FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J1 League
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FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 25 November 2026. FC Tokyo have recorded 7 wins from 11 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 73% of games. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 67% of their 12 matches, with 2.42 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 58%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for FC Tokyo and 1.29 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The models give FC Tokyo a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
FC Tokyo—
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4º
Position
2º
2.18
PPG
2.17
64%
Win %
67%
1.91
Goals / game
2.42
0.73
Conceded / game
0.83
27%
BTTS %
33%
73%
Clean sheet %
58%
45%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.2
Avg corners
7.4
16.4
Avg shots
19.9
4.9
Avg shots on target
7.1
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.0
10.7
Avg fouls
9.0
54.5%
Avg possession
61.4%
Home vs Away
FC Tokyo
Home (6)
—
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.67
67%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.83
Conceded / game
1.33
17%
BTTS %
33%
83%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.2
Avg corners
7.4
16.4
Avg shots
19.9
4.9
Avg shots on target
7.1
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.0
54.5%
Avg possession
61.4%
Goals Scored
| FC Tokyo | Home | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 83% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 50% | 80% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 17% | 40% | 50% | 83% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Tokyo | Home | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 27% | 17% | 40% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 73% | 83% | 60% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Tokyo | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 25% |
| BTTS | 27% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 42% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Tokyo | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 18% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 45% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Tokyo (H)D
Kashiwa Reysol0–0
Kashiwa Reysol0–0W
Urawa3–0
Urawa3–0W
Shonan Bellmare4–0
Shonan Bellmare4–0W
Nagoya Grampus1–0
Nagoya Grampus1–0W
Kyoto Sanga2–0
Kyoto Sanga2–0W
Parceiro Nagano6–0
Parceiro Nagano6–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima (A)L
V-varen Nagasaki0–4
V-varen Nagasaki0–4W
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
Tokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0W
Tochigi City2–0
Tochigi City2–0W
Avispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0L
Fagiano Okayama2–3
Fagiano Okayama2–3Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
9.8
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | FC Tokyo | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 55% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 50% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 42% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 8% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Tokyo | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 7.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 8% |
Head to Head · 36 matches
16
FC Tokyo
44%
8
Draws
22%
12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
33%
58%
Over 1.5
21/36
47%
Over 2.5
17/36
14%
Over 3.5
5/36
56%
BTTS
20/36
18/01/26Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
4–3Sanfrecce Hiroshima17/10/25FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0FC Tokyo25/05/25Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
0–3Sanfrecce Hiroshima31/08/24FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2FC Tokyo09/06/24FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1FC Tokyo05/06/24Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima02/03/24Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima28/10/23Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima22/04/23FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2FC Tokyo30/07/22FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2FC Tokyo12/03/22Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
2–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima27/11/21FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2FC Tokyo30/05/21Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima12/12/20Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima19/08/20FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–3FC Tokyo17/08/19Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima19/04/19FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1FC Tokyo22/09/18FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1FC Tokyo25/04/18Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
3–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima26/11/17FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1FC Tokyo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
FC Tokyo- ●FC Tokyo have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
FC TokyoDHKashiwa Reysol0–0
Kashiwa Reysol0–0WATokyo Verdy4–0
Tokyo Verdy4–0WHUrawa3–0
Urawa3–0WHNagoya Grampus1–0
Nagoya Grampus1–0WAGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0WHKyoto Sanga2–0
Kyoto Sanga2–0–AFagiano Okayama31/10
Fagiano Okayama31/10–HKashima07/11
Kashima07/11–ACerezo Osaka21/11
Cerezo Osaka21/11Sanfrecce HiroshimaWHShimizu S-pulse4–0
Shimizu S-pulse4–0LAV-varen Nagasaki0–4
V-varen Nagasaki0–4WHKyoto Sanga3–0
Kyoto Sanga3–0WATokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0WAAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0WHCerezo Osaka6–1
Cerezo Osaka6–1–AMito Hollyhock31/10
Mito Hollyhock31/10–AMachida Zelvia08/11
Machida Zelvia08/11–HYokohama F. Marinos21/11
Yokohama F. Marinos21/11Top Scorers
FC TokyoMotoki Nagakura4 ⚽
Soma Anzai4 ⚽
M. Nagakura3 ⚽
Marcelo2 ⚽
Marcelo Ryan2 ⚽
Takahiro Ko1 ⚽
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAkito Suzuki6 ⚽
Shun Ayukawa3 ⚽
A. Suzuki3 ⚽
Mutsuki Kato2 ⚽
Sébastien Haller2 ⚽
Taishi Matsumoto2 ⚽
Cards Given
FC TokyoTakahiro Ko2 🟨
Hirokazu Ishihara2 🟨
Kein Sato2 🟨
Marcelo2 🟨
Kashif Bangnagande1 🟨
K. Sato1 🟨
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSébastien Haller2 🟨
Y. Nakajima2 🟨
Daiki Suga1 🟨
H. Kawabe1 🟨
Hayato Araki1 🟨
A. Suzuki1 🟨