Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen — Premiership
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Kilmarnock and Aberdeen meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Kilmarnock have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Aberdeen have won 52% of their 21 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Kilmarnock and 1.64 for Aberdeen. The models give Kilmarnock a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Aberdeen win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Kilmarnock—
Aberdeen11º
Position
9º
0.80
PPG
1.10
20%
Win %
30%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
2.30
Conceded / game
1.30
44%
BTTS %
43%
39%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.2
Avg corners
6.7
11.2
Avg shots
13.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.3
11.5
Avg fouls
12.1
43.4%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Kilmarnock
Home (5)
—
Aberdeen
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
1.40
2.60
Conceded / game
1.80
56%
BTTS %
42%
22%
Clean sheet %
33%
44%
Over 2.5 %
42%
5.2
Avg corners
6.7
11.2
Avg shots
13.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.3
43.4%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Kilmarnock | Home | Away | Aberdeen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 22% | 33% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 44% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Kilmarnock | Home | Away | Aberdeen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 78% | 44% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 44% | 44% | 19% | 11% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 22% | 33% | 14% | 11% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 22% | 56% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 19% |
| BTTS | 44% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Kilmarnock (H)W
Motherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2D
Heart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1DAberdeen1–1
Aberdeen1–1L
ST Mirren0–1
ST Mirren0–1L
Dundee Utd0–4
Dundee Utd0–4W
Ayr Utd3–2
Ayr Utd3–2Aberdeen (A)LDundee Utd2–3
Dundee Utd2–3W
Dunfermline4–1
Dunfermline4–1D
Hibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1WMotherwell4–0
Motherwell4–0DKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1L
Celtic0–3
Celtic0–3Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
12.3
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 92% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 75% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 46% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 58% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 50% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 23% | 33% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kilmarnock | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 6.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 69% | 75% |
Head to Head · 55 matches
11
Kilmarnock
20%
11
Draws
20%
33
Aberdeen
60%
71%
Over 1.5
39/55
42%
Over 2.5
23/55
24%
Over 3.5
13/55
38%
BTTS
21/55
12/09/26Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
1–1Aberdeen05/09/26Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0–0Kilmarnock25/04/26Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
1–0Kilmarnock31/01/26Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
3–0Aberdeen14/12/25Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
2–1Kilmarnock29/10/25Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
0–1Aberdeen22/02/25Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
1–0Kilmarnock26/12/24Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
4–0Aberdeen25/08/24Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
2–0Kilmarnock09/03/24Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3–1Kilmarnock24/02/24Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
2–0Aberdeen06/12/23Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0–1Kilmarnock29/10/23Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
2–0Aberdeen08/04/23Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
2–0Kilmarnock28/12/22Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
2–1Aberdeen01/10/22Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
4–1Kilmarnock20/02/21Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
1–0Kilmarnock20/12/20Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
0–2Aberdeen12/09/20Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
1–0Kilmarnock04/03/20Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
2–2Aberdeen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
Team Insights
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Aberdeen- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Aberdeen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Aberdeen have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
KilmarnockLAFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3WHMotherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2LARangers1–3
Rangers1–3DHHeart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1WAHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0–ADundee28/10
Dundee28/10–HST Johnstone31/10
ST Johnstone31/10–ACeltic08/11
Celtic08/11AberdeenLADundee Utd2–3
Dundee Utd2–3WHST Mirren3–1
ST Mirren3–1LHST Johnstone0–1
ST Johnstone0–1DAHibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1WAMotherwell4–0
Motherwell4–0DHKilmarnock0–0
Kilmarnock0–0–HFalkirk28/10
Falkirk28/10–ARangers31/10
Rangers31/10–HHibernian07/11
Hibernian07/11Top Scorers
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
Greg Kiltie2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
AberdeenK. Nisbet10 ⚽
Kevin Nisbet3 ⚽
A. Mouloua3 ⚽
Ayoub Mouloua2 ⚽
Connor Patrick Ronan2 ⚽
B. Lyons2 ⚽
Cards Given
KilmarnockJ. Brandon3 🟨
George Stanger2 🟨
A. Tshibola2 🟨
C. McCarthy2 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
Djenairo Daniels2 🟨
AberdeenD. Happe4 🟨
Lewis Mayo3 🟨
L. Mayo2 🟨
A. Aremu2 🟨
Ayoub Mouloua2 🟨
Stuart Armstrong2 🟨