Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk — Premiership
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Tynecastle Park·Edinburgh·Scotland·20,099
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Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Heart Of Midlothian have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Falkirk have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.12 for Falkirk. The models give Heart Of Midlothian a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Falkirk win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian—
Falkirk3º
Position
7º
1.78
PPG
1.20
56%
Win %
30%
2.22
Goals / game
1.20
1.67
Conceded / game
1.20
70%
BTTS %
56%
17%
Clean sheet %
31%
70%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.3
Avg corners
4.7
16.2
Avg shots
12.1
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.7
Avg fouls
14.8
48.9%
Avg possession
48.8%
Home vs Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Home (4)
—
Falkirk
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
1.20
100%
Win %
20%
3.25
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
70%
BTTS %
75%
20%
Clean sheet %
25%
70%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.3
Avg corners
4.7
16.2
Avg shots
12.1
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
48.9%
Avg possession
48.8%
Goals Scored
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Falkirk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 90% | 85% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 70% | 23% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 30% | 15% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Falkirk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 80% | 85% | 69% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 30% | 54% | 25% | 38% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 20% | 15% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Heart Of | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 6% |
| BTTS | 70% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Heart Of | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Heart Of (H)D
FC Nordsjaelland1–1
FC Nordsjaelland1–1W
ST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1W
ST Johnstone2–1
ST Johnstone2–1D
Rapid Vienna2–2
Rapid Vienna2–2W
Inverness CT6–2
Inverness CT6–2Falkirk (A)W
Hibernian2–1
Hibernian2–1DST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1D
Dundee Utd1–1
Dundee Utd1–1L
Celtic1–2
Celtic1–2D
Motherwell0–0
Motherwell0–0D
Alloa Athletic1–1
Alloa Athletic1–1Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
10.9
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Heart Of | Falkirk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 91% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 73% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 73% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 55% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 55% | 60% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 36% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 36% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 27% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Heart Of | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 81% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 64% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
9
Heart Of
69%
1
Draws
8%
3
Falkirk
23%
85%
Over 1.5
11/13
62%
Over 2.5
8/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
38%
BTTS
5/13
15/09/26Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
2–1Heart Of Midlothian13/05/26Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
3–0Falkirk21/02/26Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
1–0Falkirk17/01/26Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
1–1Falkirk13/12/25Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
0–2Heart Of Midlothian27/09/25Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
3–0Falkirk17/08/24Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
2–0Heart Of Midlothian03/07/21Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
4–0Falkirk08/02/20Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
0–1Heart Of Midlothian21/03/15Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
0–3Heart Of Midlothian24/01/15Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
2–3Falkirk15/11/14Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
1–2Heart Of Midlothian30/08/14Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
4–1Falkirk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
Team Insights
Heart Of- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Heart Of Midlothian's points have been earned at home.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Falkirk- ●Falkirk have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Heart OfLACeltic1–7
Celtic1–7WHST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0DAKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1LAFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2WHDundee2–1
Dundee2–1WAHibernian3–1
Hibernian3–1–AMotherwell25/10
Motherwell25/10–HRangers28/10
Rangers28/10–HFalkirk08/11
Falkirk08/11FalkirkWHKilmarnock3–0
Kilmarnock3–0WAHibernian2–1
Hibernian2–1LHDundee1–2
Dundee1–2DAST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1WHHeart Of Midlothian2–1
Heart Of Midlothian2–1DADundee Utd1–1
Dundee Utd1–1–AAberdeen28/10
Aberdeen28/10–HCeltic31/10
Celtic31/10–AHeart Of Midlothian08/11
Heart Of Midlothian08/11Top Scorers
Heart OfC. Miller5 ⚽
R. Mato4 ⚽
T. Renaud3 ⚽
J. Wilson3 ⚽
Laurent mendy3 ⚽
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga2 ⚽
FalkirkJacob Murrell5 ⚽
R. MacIver3 ⚽
B. Parkinson3 ⚽
Ben krauhaus1 ⚽
Ethan Ross1 ⚽
C. Allan1 ⚽
Cards Given
Heart OfC. Braga4 🟨
T. Magnusson3 🟨
O. McEntee2 🟨
Calvin Miller2 🟨
J. Wilson2 🟨
H. Milne2 🟨
FalkirkBrad Spencer3 🟨
Ryan Strain2 🟨
Finley Frank Barbrook2 🟨
Ben Parkinson1 🟨
C. McLeod1 🟨
Ben krauhaus1 🟨