Celtic vs Kilmarnock — Premiership
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Celtic Park·Glasgow·Scotland·60,832
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Celtic and Kilmarnock meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Celtic have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Kilmarnock have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Celtic and 1.14 for Kilmarnock. The models give Celtic a 64% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Kilmarnock win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Celtic—
Kilmarnock1º
Position
11º
2.67
PPG
0.80
89%
Win %
20%
2.56
Goals / game
1.00
0.56
Conceded / game
2.30
60%
BTTS %
44%
30%
Clean sheet %
39%
70%
Over 2.5 %
50%
7.7
Avg corners
5.2
17.6
Avg shots
11.2
7.3
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.9
Avg fouls
11.5
56.3%
Avg possession
43.4%
Home vs Away
Celtic
Home (5)
—
Kilmarnock
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
0.80
80%
Win %
20%
2.60
Goals / game
1.00
0.60
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
33%
30%
Clean sheet %
56%
70%
Over 2.5 %
56%
7.7
Avg corners
5.2
17.6
Avg shots
11.2
7.3
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
56.3%
Avg possession
43.4%
Goals Scored
| Celtic | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 90% | 90% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 40% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 30% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 10% | 10% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Celtic | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 70% | 70% | 61% | 78% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 30% | 40% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 10% | 40% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 30% | 30% | 39% | 22% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Celtic | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 28% |
| BTTS | 60% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Celtic | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Celtic (H)L
Celta Vigo1–2
Celta Vigo1–2W
Heart Of Midlothian7–1
Heart Of Midlothian7–1L
Rangers0–1
Rangers0–1L
Ferencvarosi TC1–3
Ferencvarosi TC1–3W
Aberdeen3–0
Aberdeen3–0W
Falkirk2–1
Falkirk2–1Kilmarnock (A)LFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3LRangers1–3
Rangers1–3W
Hibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0L
ST Johnstone3–4
ST Johnstone3–4D
Peterhead0–0
Peterhead0–0Number of Corners
12.3
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
11.3
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Celtic | Kilmarnock | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 92% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 87% | 69% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 73% | 54% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 46% | 60% |
| Over 11 | 60% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 47% | 31% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 23% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Celtic | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.7 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 87% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 87% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 69% |
Head to Head · 53 matches
40
Celtic
75%
8
Draws
15%
5
Kilmarnock
9%
85%
Over 1.5
45/53
60%
Over 2.5
32/53
47%
Over 3.5
25/53
51%
BTTS
27/53
09/08/26Celtic
Kilmarnock
1–5Celtic15/02/26Celtic
Kilmarnock
2–3Celtic09/11/25Kilmarnock
Celtic
4–0Kilmarnock14/09/25Celtic
Kilmarnock
1–2Celtic12/04/25Kilmarnock
Celtic
5–1Kilmarnock18/01/25Kilmarnock
Celtic
2–1Kilmarnock10/11/24Celtic
Kilmarnock
0–2Celtic04/08/24Kilmarnock
Celtic
4–0Kilmarnock15/05/24Celtic
Kilmarnock
0–5Celtic17/02/24Kilmarnock
Celtic
1–1Kilmarnock10/12/23Celtic
Kilmarnock
2–1Celtic07/10/23Kilmarnock
Celtic
3–1Kilmarnock20/08/23Celtic
Kilmarnock
1–0Celtic16/04/23Celtic
Kilmarnock
1–4Celtic14/01/23Kilmarnock
Celtic
2–0Kilmarnock07/01/23Kilmarnock
Celtic
2–0Kilmarnock14/08/22Celtic
Kilmarnock
0–5Celtic02/02/21Celtic
Kilmarnock
0–4Celtic13/12/20Kilmarnock
Celtic
2–0Kilmarnock09/08/20Celtic
Kilmarnock
1–1Celtic| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
Team Insights
Celtic- ●Celtic have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Celtic have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Celtic have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Celtic have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Celtic have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CelticWHHeart Of Midlothian7–1
Heart Of Midlothian7–1WAMotherwell2–0
Motherwell2–0LHRangers0–1
Rangers0–1WAST Johnstone1–0
ST Johnstone1–0WAST Mirren2–1
ST Mirren2–1WHAberdeen3–0
Aberdeen3–0–AHibernian25/10
Hibernian25/10–HDundee Utd28/10
Dundee Utd28/10–AFalkirk31/10
Falkirk31/10KilmarnockLAFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3WHMotherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2LARangers1–3
Rangers1–3DHHeart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1WAHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0–ADundee28/10
Dundee28/10–HST Johnstone31/10
ST Johnstone31/10–ACeltic08/11
Celtic08/11Top Scorers
CelticC. Duran8 ⚽
Benjamin Nygren4 ⚽
Camilo Duran4 ⚽
B. Nygren4 ⚽
K. Hogh3 ⚽
Mika Baur3 ⚽
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
Greg Kiltie2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
Cards Given
CelticColby Donovan3 🟨
Mika Baur2 🟨
C. Donovan2 🟨
Liam Scales2 🟨
M. O'Neill2 🟨
Cameron Carter-Vickers1 🟨
KilmarnockJ. Brandon3 🟨
George Stanger2 🟨
A. Tshibola2 🟨
C. McCarthy2 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
Djenairo Daniels2 🟨