Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen — Premiership
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Tynecastle Park·Edinburgh·Scotland·20,099
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Heart Of Midlothian and Aberdeen meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Heart Of Midlothian have recorded 11 wins from 26 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Aberdeen have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.20 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.24 for Aberdeen. The models give Heart Of Midlothian a 63% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Aberdeen win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian—
Aberdeen3º
Position
10º
1.82
PPG
1.00
55%
Win %
27%
2.18
Goals / game
1.09
1.55
Conceded / game
1.27
69%
BTTS %
39%
19%
Clean sheet %
30%
69%
Over 2.5 %
48%
6.1
Avg corners
6.5
16.1
Avg shots
13.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.5
Avg fouls
12.2
48.7%
Avg possession
50.2%
Home vs Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Home (5)
—
Aberdeen
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.80
80%
Win %
20%
3.00
Goals / game
1.40
0.80
Conceded / game
1.80
75%
BTTS %
38%
17%
Clean sheet %
31%
75%
Over 2.5 %
38%
6.1
Avg corners
6.5
16.1
Avg shots
13.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
48.7%
Avg possession
50.2%
Goals Scored
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Aberdeen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 92% | 86% | 65% | 60% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 67% | 29% | 52% | 60% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 14% | 30% | 40% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 14% | 35% | 40% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Aberdeen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 83% | 79% | 70% | 70% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 42% | 50% | 17% | 10% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 21% | 13% | 10% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 30% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Heart Of | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 17% |
| BTTS | 69% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Heart Of | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Heart Of (H)L
Hibernian1–2
Hibernian1–2D
Rangers2–2
Rangers2–2D
FC Nordsjaelland1–1
FC Nordsjaelland1–1W
ST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1W
ST Johnstone2–1
ST Johnstone2–1Aberdeen (A)LRangers0–1
Rangers0–1L
Dundee Utd2–3
Dundee Utd2–3W
Dunfermline4–1
Dunfermline4–1DHibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1W
Motherwell4–0
Motherwell4–0D
Kilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
18 games
League Avg
11.4
69 games
12.1
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Heart Of | Aberdeen | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 92% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 85% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 69% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 62% | 58% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 54% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 46% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 31% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Heart Of | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 69% |
Head to Head · 50 matches
19
Heart Of
38%
13
Draws
26%
18
Aberdeen
36%
74%
Over 1.5
37/50
42%
Over 2.5
21/50
14%
Over 3.5
7/50
42%
BTTS
21/50
01/08/26Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
2–1Heart Of Midlothian28/02/26Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
1–0Aberdeen23/11/25Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
1–0Heart Of Midlothian04/08/25Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Aberdeen19/04/25Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
1–2Aberdeen12/01/25Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
0–0Heart Of Midlothian01/12/24Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
1–1Aberdeen06/10/24Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
3–2Heart Of Midlothian27/01/24Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Aberdeen09/12/23Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
2–1Heart Of Midlothian16/09/23Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Aberdeen20/05/23Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
2–1Aberdeen18/03/23Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
3–0Heart Of Midlothian18/01/23Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
5–0Aberdeen16/10/22Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
2–0Heart Of Midlothian02/03/22Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Aberdeen30/10/21Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
2–1Heart Of Midlothian22/08/21Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
1–1Aberdeen29/12/19Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
1–1Aberdeen25/09/19Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
4–4Aberdeen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Team Insights
Heart Of- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals conceded were conceded away.
Aberdeen- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aberdeen have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Heart OfDHRangers2–2
Rangers2–2WAMotherwell2–0
Motherwell2–0LACeltic1–7
Celtic1–7WHST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0DAKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1LAFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2–HFalkirk08/11
Falkirk08/11–ADundee21/11
Dundee21/11–HCeltic29/11
Celtic29/11AberdeenLHFalkirk0–1
Falkirk0–1LADundee Utd2–3
Dundee Utd2–3WHST Mirren3–1
ST Mirren3–1LHST Johnstone0–1
ST Johnstone0–1DAHibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1WAMotherwell4–0
Motherwell4–0–HHibernian07/11
Hibernian07/11–AKilmarnock21/11
Kilmarnock21/11–ARangers24/11
Rangers24/11Top Scorers
Heart OfC. Miller5 ⚽
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga4 ⚽
R. Mato4 ⚽
Calvin Miller4 ⚽
C. Braga3 ⚽
J. Wilson3 ⚽
AberdeenK. Nisbet10 ⚽
Kevin Nisbet3 ⚽
A. Mouloua3 ⚽
Ayoub Mouloua2 ⚽
Connor Patrick Ronan2 ⚽
B. Lyons2 ⚽
Cards Given
Heart OfC. Braga4 🟨
T. Magnusson3 🟨
Sabah Kerjota3 🟨
J. Wilson2 🟨
J. Altena2 🟨
Calvin Miller2 🟨
AberdeenD. Happe4 🟨
Lewis Mayo3 🟨
A. Aremu3 🟨
L. Mayo2 🟨
Daniel Happe2 🟨
Ayoub Mouloua2 🟨