Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers — Championship
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Somerset Park·Ayr·Scotland·10,128
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Ayr Utd and Raith Rovers meet in the Championship 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Ayr Utd have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Raith Rovers have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.95 for Ayr Utd and 1.03 for Raith Rovers. The models give Ayr Utd a 32% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Raith Rovers win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Ayr Utd—
Raith Rovers7º
Position
3º
1.09
PPG
1.75
27%
Win %
50%
0.91
Goals / game
1.33
1.09
Conceded / game
0.75
47%
BTTS %
37%
32%
Clean sheet %
42%
42%
Over 2.5 %
32%
5.0
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
0.0
56.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ayr Utd
Home (6)
—
Raith Rovers
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.83
17%
Win %
50%
0.83
Goals / game
1.17
1.17
Conceded / game
0.67
45%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
38%
45%
Over 2.5 %
25%
5.0
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
56.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ayr Utd | Home | Away | Raith Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 82% | 75% | 68% | 73% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 55% | 50% | 47% | 55% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 27% | 13% | 16% | 27% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 18% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Ayr Utd | Home | Away | Raith Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 64% | 75% | 58% | 55% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 9% | 38% | 16% | 27% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 36% | 25% | 42% | 45% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ayr Utd | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 0% |
| BTTS | 47% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ayr Utd | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Ayr Utd (H)L
Partick0–1
Partick0–1D
Dunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1L
Stenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1L
Inverness CT1–3
Inverness CT1–3D
Morton1–1
Morton1–1W
Arbroath2–0
Arbroath2–0Raith Rovers (A)DStenhousemuir1–1
Stenhousemuir1–1WMorton2–1
Morton2–1DPartick0–0
Partick0–0WInverness CT2–0
Inverness CT2–0LDunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1W
Queen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ayr Utd | Raith Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
14
Ayr Utd
38%
9
Draws
24%
14
Raith Rovers
38%
78%
Over 1.5
29/37
46%
Over 2.5
17/37
14%
Over 3.5
5/37
43%
BTTS
16/37
22/08/26Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
2–0Ayr Utd27/03/26Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
3–0Ayr Utd31/01/26Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
2–1Raith Rovers11/10/25Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
0–2Ayr Utd09/08/25Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
0–1Raith Rovers05/04/25Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
1–0Ayr Utd04/01/25Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
3–0Raith Rovers01/11/24Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
2–0Ayr Utd08/09/24Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
3–2Raith Rovers24/08/24Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
2–0Raith Rovers06/04/24Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
2–1Ayr Utd24/02/24Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
1–2Raith Rovers22/12/23Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
4–4Ayr Utd30/09/23Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
1–2Raith Rovers29/04/23Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
1–0Raith Rovers24/02/23Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
0–0Ayr Utd03/12/22Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
2–0Raith Rovers17/09/22Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
3–2Ayr Utd05/03/22Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
0–4Ayr Utd26/12/21Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
2–0Raith Rovers| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Ayr Utd- ●Ayr Utd have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ayr Utd have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Ayr Utd have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Raith Rovers- ●Raith Rovers have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Raith Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Raith Rovers have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Raith Rovers have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ayr UtdLHPartick0–1
Partick0–1DHDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1WALivingston2–1
Livingston2–1LHStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1WAQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0LHInverness CT1–3
Inverness CT1–3–HQueen's Park31/10
Queen's Park31/10–AArbroath07/11
Arbroath07/11–HRaith Rovers14/11
Raith Rovers14/11Raith RoversLHInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2DAStenhousemuir1–1
Stenhousemuir1–1WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0WAMorton2–1
Morton2–1LHLivingston0–2
Livingston0–2DAPartick0–0
Partick0–0–AArbroath31/10
Arbroath31/10–HDunfermline06/11
Dunfermline06/11–AAyr Utd14/11
Ayr Utd14/11Top Scorers
Ayr UtdO. Stirton7 ⚽
R. Taylor5 ⚽
L. McBeth3 ⚽
J. Murphy2 ⚽
B. Summers2 ⚽
K. Holt1 ⚽
Raith RoversJ. Rowe4 ⚽
L. Vaughan4 ⚽
A. Dowds3 ⚽
G. Oakley3 ⚽
K. Montagu2 ⚽
D. Easton2 ⚽
Cards Given
Ayr UtdL. McBeth4 🟨
S. McMann3 🟨
O. Stirton2 🟨
K. Shanks2 🟨
K. Holt2 🟨
N. McAllister2 🟨
Raith RoversJ. Rowe2 🟨
K. Montagu2 🟨
J. Baird2 🟨
C. Telfer2 🟨
G. Oakley2 🟨
K. Turner2 🟨