Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian — Premiership
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Fir Park·Motherwell·Scotland·13,742
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Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Motherwell have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Heart Of Midlothian have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Motherwell and 1.39 for Heart Of Midlothian. The models give Motherwell a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Heart Of Midlothian win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Motherwell—
Heart Of Midlothian10º
Position
3º
0.89
PPG
1.78
22%
Win %
56%
1.22
Goals / game
2.22
1.78
Conceded / game
1.67
44%
BTTS %
70%
28%
Clean sheet %
17%
61%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.1
Avg corners
6.3
11.9
Avg shots
16.2
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
10.2
Avg fouls
12.7
51.8%
Avg possession
48.9%
Home vs Away
Motherwell
Home (4)
—
Heart Of Midlothian
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.80
25%
Win %
20%
0.75
Goals / game
1.40
1.50
Conceded / game
2.60
25%
BTTS %
69%
50%
Clean sheet %
15%
50%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.1
Avg corners
6.3
11.9
Avg shots
16.2
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
51.8%
Avg possession
48.9%
Goals Scored
| Motherwell | Home | Away | Heart Of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 63% | 70% | 87% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 43% | 70% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 30% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 38% | 30% | 13% | 10% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Motherwell | Home | Away | Heart Of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 50% | 90% | 83% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 30% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 38% | 40% | 13% | 0% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 50% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motherwell | Heart Of | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 17% |
| BTTS | 44% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motherwell | Heart Of | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Motherwell (H)L
Celtic0–2
Celtic0–2L
Aberdeen0–4
Aberdeen0–4W
Dundee Utd3–0
Dundee Utd3–0L
SC Freiburg1–3
SC Freiburg1–3W
HJK Helsinki2–0
HJK Helsinki2–0D
Falkirk0–0
Falkirk0–0Heart Of (A)L
Trabzonspor0–2
Trabzonspor0–2LCeltic1–7
Celtic1–7D
Kilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1LFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2W
Stenhousemuir3–0
Stenhousemuir3–0W
Hibernian3–1
Hibernian3–1Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
11.0
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Motherwell | Heart Of | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 69% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 62% | 50% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 46% | 38% | 60% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 31% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 25% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Motherwell | Heart Of |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 62% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 77% | 44% |
Head to Head · 49 matches
18
Motherwell
37%
9
Draws
18%
22
Heart Of
45%
71%
Over 1.5
35/49
49%
Over 2.5
24/49
22%
Over 3.5
11/49
43%
BTTS
21/49
09/05/26Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
1–1Heart Of Midlothian11/04/26Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
3–1Motherwell29/11/25Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
0–0Heart Of Midlothian23/08/25Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
3–3Motherwell10/05/25Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
3–0Motherwell12/04/25Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
0–0Heart Of Midlothian02/01/25Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1–0Motherwell25/08/24Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
3–1Heart Of Midlothian17/02/24Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Motherwell11/11/23Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
1–2Heart Of Midlothian03/09/23Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
0–1Motherwell19/02/23Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
2–0Heart Of Midlothian06/11/22Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
3–2Motherwell18/09/22Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
0–3Heart Of Midlothian11/05/22Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
2–1Heart Of Midlothian29/01/22Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Motherwell20/11/21Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
2–0Heart Of Midlothian02/10/21Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
2–0Motherwell07/03/20Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1–1Motherwell07/12/19Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
1–0Heart Of Midlothian| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
Team Insights
Motherwell- ●Motherwell have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Motherwell have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Motherwell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Motherwell have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Motherwell's goals have been scored away.
- ●Motherwell have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Motherwell have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Heart Of- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Heart Of Midlothian's points have been earned at home.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MotherwellLAKilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3LHCeltic0–2
Celtic0–2LADundee1–2
Dundee1–2LHAberdeen0–4
Aberdeen0–4LARangers0–1
Rangers0–1WHDundee Utd3–0
Dundee Utd3–0–HHeart Of Midlothian25/10
Heart Of Midlothian25/10–AST Johnstone28/10
ST Johnstone28/10–HST Mirren31/10
ST Mirren31/10Heart OfLACeltic1–7
Celtic1–7WHST Mirren5–0
ST Mirren5–0DAKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1LAFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2WHDundee2–1
Dundee2–1WAHibernian3–1
Hibernian3–1–AMotherwell25/10
Motherwell25/10–HRangers28/10
Rangers28/10–HFalkirk08/11
Falkirk08/11Top Scorers
MotherwellR. Charles-Cook3 ⚽
I. Said3 ⚽
Alex·Lowry3 ⚽
L. Fadinger3 ⚽
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden2 ⚽
T. Maswanhise2 ⚽
Heart OfC. Miller5 ⚽
R. Mato4 ⚽
T. Renaud3 ⚽
J. Wilson3 ⚽
Laurent mendy3 ⚽
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga2 ⚽
Cards Given
MotherwellL. Fadinger4 🟨
M. Moormann3 🟨
O. Priestman2 🟨
J. Girdwood-Reich2 🟨
A. Lowry2 🟨
J. Hodge1 🟨
Heart OfC. Braga4 🟨
T. Magnusson3 🟨
O. McEntee2 🟨
Calvin Miller2 🟨
J. Wilson2 🟨
H. Milne2 🟨