Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline — Championship
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Raith Rovers and Dunfermline meet in the Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Raith Rovers have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 32%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Dunfermline have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Raith Rovers and 0.84 for Dunfermline. The models give Raith Rovers a 43% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Dunfermline win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Raith Rovers—
Dunfermline3º
Position
5º
1.75
PPG
1.64
50%
Win %
36%
1.33
Goals / game
0.82
0.75
Conceded / game
0.55
37%
BTTS %
40%
42%
Clean sheet %
45%
32%
Over 2.5 %
35%
0.0
Avg corners
5.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
Raith Rovers
Home (6)
—
Dunfermline
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
0.67
0.83
Conceded / game
0.67
27%
BTTS %
27%
45%
Clean sheet %
45%
36%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
5.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
0.0%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| Raith Rovers | Home | Away | Dunfermline | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 73% | 63% | 75% | 89% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 55% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 27% | 0% | 15% | 22% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 27% | 38% | 25% | 11% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Raith Rovers | Home | Away | Dunfermline | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 55% | 63% | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 16% | 27% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 45% | 38% | 45% | 44% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Raith Rovers | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 32% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS | 37% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Raith Rovers | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 53% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Raith Rovers (H)L
Inverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0L
Livingston0–2
Livingston0–2W
Arbroath4–0
Arbroath4–0W
Ayr Utd2–0
Ayr Utd2–0D
Stenhousemuir1–1
Stenhousemuir1–1Dunfermline (A)WQueen's Park1–0
Queen's Park1–0DAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1W
Morton1–0
Morton1–0DArbroath1–1
Arbroath1–1LLivingston0–2
Livingston0–2DInverness CT0–0
Inverness CT0–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Raith Rovers | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 8.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 36 matches
13
Raith Rovers
36%
9
Draws
25%
14
Dunfermline
39%
78%
Over 1.5
28/36
36%
Over 2.5
13/36
19%
Over 3.5
7/36
42%
BTTS
15/36
28/08/26Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
1–0Raith Rovers14/03/26Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
3–0Raith Rovers27/12/25Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
1–2Dunfermline17/10/25Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
2–0Raith Rovers22/08/25Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
2–0Dunfermline14/03/25Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
2–0Dunfermline01/02/25Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
3–1Raith Rovers14/12/24Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
2–0Dunfermline13/09/24Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
2–0Raith Rovers09/03/24Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
2–0Dunfermline02/01/24Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
1–2Raith Rovers24/11/23Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
0–3Raith Rovers28/10/23Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
1–0Dunfermline26/08/23Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
0–1Raith Rovers15/07/23Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
1–1Dunfermline06/04/22Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
2–0Raith Rovers02/01/22Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
0–0Dunfermline26/10/21Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
1–1Raith Rovers29/09/21Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
1–1Dunfermline08/05/21Dunfermline
Raith Rovers
2–0Dunfermline| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Raith Rovers- ●Raith Rovers have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Raith Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Raith Rovers have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Raith Rovers have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Dunfermline- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Raith RoversLHInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2DAStenhousemuir1–1
Stenhousemuir1–1WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0WAMorton2–1
Morton2–1LHLivingston0–2
Livingston0–2DAPartick0–0
Partick0–0–AArbroath31/10
Arbroath31/10–HDunfermline06/11
Dunfermline06/11–AAyr Utd14/11
Ayr Utd14/11DunfermlineWAQueen's Park1–0
Queen's Park1–0DHPartick1–1
Partick1–1DHLivingston0–0
Livingston0–0DAAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1WAMorton1–0
Morton1–0WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0–AStenhousemuir27/10
Stenhousemuir27/10–HInverness CT31/10
Inverness CT31/10–ARaith Rovers06/11
Raith Rovers06/11Top Scorers
Raith RoversJ. Rowe4 ⚽
L. Vaughan4 ⚽
A. Dowds3 ⚽
G. Oakley3 ⚽
K. Montagu2 ⚽
D. Easton2 ⚽
DunfermlineA. Tod7 ⚽
J. Cooper6 ⚽
K. Bray3 ⚽
O. Shaw3 ⚽
R. MacLeod2 ⚽
Z. Rudden1 ⚽
Cards Given
Raith RoversJ. Rowe2 🟨
K. Montagu2 🟨
J. Baird2 🟨
C. Telfer2 🟨
G. Oakley2 🟨
K. Turner2 🟨
DunfermlineA. Amade4 🟨
C. Kane3 🟨
O. Adams3 🟨
A. Tod2 🟨
D. Lobban2 🟨
S. Cleall-Harding2 🟨