ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian — Premiership
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ST Mirren and Heart Of Midlothian meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 5 December 2026. ST Mirren have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Heart Of Midlothian have won 42% of their 26 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for ST Mirren and 1.49 for Heart Of Midlothian. The models give ST Mirren a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Heart Of Midlothian win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
ST Mirren—
Heart Of Midlothian8º
Position
3º
1.17
PPG
1.82
33%
Win %
55%
1.00
Goals / game
2.18
1.67
Conceded / game
1.55
44%
BTTS %
69%
28%
Clean sheet %
19%
61%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.3
Avg corners
6.1
12.2
Avg shots
16.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.7
Avg fouls
12.5
49.8%
Avg possession
48.7%
Home vs Away
ST Mirren
Home (6)
—
Heart Of Midlothian
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.50
1.67
Conceded / game
2.17
63%
BTTS %
64%
13%
Clean sheet %
21%
63%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.3
Avg corners
6.1
12.2
Avg shots
16.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
49.8%
Avg possession
48.7%
Goals Scored
| ST Mirren | Home | Away | Heart Of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 75% | 70% | 88% | 92% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 40% | 46% | 67% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 25% | 30% | 19% | 25% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 25% | 30% | 12% | 8% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| ST Mirren | Home | Away | Heart Of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 88% | 60% | 81% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 40% | 46% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 30% | 12% | 0% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 13% | 40% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| ST Mirren | Heart Of | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 15% |
| BTTS | 44% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| ST Mirren | Heart Of | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
ST Mirren (H)D
Hibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1L
Dundee Utd0–3
Dundee Utd0–3L
Celtic1–2
Celtic1–2D
Motherwell3–3
Motherwell3–3W
ST Johnstone1–0
ST Johnstone1–0Heart Of (A)WMotherwell2–0
Motherwell2–0L
Trabzonspor0–2
Trabzonspor0–2LCeltic1–7
Celtic1–7D
Kilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1L
Falkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2W
Stenhousemuir3–0
Stenhousemuir3–0Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
11.4
69 games
10.8
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | ST Mirren | Heart Of | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 89% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 67% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 50% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 46% | 39% | 58% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 33% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 28% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 23% | 22% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | ST Mirren | Heart Of |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 85% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 85% | 44% |
Head to Head · 41 matches
9
ST Mirren
22%
11
Draws
27%
21
Heart Of
51%
83%
Over 1.5
34/41
41%
Over 2.5
17/41
27%
Over 3.5
11/41
46%
BTTS
19/41
10/10/26ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
5–0ST Mirren03/02/26Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
1–0Heart Of Midlothian14/01/26ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0ST Mirren29/10/25Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2–2Heart Of Midlothian16/08/25Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
1–1Heart Of Midlothian26/02/25ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
3–1ST Mirren10/02/25Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
1–1Heart Of Midlothian19/10/24ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
4–0ST Mirren21/09/24Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2–1Heart Of Midlothian15/05/24Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2–2Heart Of Midlothian06/04/24Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
1–2Heart Of Midlothian23/12/23ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0ST Mirren23/09/23Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
1–0Heart Of Midlothian13/05/23Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2–2Heart Of Midlothian08/04/23ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
0–2ST Mirren13/01/23ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
1–0ST Mirren07/01/23Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
1–1Heart Of Midlothian12/03/22ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
4–2ST Mirren26/02/22Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
0–2Heart Of Midlothian27/11/21ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0ST Mirren| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Team Insights
ST Mirren- ●ST Mirren failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●ST Mirren failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●ST Mirren have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●ST Mirren failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●ST Mirren have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of ST Mirren's goals have been scored at home.
- ●ST Mirren have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Heart Of- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
ST MirrenLAMotherwell0–1
Motherwell0–1DHHibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1WHDundee2–1
Dundee2–1LAAberdeen1–3
Aberdeen1–3LAHeart Of Midlothian0–5
Heart Of Midlothian0–5LHDundee Utd0–3
Dundee Utd0–3–HRangers07/11
Rangers07/11–ACeltic21/11
Celtic21/11–HKilmarnock28/11
Kilmarnock28/11Heart OfDHRangers2–2
Rangers2–2WAMotherwell2–0
Motherwell2–0LACeltic1–7
Celtic1–7WHST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0DAKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1LAFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2–HFalkirk08/11
Falkirk08/11–ADundee21/11
Dundee21/11–HCeltic29/11
Celtic29/11Top Scorers
ST MirrenS. Ramos4 ⚽
K. Phillips4 ⚽
R. Idowu3 ⚽
Eseosa Sule2 ⚽
C. R. Mochrie2 ⚽
Fraser Taylor1 ⚽
Heart OfC. Miller5 ⚽
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga4 ⚽
R. Mato4 ⚽
Calvin Miller4 ⚽
C. Braga3 ⚽
J. Wilson3 ⚽
Cards Given
ST MirrenR. Carr4 🟨
Alexander Gogić4 🟨
Paul Nsio3 🟨
Killian Phillips3 🟨
M. Fraser3 🟨
Ryan Carr3 🟨
Heart OfC. Braga4 🟨
T. Magnusson3 🟨
Sabah Kerjota3 🟨
J. Wilson2 🟨
J. Altena2 🟨
Calvin Miller2 🟨