Motherwell vs Hibernian — Premiership
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Fir Park·Motherwell·Scotland·13,742
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Motherwell and Hibernian meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Motherwell have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Hibernian have won 39% of their 23 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Motherwell and 1.38 for Hibernian. The models give Motherwell a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Hibernian win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Motherwell—
Hibernian9º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
0.73
25%
Win %
18%
1.17
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.55
43%
BTTS %
65%
29%
Clean sheet %
17%
57%
Over 2.5 %
61%
4.6
Avg corners
5.5
12.6
Avg shots
15.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.3
Avg fouls
11.7
51.4%
Avg possession
50.4%
Home vs Away
Motherwell
Home (6)
—
Hibernian
Away (5)
1.17
PPG
1.40
33%
Win %
40%
0.67
Goals / game
1.20
1.33
Conceded / game
1.20
20%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.6
Avg corners
5.5
12.6
Avg shots
15.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
51.4%
Avg possession
50.4%
Goals Scored
| Motherwell | Home | Away | Hibernian | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 73% | 74% | 91% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 40% | 45% | 39% | 36% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 27% | 26% | 9% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Motherwell | Home | Away | Hibernian | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 91% | 83% | 91% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 50% | 55% | 30% | 45% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 30% | 36% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 9% | 17% | 9% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motherwell | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 13% |
| BTTS | 43% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motherwell | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 83% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 4% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Motherwell (H)W
ST Mirren1–0
ST Mirren1–0L
Heart Of Midlothian0–2
Heart Of Midlothian0–2L
Celtic0–2
Celtic0–2L
Aberdeen0–4
Aberdeen0–4W
Dundee Utd3–0
Dundee Utd3–0L
SC Freiburg1–3
SC Freiburg1–3Hibernian (A)WHeart Of Midlothian2–1
Heart Of Midlothian2–1DST Mirren1–1
ST Mirren1–1LDundee Utd0–1
Dundee Utd0–1W
Ross County3–0
Ross County3–0L
ST Johnstone1–2
ST Johnstone1–2W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
11.4
69 games
10.7
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Motherwell | Hibernian | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 100% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 88% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 69% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 50% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 38% | 58% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 25% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 19% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 19% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Motherwell | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 69% | 56% |
Head to Head · 44 matches
16
Motherwell
36%
12
Draws
27%
16
Hibernian
36%
75%
Over 1.5
33/44
57%
Over 2.5
25/44
32%
Over 3.5
14/44
52%
BTTS
23/44
02/08/26Motherwell
Hibernian
1–2Motherwell16/05/26Motherwell
Hibernian
0–1Motherwell21/03/26Hibernian
Motherwell
0–0Hibernian10/01/26Motherwell
Hibernian
1–1Motherwell25/11/25Hibernian
Motherwell
2–0Hibernian11/01/25Motherwell
Hibernian
3–1Motherwell30/11/24Hibernian
Motherwell
0–3Hibernian05/10/24Motherwell
Hibernian
1–2Motherwell15/05/24Motherwell
Hibernian
3–0Motherwell13/04/24Hibernian
Motherwell
1–1Hibernian02/01/24Motherwell
Hibernian
2–2Motherwell13/08/23Hibernian
Motherwell
2–1Hibernian01/04/23Motherwell
Hibernian
1–3Motherwell08/01/23Hibernian
Motherwell
2–3Hibernian08/10/22Motherwell
Hibernian
1–0Motherwell13/03/22Hibernian
Motherwell
1–2Hibernian26/01/22Hibernian
Motherwell
0–0Hibernian04/12/21Motherwell
Hibernian
1–1Motherwell01/08/21Hibernian
Motherwell
2–3Hibernian24/04/21Motherwell
Hibernian
2–2Motherwell| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Team Insights
Motherwell- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Motherwell's goals have been scored away.
- ●Motherwell have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Hibernian- ●Hibernian have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Hibernian have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Hibernian's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●88% of Hibernian's points have been earned away.
- ●Hibernian have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MotherwellWHST Mirren1–0
ST Mirren1–0DAST Johnstone2–2
ST Johnstone2–2LHHeart Of Midlothian0–2
Heart Of Midlothian0–2LAKilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3LHCeltic0–2
Celtic0–2LADundee1–2
Dundee1–2–ADundee Utd07/11
Dundee Utd07/11–HRangers21/11
Rangers21/11–HHibernian28/11
Hibernian28/11HibernianDAST Mirren1–1
ST Mirren1–1LHCeltic1–2
Celtic1–2LHFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2LADundee Utd0–1
Dundee Utd0–1DHAberdeen1–1
Aberdeen1–1LHKilmarnock0–1
Kilmarnock0–1–AAberdeen07/11
Aberdeen07/11–HDundee Utd21/11
Dundee Utd21/11–HDundee24/11
Dundee24/11Top Scorers
MotherwellR. Charles-Cook3 ⚽
I. Said3 ⚽
Alex·Lowry3 ⚽
L. Fadinger3 ⚽
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden2 ⚽
T. Maswanhise2 ⚽
HibernianM. Boyle5 ⚽
N. Lowe3 ⚽
O. Elding3 ⚽
T. Klidje3 ⚽
F. Passlack2 ⚽
C. Wright2 ⚽
Cards Given
MotherwellL. Fadinger4 🟨
M. Moormann3 🟨
Tom Sparrow3 🟨
Emmanuel Longelo2 🟨
J. Girdwood-Reich2 🟨
Ibrahim Said2 🟨
HibernianM. Chaiwa6 🟨
J. Mulligan3 🟨
J. Kerr2 🟨
F. Passlack2 🟨
Azeem Abdulai2 🟨
J. Campbell2 🟨