Dunfermline vs Arbroath — Championship
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Dunfermline and Arbroath meet in the Championship 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Dunfermline have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Arbroath have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Dunfermline and 0.60 for Arbroath. The models give Dunfermline a 58% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Arbroath win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 34%.
Season Statistics
Dunfermline—
Arbroath5º
Position
8º
1.64
PPG
0.92
36%
Win %
25%
0.82
Goals / game
0.58
0.55
Conceded / game
1.50
40%
BTTS %
40%
45%
Clean sheet %
20%
35%
Over 2.5 %
55%
5.0
Avg corners
3.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
13.0
50.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Dunfermline
Home (5)
—
Arbroath
Away (7)
1.80
PPG
0.43
40%
Win %
14%
1.00
Goals / game
0.29
0.40
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
20%
44%
Clean sheet %
10%
44%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.0
Avg corners
3.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
50.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Arbroath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 89% | 64% | 55% | 80% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 18% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 11% | 36% | 45% | 20% | 70% |
Goals Conceded
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Arbroath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 56% | 55% | 80% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 22% | 18% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 9% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 44% | 45% | 20% | 30% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dunfermline | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dunfermline | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Dunfermline (H)D
Partick1–1
Partick1–1D
Livingston0–0
Livingston0–0L
Aberdeen1–4
Aberdeen1–4W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0W
Raith Rovers1–0
Raith Rovers1–0L
Ross County1–2
Ross County1–2Arbroath (A)LLivingston0–1
Livingston0–1L
Inverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2LPartick0–3
Partick0–3L
Stenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1LRaith Rovers0–4
Raith Rovers0–4W
Morton2–1
Morton2–1Number of Corners
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
5.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Dunfermline | Arbroath | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dunfermline | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
9
Dunfermline
39%
6
Draws
26%
8
Arbroath
35%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
48%
Over 2.5
11/23
30%
Over 3.5
7/23
43%
BTTS
10/23
05/09/26Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–1Dunfermline08/05/26Dunfermline
Arbroath
0–0Dunfermline05/05/26Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–0Arbroath01/05/26Arbroath
Dunfermline
0–0Arbroath21/02/26Dunfermline
Arbroath
4–2Dunfermline06/12/25Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–2Arbroath13/09/25Dunfermline
Arbroath
0–5Dunfermline30/03/24Dunfermline
Arbroath
2–3Dunfermline17/02/24Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–1Arbroath23/12/23Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–1Dunfermline28/11/23Arbroath
Dunfermline
3–0Arbroath09/12/22Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–5Dunfermline05/03/22Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–0Dunfermline26/12/21Arbroath
Dunfermline
0–3Arbroath30/10/21Dunfermline
Arbroath
4–2Dunfermline28/08/21Arbroath
Dunfermline
0–3Arbroath24/04/21Arbroath
Dunfermline
4–3Arbroath06/02/21Dunfermline
Arbroath
2–0Dunfermline26/12/20Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–0Arbroath28/11/20Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–3Dunfermline| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Dunfermline- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Arbroath- ●Arbroath have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Arbroath have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●78% of Arbroath's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Arbroath have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DunfermlineWAQueen's Park1–0
Queen's Park1–0DHPartick1–1
Partick1–1DHLivingston0–0
Livingston0–0DAAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1WAMorton1–0
Morton1–0WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0–AStenhousemuir27/10
Stenhousemuir27/10–HInverness CT31/10
Inverness CT31/10–ARaith Rovers06/11
Raith Rovers06/11ArbroathLALivingston0–1
Livingston0–1LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2LHMorton1–2
Morton1–2LAPartick0–3
Partick0–3WHQueen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1LAStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1–HRaith Rovers31/10
Raith Rovers31/10–HAyr Utd07/11
Ayr Utd07/11–ADunfermline14/11
Dunfermline14/11Top Scorers
DunfermlineA. Tod7 ⚽
J. Cooper6 ⚽
K. Bray3 ⚽
O. Shaw3 ⚽
R. MacLeod2 ⚽
Z. Rudden1 ⚽
ArbroathG. Reilly2 ⚽
R. Dow2 ⚽
A. Winter2 ⚽
M. McKenna1 ⚽
R. Flynn1 ⚽
R. Molotnikov1 ⚽
Cards Given
DunfermlineA. Amade4 🟨
C. Kane3 🟨
O. Adams3 🟨
A. Tod2 🟨
D. Lobban2 🟨
S. Cleall-Harding2 🟨
ArbroathS. Constable6 🟨
M. McKenna5 🟨
S. Stewart4 🟨
S. Mackie3 🟨
B. Paterson2 🟨
T. Beadling2 🟨