Dunfermline vs Inverness CT — Championship
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Dunfermline and Inverness CT meet in the Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Dunfermline have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Inverness CT have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Dunfermline and 0.98 for Inverness CT. The models give Dunfermline a 43% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Inverness CT win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Dunfermline—
Inverness CT5º
Position
4º
1.64
PPG
1.58
36%
Win %
42%
0.82
Goals / game
1.33
0.55
Conceded / game
0.92
40%
BTTS %
50%
45%
Clean sheet %
41%
35%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
9.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
4.0
Avg yellow cards
0.5
0.0
Avg fouls
8.0
50.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Home vs Away
Dunfermline
Home (5)
—
Inverness CT
Away (6)
1.80
PPG
1.33
40%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
0.40
Conceded / game
1.33
56%
BTTS %
69%
44%
Clean sheet %
31%
44%
Over 2.5 %
69%
5.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
9.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
4.0
Avg yellow cards
0.5
50.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Goals Scored
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Inverness CT | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 89% | 64% | 82% | 67% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 18% | 50% | 33% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 9% | 18% | 0% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 11% | 36% | 18% | 33% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Inverness CT | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 56% | 55% | 59% | 44% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 22% | 18% | 32% | 22% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 44% | 45% | 41% | 56% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dunfermline | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dunfermline | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Dunfermline (H)D
Partick1–1
Partick1–1D
Livingston0–0
Livingston0–0L
Aberdeen1–4
Aberdeen1–4W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0W
Raith Rovers1–0
Raith Rovers1–0L
Ross County1–2
Ross County1–2Inverness CT (A)WRaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0LQueen's Park1–2
Queen's Park1–2DLivingston2–2
Livingston2–2W
Ayr Utd3–1
Ayr Utd3–1L
Stenhousemuir1–3
Stenhousemuir1–3L
Heart Of Midlothian2–6
Heart Of Midlothian2–6Number of Corners
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
6.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Dunfermline | Inverness CT | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 50% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dunfermline | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
5
Dunfermline
19%
14
Draws
52%
8
Inverness CT
30%
63%
Over 1.5
17/27
30%
Over 2.5
8/27
19%
Over 3.5
5/27
52%
BTTS
14/27
01/08/26Dunfermline
Inverness CT
0–0Dunfermline27/04/24Inverness CT
Dunfermline
1–1Inverness CT27/02/24Dunfermline
Inverness CT
0–0Dunfermline18/11/23Inverness CT
Dunfermline
1–1Inverness CT02/09/23Dunfermline
Inverness CT
1–1Dunfermline26/03/22Dunfermline
Inverness CT
2–0Dunfermline22/01/22Inverness CT
Dunfermline
1–1Inverness CT13/11/21Dunfermline
Inverness CT
1–2Dunfermline18/09/21Inverness CT
Dunfermline
0–0Inverness CT20/03/21Inverness CT
Dunfermline
0–1Inverness CT29/12/20Dunfermline
Inverness CT
1–1Dunfermline17/10/20Inverness CT
Dunfermline
3–1Inverness CT25/02/20Inverness CT
Dunfermline
1–2Inverness CT21/12/19Dunfermline
Inverness CT
2–0Dunfermline14/09/19Inverness CT
Dunfermline
0–1Inverness CT04/05/19Dunfermline
Inverness CT
1–0Dunfermline16/02/19Inverness CT
Dunfermline
1–0Inverness CT30/10/18Dunfermline
Inverness CT
2–2Dunfermline01/09/18Inverness CT
Dunfermline
0–3Inverness CT21/04/18Dunfermline
Inverness CT
2–2Dunfermline| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 |  Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Dunfermline- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Inverness CT- ●Inverness CT have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Inverness CT have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Inverness CT's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Inverness CT have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Inverness CT have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DunfermlineWAQueen's Park1–0
Queen's Park1–0DHPartick1–1
Partick1–1DHLivingston0–0
Livingston0–0DAAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1WAMorton1–0
Morton1–0WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0–AStenhousemuir27/10
Stenhousemuir27/10–HInverness CT31/10
Inverness CT31/10–ARaith Rovers06/11
Raith Rovers06/11Inverness CTWARaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0WHArbroath2–0
Arbroath2–0LAQueen's Park1–2
Queen's Park1–2WHStenhousemuir2–0
Stenhousemuir2–0WHMorton2–0
Morton2–0DALivingston2–2
Livingston2–2–ADunfermline31/10
Dunfermline31/10–HLivingston07/11
Livingston07/11–APartick14/11
Partick14/11Top Scorers
DunfermlineA. Tod7 ⚽
J. Cooper6 ⚽
K. Bray3 ⚽
O. Shaw3 ⚽
R. MacLeod2 ⚽
Z. Rudden1 ⚽
Inverness CTA. Bavidge6 ⚽
R. Duncan4 ⚽
A. Stewart4 ⚽
P. Allan3 ⚽
A. Mackinnon3 ⚽
L. Longstaff3 ⚽
Cards Given
DunfermlineA. Amade4 🟨
C. Kane3 🟨
O. Adams3 🟨
A. Tod2 🟨
D. Lobban2 🟨
S. Cleall-Harding2 🟨
Inverness CTA. Stewart5 🟨
R. MacGregor2 🟨
A. Mackinnon2 🟨
G. Shinnie2 🟨
M. Bates2 🟨
R. Savage2 🟨