Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir — Championship
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Gayfield Park·Arbroath·Scotland·6,600
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Arbroath and Stenhousemuir meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Arbroath have recorded 7 wins from 20 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Stenhousemuir have won 59% of their 17 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Arbroath and 0.89 for Stenhousemuir. The models give Arbroath a 36% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Stenhousemuir win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Arbroath—
Stenhousemuir8º
Position
2º
0.92
PPG
2.09
25%
Win %
64%
0.58
Goals / game
1.18
1.50
Conceded / game
0.73
40%
BTTS %
29%
20%
Clean sheet %
53%
55%
Over 2.5 %
29%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
8.0
Avg shots
4.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
13.0
Avg fouls
17.0
56.0%
Avg possession
32.0%
Home vs Away
Arbroath
Home (5)
—
Stenhousemuir
Away (6)
1.60
PPG
1.67
40%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
0.83
0.80
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
38%
30%
Clean sheet %
38%
50%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
8.0
Avg shots
4.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
56.0%
Avg possession
32.0%
Goals Scored
| Arbroath | Home | Away | Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 80% | 30% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 30% | 30% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 20% | 70% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Arbroath | Home | Away | Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 70% | 90% | 47% | 33% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 40% | 50% | 24% | 11% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 10% | 30% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 30% | 10% | 53% | 67% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arbroath | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 12% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arbroath | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Arbroath (H)L
Morton1–2
Morton1–2W
Queen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1D
Dunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1W
Livingston1–0
Livingston1–0D
Inverness CT0–0
Inverness CT0–0W
Stirling Albion1–0
Stirling Albion1–0Stenhousemuir (A)L
Partick0–3
Partick0–3LInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2W
Ayr Utd1–0
Ayr Utd1–0WLivingston1–0
Livingston1–0WQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0D
Raith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1Number of Corners
5.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
6.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Arbroath | Stenhousemuir | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arbroath | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
5
Arbroath
56%
0
Draws
0%
4
Stenhousemuir
44%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
19/09/26Arbroath
Stenhousemuir
1–0Arbroath12/04/25Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
4–0Stenhousemuir22/02/25Arbroath
Stenhousemuir
2–0Arbroath02/11/24Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
1–0Stenhousemuir03/08/24Arbroath
Stenhousemuir
2–1Arbroath09/03/19Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
0–2Stenhousemuir12/01/19Arbroath
Stenhousemuir
1–4Arbroath01/12/18Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
5–2Stenhousemuir22/09/18Arbroath
Stenhousemuir
1–2Arbroath| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Arbroath- ●Arbroath have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Arbroath have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●78% of Arbroath's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Arbroath have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Stenhousemuir- ●Stenhousemuir have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Stenhousemuir's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Stenhousemuir's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Stenhousemuir have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ArbroathLALivingston0–1
Livingston0–1LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2LHMorton1–2
Morton1–2LAPartick0–3
Partick0–3WHQueen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1LAStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1–HRaith Rovers31/10
Raith Rovers31/10–HAyr Utd07/11
Ayr Utd07/11–ADunfermline14/11
Dunfermline14/11StenhousemuirLAPartick0–3
Partick0–3DHRaith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2WAAyr Utd1–0
Ayr Utd1–0WHArbroath1–0
Arbroath1–0WHPartick1–0
Partick1–0–HDunfermline27/10
Dunfermline27/10–HLivingston30/10
Livingston30/10–AMorton07/11
Morton07/11Top Scorers
ArbroathG. Reilly2 ⚽
R. Dow2 ⚽
A. Winter2 ⚽
M. McKenna1 ⚽
R. Flynn1 ⚽
R. Molotnikov1 ⚽
StenhousemuirL. O'Donnell4 ⚽
M. Anderson3 ⚽
E. O'Reilly3 ⚽
G. Buchanan3 ⚽
M. Aitken2 ⚽
L. Hodgkiss2 ⚽
Cards Given
ArbroathS. Constable6 🟨
M. McKenna5 🟨
S. Stewart4 🟨
S. Mackie3 🟨
B. Paterson2 🟨
T. Beadling2 🟨
StenhousemuirL. Grant7 🟨
M. Gillies5 🟨
M. Anderson5 🟨
K. Bilham4 🟨
S. Young4 🟨
C. Penman3 🟨