Holt2 🟨
N. McAllister2 🟨