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Aberdeen vs Falkirk — Premiership

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Scotland · Premiership · Regular Season - 11
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
9º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 5h
vs
–
–
Falkirk
Falkirk
7º · 1.20 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 5h
Pittodrie Stadium·Aberdeen·Scotland·22,199
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Aberdeen and Falkirk meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Aberdeen have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Falkirk have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Aberdeen and 1.18 for Falkirk. The models give Aberdeen a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Falkirk win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.

Season Statistics

Aberdeen
—
Falkirk
9º
Position
7º
1.10
PPG
1.20
30%
Win %
30%
1.20
Goals / game
1.20
1.30
Conceded / game
1.20
43%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
31%
52%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.7
Avg corners
4.7
13.2
Avg shots
12.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.1
Avg fouls
14.8
50.7%
Avg possession
48.8%

Home vs Away

Aberdeen
Home (5)
—
Falkirk
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.20
40%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.80
Conceded / game
1.00
44%
BTTS %
75%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.7
Avg corners
4.7
13.2
Avg shots
12.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.7%
Avg possession
48.8%

Goals Scored

AberdeenHomeAwayFalkirkHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%67%75%81%75%88%
Over 1.5 Scored57%67%50%38%38%38%
Over 2.5 Scored33%44%25%19%25%13%
Failed To Score29%33%25%19%25%13%

Goals Conceded

AberdeenHomeAwayFalkirkHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%67%67%69%63%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded19%11%25%25%38%13%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%11%17%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets33%33%33%31%38%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AberdeenFalkirk
Over 0.595%94%
Over 1.576%81%
Over 2.552%56%
Over 3.529%6%
Over 4.519%6%
BTTS43%56%
BTTS & Win24%19%
BTTS & Draw10%19%
BTTS & Over 2.533%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.519%19%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AberdeenFalkirk
Win 1st Half35%50%
Draw 1st Half35%25%
Loss 1st Half30%25%
Scored 1st Half55%63%
Conceded 1st Half45%44%
Win 2nd Half40%38%
Draw 2nd Half40%31%
Loss 2nd Half20%31%
Scored 2nd Half50%44%
Conceded 2nd Half30%38%
Over 0.5 HT80%88%
Over 1.5 HT40%44%

Recent Venue Form

Aberdeen (H)
WST Mirren3–1
LST Johnstone0–1
DKilmarnock0–0
LRangers0–1
WDundee3–0
WHeart Of Midlothian2–1
Falkirk (A)
WHibernian2–1
DST Johnstone1–1
DDundee Utd1–1
LCeltic1–2
DMotherwell0–0
DAlloa Athletic1–1

Number of Corners

12.3
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
10.9
Corners / Match
11 games
Match CornersAberdeenFalkirkLeague Avg
Over 6100%91%98%
Over 792%73%90%
Over 883%73%79%
Over 975%55%66%
Over 1067%55%60%
Over 1158%36%43%
Over 1250%36%31%
Over 1333%27%24%

Team Corners

Team CornersAberdeenFalkirk
Corners Earned / Match6.74.7
Corners Against / Match5.76.2
Over 2.5 Corners For83%91%
Over 3.5 Corners For83%55%
Over 4.5 Corners For67%45%
Over 2.5 Corners Against83%91%
Over 3.5 Corners Against75%73%
Over 4.5 Corners Against75%64%

Head to Head · 3 matches

0
Aberdeen
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Falkirk
67%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
14/03/26
Aberdeen
1–1
Falkirk
03/01/26
Falkirk
1–0
Aberdeen
31/08/25
Aberdeen
0–1
Falkirk
Premiership
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Celtic9801+1824
2Rangers10721+1023
3Heart Of Midlothian9513+516
4Dundee Utd10433015
5Dundee10424+214
6ST Mirren10415-713
7Falkirk10334012
8ST Johnstone10334-412
9Aberdeen10325-111
10Motherwell9225-58
11Kilmarnock10226-138
12Hibernian9216-57

Team Insights

Aberdeen
  • ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●69% of Aberdeen's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Aberdeen have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Falkirk
  • ●Falkirk have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Falkirk have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Falkirk have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
AberdeenAberdeen
LADundee Utd4º2–3
WHST Mirren6º3–1
LHST Johnstone8º0–1
WADunfermline4–1
DAHibernian12º1–1
WAMotherwell10º4–0
DAKilmarnock1–1
DHKilmarnock11º0–0
LACeltic1º0–3
LHRangers2º0–1
FalkirkFalkirk
WHKilmarnock11º3–0
WAHibernian12º2–1
LHDundee5º1–2
DAST Johnstone8º1–1
WHHeart Of Midlothian3º2–1
DADundee Utd4º1–1
LHRangers2º1–2
LACeltic1º1–2
DAMotherwell10º0–0
LHST Mirren6º0–2

Season Schedule

Aberdeen
LADundee Utd2–3
WHST Mirren3–1
LHST Johnstone0–1
DAHibernian1–1
WAMotherwell4–0
DHKilmarnock0–0
–HFalkirk28/10
–ARangers31/10
–HHibernian07/11
Falkirk
WHKilmarnock3–0
WAHibernian2–1
LHDundee1–2
DAST Johnstone1–1
WHHeart Of Midlothian2–1
DADundee Utd1–1
–AAberdeen28/10
–HCeltic31/10
–AHeart Of Midlothian08/11

Top Scorers

Aberdeen
K. Nisbet10 ⚽
Kevin Nisbet3 ⚽
A. Mouloua3 ⚽
Ayoub Mouloua2 ⚽
Connor Patrick Ronan2 ⚽
B. Lyons2 ⚽
Falkirk
Jacob Murrell5 ⚽
R. MacIver3 ⚽
B. Parkinson3 ⚽
Ben krauhaus1 ⚽
Ethan Ross1 ⚽
C. Allan1 ⚽

Cards Given

Aberdeen
D. Happe4 🟨
Lewis Mayo3 🟨
L. Mayo2 🟨
A. Aremu2 🟨
Ayoub Mouloua2 🟨
Stuart Armstrong2 🟨
Falkirk
Brad Spencer3 🟨
Ryan Strain2 🟨
Finley Frank Barbrook2 🟨
Ben Parkinson1 🟨
C. McLeod1 🟨
Ben krauhaus1 🟨