Motherwell vs ST Mirren — Premiership
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Fir Park·Motherwell·Scotland·13,742
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Motherwell and ST Mirren meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Motherwell have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. ST Mirren have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Motherwell and 1.31 for ST Mirren. The models give Motherwell a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an ST Mirren win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Motherwell—
ST Mirren10º
Position
6º
0.89
PPG
1.30
22%
Win %
40%
1.22
Goals / game
1.10
1.78
Conceded / game
1.80
44%
BTTS %
44%
28%
Clean sheet %
31%
61%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.1
Avg corners
4.5
11.9
Avg shots
13.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
10.2
Avg fouls
12.5
51.8%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Motherwell
Home (4)
—
ST Mirren
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.20
25%
Win %
40%
0.75
Goals / game
0.80
1.50
Conceded / game
1.80
25%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Clean sheet %
44%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.1
Avg corners
4.5
11.9
Avg shots
13.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
51.8%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Motherwell | Home | Away | ST Mirren | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 63% | 70% | 75% | 71% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 38% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Motherwell | Home | Away | ST Mirren | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 50% | 90% | 69% | 86% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 57% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 50% | 10% | 31% | 14% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motherwell | ST Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 31% |
| BTTS | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motherwell | ST Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Motherwell (H)L
Celtic0–2
Celtic0–2L
Aberdeen0–4
Aberdeen0–4W
Dundee Utd3–0
Dundee Utd3–0L
SC Freiburg1–3
SC Freiburg1–3W
HJK Helsinki2–0
HJK Helsinki2–0D
Falkirk0–0
Falkirk0–0ST Mirren (A)LAberdeen1–3
Aberdeen1–3L
Heart Of Midlothian0–5
Heart Of Midlothian0–5L
Rangers0–1
Rangers0–1W
Kilmarnock1–0
Kilmarnock1–0LRangers1–5
Rangers1–5WFalkirk2–0
Falkirk2–0Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
10.9
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Motherwell | ST Mirren | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 82% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 64% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 62% | 64% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 46% | 55% | 60% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 36% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 27% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Motherwell | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 6.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 62% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 77% | 82% |
Head to Head · 47 matches
19
Motherwell
40%
17
Draws
36%
11
ST Mirren
23%
64%
Over 1.5
30/47
40%
Over 2.5
19/47
23%
Over 3.5
11/47
49%
BTTS
23/47
30/08/26Motherwell
ST Mirren
3–3Motherwell21/02/26Motherwell
ST Mirren
0–5Motherwell03/01/26ST Mirren
Motherwell
2–0ST Mirren01/11/25ST Mirren
Motherwell
1–4ST Mirren09/08/25Motherwell
ST Mirren
0–0Motherwell15/03/25ST Mirren
Motherwell
2–2ST Mirren07/12/24Motherwell
ST Mirren
0–1Motherwell28/09/24ST Mirren
Motherwell
2–1ST Mirren30/03/24ST Mirren
Motherwell
1–1ST Mirren16/12/23Motherwell
ST Mirren
0–0Motherwell16/09/23ST Mirren
Motherwell
0–1ST Mirren19/08/23Motherwell
ST Mirren
1–0Motherwell15/02/23ST Mirren
Motherwell
2–1ST Mirren28/01/23Motherwell
ST Mirren
1–0Motherwell31/07/22Motherwell
ST Mirren
0–1Motherwell02/04/22ST Mirren
Motherwell
4–2ST Mirren01/02/22Motherwell
ST Mirren
1–1Motherwell27/10/21ST Mirren
Motherwell
2–2ST Mirren10/04/21ST Mirren
Motherwell
1–0ST Mirren24/02/21Motherwell
ST Mirren
0–0Motherwell| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
Team Insights
Motherwell- ●Motherwell have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Motherwell have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Motherwell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Motherwell have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Motherwell's goals have been scored away.
- ●Motherwell have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Motherwell have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
ST Mirren- ●ST Mirren failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●ST Mirren have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●ST Mirren failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of ST Mirren's goals have been scored at home.
- ●ST Mirren have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MotherwellLAKilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3LHCeltic0–2
Celtic0–2LADundee1–2
Dundee1–2LHAberdeen0–4
Aberdeen0–4LARangers0–1
Rangers0–1WHDundee Utd3–0
Dundee Utd3–0–HHeart Of Midlothian25/10
Heart Of Midlothian25/10–AST Johnstone28/10
ST Johnstone28/10–HST Mirren31/10
ST Mirren31/10ST MirrenWHDundee2–1
Dundee2–1LAAberdeen1–3
Aberdeen1–3LAHeart Of Midlothian0–5
Heart Of Midlothian0–5LHDundee Utd0–3
Dundee Utd0–3LARangers0–1
Rangers0–1LHCeltic1–2
Celtic1–2–HHibernian28/10
Hibernian28/10–AMotherwell31/10
Motherwell31/10–HRangers07/11
Rangers07/11Top Scorers
MotherwellR. Charles-Cook3 ⚽
I. Said3 ⚽
Alex·Lowry3 ⚽
L. Fadinger3 ⚽
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden2 ⚽
T. Maswanhise2 ⚽
ST MirrenS. Ramos4 ⚽
K. Phillips4 ⚽
R. Idowu3 ⚽
Eseosa Sule2 ⚽
C. R. Mochrie2 ⚽
Fraser Taylor1 ⚽
Cards Given
MotherwellL. Fadinger4 🟨
M. Moormann3 🟨
O. Priestman2 🟨
J. Girdwood-Reich2 🟨
A. Lowry2 🟨
J. Hodge1 🟨
ST MirrenR. Carr4 🟨
M. Fraser3 🟨
Alexander Gogić2 🟨
Calvin Ramsay2 🟨
H. Fieldson2 🟨
Eseosa Sule2 🟨