Dundee vs Kilmarnock — Premiership
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Dundee and Kilmarnock meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Dundee have recorded 8 wins from 20 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Kilmarnock have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Dundee and 1.27 for Kilmarnock. The models give Dundee a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Kilmarnock win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Dundee—
Kilmarnock5º
Position
11º
1.40
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
2.30
60%
BTTS %
44%
20%
Clean sheet %
39%
65%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.8
Avg corners
5.2
13.5
Avg shots
11.2
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
9.8
Avg fouls
11.5
45.2%
Avg possession
43.4%
Home vs Away
Dundee
Home (5)
—
Kilmarnock
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
2.00
67%
BTTS %
33%
22%
Clean sheet %
56%
78%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.8
Avg corners
5.2
13.5
Avg shots
11.2
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
45.2%
Avg possession
43.4%
Goals Scored
| Dundee | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 73% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 56% | 36% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 9% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 11% | 27% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Dundee | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 78% | 82% | 61% | 78% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 56% | 36% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 9% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 18% | 39% | 22% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 28% |
| BTTS | 60% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Dundee (H)D
Rangers2–2
Rangers2–2W
Motherwell2–1
Motherwell2–1D
ST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1L
Hibernian1–2
Hibernian1–2W
Aberdeen2–0
Aberdeen2–0W
Clyde4–0
Clyde4–0Kilmarnock (A)L
Falkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3LRangers1–3
Rangers1–3WHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0LST Johnstone3–4
ST Johnstone3–4D
Peterhead0–0
Peterhead0–0Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
11.3
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Dundee | Kilmarnock | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 92% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 69% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 54% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 46% | 60% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 31% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 23% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dundee | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 83% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 69% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
10
Dundee
27%
17
Draws
46%
10
Kilmarnock
27%
81%
Over 1.5
30/37
57%
Over 2.5
21/37
38%
Over 3.5
14/37
73%
BTTS
27/37
12/05/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–1Dundee11/04/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–2Dundee17/01/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–2Dundee30/12/25Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–1Kilmarnock23/08/25Dundee
Kilmarnock
0–0Dundee10/05/25Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–2Dundee30/11/24Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–1Dundee03/11/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
3–2Kilmarnock05/10/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–3Kilmarnock18/05/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
1–1Kilmarnock02/03/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock20/01/24Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–0Dundee30/12/23Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–2Dundee23/09/23Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock24/05/21Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–2Dundee20/05/21Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–1Kilmarnock06/02/19Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock15/12/18Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–1Dundee06/10/18Kilmarnock
Dundee
1–2Kilmarnock13/02/18Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–2Dundee| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
Team Insights
Dundee- ●Dundee failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dundee have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dundee failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dundee failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DundeeLAST Mirren1–2
ST Mirren1–2DHRangers2–2
Rangers2–2WAFalkirk2–1
Falkirk2–1WHMotherwell2–1
Motherwell2–1LAHeart Of Midlothian1–2
Heart Of Midlothian1–2DHST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1–HKilmarnock28/10
Kilmarnock28/10–AHibernian31/10
Hibernian31/10–AST Johnstone07/11
ST Johnstone07/11KilmarnockLAFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3WHMotherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2LARangers1–3
Rangers1–3DHHeart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1WAHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0–ADundee28/10
Dundee28/10–HST Johnstone31/10
ST Johnstone31/10–ACeltic08/11
Celtic08/11Top Scorers
DundeeJ. Westley5 ⚽
A. Hay4 ⚽
Bradley·Fink4 ⚽
J. Bevan3 ⚽
C. Reilly3 ⚽
S. Murray3 ⚽
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
Greg Kiltie2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
Cards Given
DundeeEthan Hamilton2 🟨
Ashley Hay1 🟨
Brad Halliday1 🟨
Bradley·Fink1 🟨
D. Wright1 🟨
Alfie Harrison1 🟨
KilmarnockJ. Brandon3 🟨
George Stanger2 🟨
A. Tshibola2 🟨
C. McCarthy2 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
Djenairo Daniels2 🟨