Heart Of Midlothian vs Celtic — Premiership
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Tynecastle Park·Edinburgh·Scotland·20,099
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Heart Of Midlothian and Celtic meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Heart Of Midlothian have recorded 11 wins from 26 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Celtic have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.50 for Celtic. The models give Heart Of Midlothian a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Celtic win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian—
Celtic3º
Position
1º
1.82
PPG
2.33
55%
Win %
75%
2.18
Goals / game
2.25
1.55
Conceded / game
0.83
69%
BTTS %
61%
19%
Clean sheet %
26%
69%
Over 2.5 %
70%
6.1
Avg corners
8.2
16.1
Avg shots
18.5
5.0
Avg shots on target
7.2
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.5
Avg fouls
11.2
48.7%
Avg possession
57.8%
Home vs Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Home (5)
—
Celtic
Away (6)
2.60
PPG
2.50
80%
Win %
83%
3.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.80
Conceded / game
0.83
75%
BTTS %
58%
17%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
6.1
Avg corners
8.2
16.1
Avg shots
18.5
5.0
Avg shots on target
7.2
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
48.7%
Avg possession
57.8%
Goals Scored
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Celtic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 92% | 86% | 87% | 91% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 67% | 29% | 48% | 55% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Celtic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 83% | 79% | 74% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 42% | 50% | 39% | 36% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 21% | 22% | 9% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Heart Of | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS | 69% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Heart Of | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 61% |
Recent Venue Form
Heart Of (H)L
Hibernian1–2
Hibernian1–2D
Rangers2–2
Rangers2–2D
FC Nordsjaelland1–1
FC Nordsjaelland1–1W
ST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1W
ST Johnstone2–1
ST Johnstone2–1Celtic (A)L
Falkirk0–2
Falkirk0–2WHibernian2–1
Hibernian2–1L
Benfica1–4
Benfica1–4W
Motherwell2–0
Motherwell2–0LRangers0–3
Rangers0–3WST Johnstone1–0
ST Johnstone1–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
18 games
League Avg
11.4
69 games
12.4
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | Heart Of | Celtic | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 83% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 72% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 67% | 58% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 61% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 39% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Heart Of | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 8.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 44% |
Head to Head · 56 matches
9
Heart Of
16%
4
Draws
7%
43
Celtic
77%
91%
Over 1.5
51/56
71%
Over 2.5
40/56
52%
Over 3.5
29/56
46%
BTTS
26/56
18/10/26Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
7–1Heart Of Midlothian16/05/26Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3–1Heart Of Midlothian25/01/26Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2–2Celtic07/12/25Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
1–2Heart Of Midlothian26/10/25Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3–1Celtic29/03/25Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3–0Heart Of Midlothian23/11/24Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1–4Celtic14/09/24Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2–0Heart Of Midlothian04/05/24Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3–0Heart Of Midlothian03/03/24Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Celtic16/12/23Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
0–2Heart Of Midlothian22/10/23Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1–4Celtic07/05/23Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
0–2Celtic11/03/23Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
0–3Celtic08/03/23Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3–1Heart Of Midlothian22/10/22Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3–4Celtic21/08/22Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2–0Heart Of Midlothian07/05/22Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
4–1Heart Of Midlothian26/01/22Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1–2Celtic02/12/21Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
1–0Heart Of Midlothian| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Team Insights
Heart Of- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals conceded were conceded away.
Celtic- ●Celtic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Celtic have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Celtic have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Celtic have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Celtic have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Heart OfDHRangers2–2
Rangers2–2WAMotherwell2–0
Motherwell2–0LACeltic1–7
Celtic1–7WHST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0DAKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1LAFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2–HFalkirk08/11
Falkirk08/11–ADundee21/11
Dundee21/11–HCeltic29/11
Celtic29/11CelticLAFalkirk0–2
Falkirk0–2DHDundee Utd2–2
Dundee Utd2–2WAHibernian2–1
Hibernian2–1WHHeart Of Midlothian7–1
Heart Of Midlothian7–1WAMotherwell2–0
Motherwell2–0LHRangers0–1
Rangers0–1–HKilmarnock08/11
Kilmarnock08/11–HST Mirren21/11
ST Mirren21/11–AHeart Of Midlothian29/11
Heart Of Midlothian29/11Top Scorers
Heart OfC. Miller5 ⚽
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga4 ⚽
R. Mato4 ⚽
Calvin Miller4 ⚽
C. Braga3 ⚽
J. Wilson3 ⚽
CelticC. Duran8 ⚽
Camilo Duran6 ⚽
Benjamin Nygren4 ⚽
B. Nygren4 ⚽
K. Hogh3 ⚽
Mika Baur3 ⚽
Cards Given
Heart OfC. Braga4 🟨
T. Magnusson3 🟨
Sabah Kerjota3 🟨
J. Wilson2 🟨
J. Altena2 🟨
Calvin Miller2 🟨
CelticColby Donovan4 🟨
Liam Scales3 🟨
Kieran Tierney2 🟨
C. Donovan2 🟨
Kasper Hogh2 🟨
M. O'Neill2 🟨