Stenhousemuir vs Livingston — Championship
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Ochilview Park·Stenhousemuir·Scotland·5,267
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Stenhousemuir and Livingston meet in the Championship 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Stenhousemuir have recorded 10 wins from 17 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. Livingston have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 0.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Stenhousemuir and 1.23 for Livingston. The models give Stenhousemuir a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Livingston win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Stenhousemuir—
Livingston2º
Position
6º
2.09
PPG
1.42
64%
Win %
42%
1.18
Goals / game
1.25
0.73
Conceded / game
0.92
29%
BTTS %
32%
53%
Clean sheet %
53%
29%
Over 2.5 %
37%
2.0
Avg corners
4.0
4.0
Avg shots
7.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
17.0
Avg fouls
14.0
32.0%
Avg possession
68.0%
Home vs Away
Stenhousemuir
Home (5)
—
Livingston
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
1.40
80%
Win %
40%
1.60
Goals / game
1.20
0.40
Conceded / game
0.80
22%
BTTS %
13%
67%
Clean sheet %
63%
22%
Over 2.5 %
25%
2.0
Avg corners
4.0
4.0
Avg shots
7.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
32.0%
Avg possession
68.0%
Goals Scored
| Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | Livingston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 78% | 75% | 74% | 91% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 33% | 38% | 53% | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 16% | 9% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 9% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | Livingston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 33% | 63% | 47% | 55% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 11% | 38% | 21% | 27% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 11% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 67% | 38% | 53% | 45% | 63% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stenhousemuir | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 29% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stenhousemuir | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 26% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Stenhousemuir (H)D
Raith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1W
Arbroath1–0
Arbroath1–0W
Partick1–0
Partick1–0L
Heart Of Midlothian0–3
Heart Of Midlothian0–3W
Inverness CT3–1
Inverness CT3–1W
Motherwell1–0
Motherwell1–0Livingston (A)D
Dunfermline0–0
Dunfermline0–0WRaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0W
Morton4–1
Morton4–1LArbroath0–1
Arbroath0–1LPartick0–2
Partick0–2DStenhousemuir0–0
Stenhousemuir0–0Number of Corners
6.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
6.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Stenhousemuir | Livingston | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stenhousemuir | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Stenhousemuir
13%
1
Draws
13%
6
Livingston
75%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
25%
BTTS
2/8
04/09/26Stenhousemuir
Livingston
0–1Stenhousemuir25/07/26Livingston
Stenhousemuir
0–0Livingston21/01/23Livingston
Stenhousemuir
1–3Livingston10/11/20Livingston
Stenhousemuir
0–4Livingston15/04/17Livingston
Stenhousemuir
0–1Livingston21/03/17Stenhousemuir
Livingston
1–0Stenhousemuir13/12/16Livingston
Stenhousemuir
0–4Livingston20/08/16Stenhousemuir
Livingston
4–1Stenhousemuir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Stenhousemuir- ●Stenhousemuir have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Stenhousemuir's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Stenhousemuir's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Stenhousemuir have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Livingston- ●Livingston have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Livingston have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Livingston have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Livingston have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Livingston have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Livingston have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Livingston have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
StenhousemuirLAPartick0–3
Partick0–3DHRaith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2WAAyr Utd1–0
Ayr Utd1–0WHArbroath1–0
Arbroath1–0WHPartick1–0
Partick1–0–HDunfermline27/10
Dunfermline27/10–HLivingston30/10
Livingston30/10–AMorton07/11
Morton07/11LivingstonWHArbroath1–0
Arbroath1–0DADunfermline0–0
Dunfermline0–0LHPartick1–2
Partick1–2LHAyr Utd1–2
Ayr Utd1–2WARaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0DHInverness CT2–2
Inverness CT2–2–AStenhousemuir30/10
Stenhousemuir30/10–AInverness CT07/11
Inverness CT07/11–HMorton14/11
Morton14/11Top Scorers
StenhousemuirL. O'Donnell4 ⚽
M. Anderson3 ⚽
E. O'Reilly3 ⚽
G. Buchanan3 ⚽
M. Aitken2 ⚽
L. Hodgkiss2 ⚽
LivingstonR. Muirhead13 ⚽
T. Sinclair3 ⚽
S. May2 ⚽
G. Carey2 ⚽
B. van Hoeven2 ⚽
A. Denholm2 ⚽
Cards Given
StenhousemuirL. Grant7 🟨
M. Gillies5 🟨
M. Anderson5 🟨
K. Bilham4 🟨
S. Young4 🟨
C. Penman3 🟨
LivingstonE. Danso4 🟨
R. Muirhead3 🟨
B. Kabongolo3 🟨
C. MacPherson3 🟨
L. Polworth2 🟨
S. May2 🟨