JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus — J1 League
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Fukuda Denshi Arena·Chiba·Japan·19,470
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JEF United Chiba and Nagoya Grampus meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 25 November 2026. JEF United Chiba have recorded 1 wins from 11 matches this season (9% win rate), averaging 0.91 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Nagoya Grampus have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for JEF United Chiba and 1.24 for Nagoya Grampus. The models give JEF United Chiba a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Nagoya Grampus win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
JEF United Chiba—
Nagoya Grampus20º
Position
12º
0.55
PPG
1.18
9%
Win %
36%
0.91
Goals / game
1.18
2.00
Conceded / game
1.55
55%
BTTS %
67%
18%
Clean sheet %
0%
55%
Over 2.5 %
58%
3.5
Avg corners
4.7
11.2
Avg shots
13.3
3.6
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
13.2
Avg fouls
10.5
44.5%
Avg possession
57.5%
Home vs Away
JEF United Chiba
Home (5)
—
Nagoya Grampus
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
33%
0.80
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
1.67
40%
BTTS %
50%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
40%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.5
Avg corners
4.7
11.2
Avg shots
13.3
3.6
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
44.5%
Avg possession
57.5%
Goals Scored
| JEF United | Home | Away | Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 71% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 20% | 43% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 29% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| JEF United | Home | Away | Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 40% | 86% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 43% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| JEF United | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS | 58% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| JEF United | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
JEF United (H)D
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0D
V-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1W
Gamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0L
Fagiano Okayama1–2
Fagiano Okayama1–2D
Azul Claro Numazu1–1
Azul Claro Numazu1–1L
Machida Zelvia0–4
Machida Zelvia0–4Nagoya Grampus (A)W
Kashiwa Reysol3–1
Kashiwa Reysol3–1W
Kawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
Kitakyushu3–1
Kitakyushu3–1L
FC Tokyo0–1
FC Tokyo0–1LV-varen Nagasaki0–2
V-varen Nagasaki0–2L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
8.6
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | JEF United | Nagoya Grampus | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 45% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 36% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 27% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 18% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 18% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 18% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 18% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | JEF United | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 18% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 73% | 27% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
JEF United
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Nagoya Grampus
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
26/11/17JEF United Chiba
Nagoya Grampus
4–2JEF United Chiba11/11/17JEF United Chiba
Nagoya Grampus
0–3JEF United Chiba11/03/17Nagoya Grampus
JEF United Chiba
2–0Nagoya Grampus| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
JEF United- ●JEF United Chiba have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of JEF United Chiba's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of JEF United Chiba's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●JEF United Chiba have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Nagoya Grampus- ●Nagoya Grampus have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
JEF UnitedDACerezo Osaka2–2
Cerezo Osaka2–2LAUrawa2–3
Urawa2–3DHYokohama F. Marinos0–0
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0DHV-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1LAShimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2DATokyo Verdy1–1
Tokyo Verdy1–1–HAvispa Fukuoka01/11
Avispa Fukuoka01/11–HMito Hollyhock08/11
Mito Hollyhock08/11–AKashiwa Reysol20/11
Kashiwa Reysol20/11Nagoya GrampusDHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WAKashiwa Reysol3–1
Kashiwa Reysol3–1WAKawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1LAFC Tokyo0–1
FC Tokyo0–1LAV-varen Nagasaki0–2
V-varen Nagasaki0–2–AVissel Kobe31/10
Vissel Kobe31/10–HKyoto Sanga07/11
Kyoto Sanga07/11–ATokyo Verdy21/11
Tokyo Verdy21/11Top Scorers
JEF UnitedErison Danilo de Souza2 ⚽
K. Tanaka2 ⚽
Takumi Tsukui2 ⚽
Makoto Himeno1 ⚽
Matheus Salgueiro Pains1 ⚽
Ken Yamura1 ⚽
Nagoya GrampusYuya Yamagishi3 ⚽
K. Nakayama1 ⚽
Katsuhiro Nakayama1 ⚽
M. Ono1 ⚽
S. Inagaki1 ⚽
Haruya Fujii1 ⚽
Cards Given
JEF UnitedErison3 🟨
Erison Danilo de Souza3 🟨
Takumi Tsukui2 🟨
Hiroto Goya2 🟨
Taishi Taguchi2 🟨
Daichi Ishikawa1 🟨
Nagoya GrampusYota Sato2 🟨
Katsuhiro Nakayama1 🟨
Kensuke Nagai1 🟨
Ryuji Izumi1 🟨
S. Inagaki1 🟨
Sho Inagaki1 🟨