Falkirk vs Motherwell — Premiership
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Falkirk and Motherwell meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Falkirk have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Motherwell have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Falkirk and 1.45 for Motherwell. The models give Falkirk a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Motherwell win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Falkirk—
Motherwell4º
Position
9º
1.50
PPG
1.00
42%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
43%
39%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.3
Avg corners
4.6
11.7
Avg shots
12.6
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
14.8
Avg fouls
11.3
47.8%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
Falkirk
Home (6)
—
Motherwell
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
0.83
50%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
1.67
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
64%
44%
Clean sheet %
9%
56%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.3
Avg corners
4.6
11.7
Avg shots
12.6
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
47.8%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| Falkirk | Home | Away | Motherwell | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 78% | 89% | 67% | 60% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 44% | 33% | 43% | 40% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 22% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 22% | 11% | 33% | 40% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Falkirk | Home | Away | Motherwell | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 56% | 67% | 71% | 50% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 33% | 11% | 52% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 30% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 44% | 33% | 29% | 50% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Falkirk | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 19% |
| BTTS | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Falkirk | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Falkirk (H)W
Celtic2–0
Celtic2–0W
Kilmarnock3–0
Kilmarnock3–0L
Dundee1–2
Dundee1–2W
Heart Of Midlothian2–1
Heart Of Midlothian2–1L
Rangers1–2
Rangers1–2L
ST Mirren0–2
ST Mirren0–2Motherwell (A)D
ST Johnstone2–2
ST Johnstone2–2LKilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3LDundee1–2
Dundee1–2LRangers0–1
Rangers0–1DST Mirren3–3
ST Mirren3–3L
SC Freiburg1–4
SC Freiburg1–4Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
11.4
69 games
10.2
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Falkirk | Motherwell | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 94% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 88% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 77% | 69% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 63% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 54% | 44% | 58% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 25% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 13% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 13% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Falkirk | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 69% | 69% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Falkirk
60%
2
Draws
40%
0
Motherwell
0%
40%
Over 1.5
2/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
09/08/26Falkirk
Motherwell
0–0Falkirk02/05/26Motherwell
Falkirk
1–0Motherwell04/04/26Falkirk
Motherwell
2–3Falkirk03/12/25Motherwell
Falkirk
0–0Motherwell18/10/25Falkirk
Motherwell
1–2Falkirk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Team Insights
Falkirk- ●Falkirk have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Falkirk have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Falkirk have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Motherwell- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Motherwell's goals have been scored away.
- ●Motherwell have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FalkirkWHCeltic2–0
Celtic2–0WAAberdeen1–0
Aberdeen1–0WHKilmarnock3–0
Kilmarnock3–0WAHibernian2–1
Hibernian2–1LHDundee1–2
Dundee1–2DAST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1–AHeart Of Midlothian08/11
Heart Of Midlothian08/11–HST Johnstone21/11
ST Johnstone21/11–ARangers28/11
Rangers28/11MotherwellWHST Mirren1–0
ST Mirren1–0DAST Johnstone2–2
ST Johnstone2–2LHHeart Of Midlothian0–2
Heart Of Midlothian0–2LAKilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3LHCeltic0–2
Celtic0–2LADundee1–2
Dundee1–2–ADundee Utd07/11
Dundee Utd07/11–HRangers21/11
Rangers21/11–HHibernian28/11
Hibernian28/11Top Scorers
FalkirkJacob Murrell5 ⚽
R. MacIver3 ⚽
B. Parkinson3 ⚽
Ben krauhaus2 ⚽
Ethan Ross2 ⚽
C. Allan1 ⚽
MotherwellR. Charles-Cook3 ⚽
I. Said3 ⚽
Alex·Lowry3 ⚽
L. Fadinger3 ⚽
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden2 ⚽
T. Maswanhise2 ⚽
Cards Given
FalkirkBrad Spencer4 🟨
Owen Eames3 🟨
Ryan Strain2 🟨
Ben krauhaus2 🟨
Finley Frank Barbrook2 🟨
C. McLeod1 🟨
MotherwellL. Fadinger4 🟨
M. Moormann3 🟨
Tom Sparrow3 🟨
Emmanuel Longelo2 🟨
J. Girdwood-Reich2 🟨
Ibrahim Said2 🟨