Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus — J1 League
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Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 21 November 2026. Tokyo Verdy have recorded 1 wins from 12 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Nagoya Grampus have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.42 for Nagoya Grampus. The models give Tokyo Verdy a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Nagoya Grampus win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Tokyo Verdy—
Nagoya Grampus18º
Position
12º
0.67
PPG
1.18
8%
Win %
36%
0.75
Goals / game
1.18
1.75
Conceded / game
1.55
50%
BTTS %
64%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
42%
Over 2.5 %
64%
3.7
Avg corners
4.7
8.8
Avg shots
13.3
2.4
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
14.3
Avg fouls
10.5
41.6%
Avg possession
57.5%
Home vs Away
Tokyo Verdy
Home (8)
—
Nagoya Grampus
Away (6)
0.63
PPG
1.00
13%
Win %
33%
0.75
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
38%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.7
Avg corners
4.7
8.8
Avg shots
13.3
2.4
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
41.6%
Avg possession
57.5%
Goals Scored
| Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 13% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 63% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tokyo Verdy | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tokyo Verdy | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Tokyo Verdy (H)W
Avispa Fukuoka3–1
Avispa Fukuoka3–1L
FC Tokyo0–4
FC Tokyo0–4L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2D
JEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1L
Vissel Kobe0–2
Vissel Kobe0–2L
Kashima0–2
Kashima0–2Nagoya Grampus (A)W
Kashiwa Reysol3–1
Kashiwa Reysol3–1W
Kawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
Kitakyushu3–1
Kitakyushu3–1LFC Tokyo0–1
FC Tokyo0–1L
V-varen Nagasaki0–2
V-varen Nagasaki0–2LSanfrecce Hiroshima0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
8.6
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Tokyo Verdy | Nagoya Grampus | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 45% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 36% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 27% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 18% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 18% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 18% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Tokyo Verdy | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 91% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 27% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Tokyo Verdy
43%
1
Draws
14%
3
Nagoya Grampus
43%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
13/08/25Nagoya Grampus
Tokyo Verdy
1–2Nagoya Grampus05/07/25Tokyo Verdy
Nagoya Grampus
0–0Tokyo Verdy15/03/25Nagoya Grampus
Tokyo Verdy
2–1Nagoya Grampus11/08/24Tokyo Verdy
Nagoya Grampus
1–0Tokyo Verdy22/06/24Nagoya Grampus
Tokyo Verdy
1–0Nagoya Grampus24/09/17Tokyo Verdy
Nagoya Grampus
4–1Tokyo Verdy10/06/17Nagoya Grampus
Tokyo Verdy
2–1Nagoya Grampus| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Tokyo Verdy- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●67% of Tokyo Verdy's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Tokyo Verdy's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Nagoya Grampus- ●Nagoya Grampus have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Tokyo VerdyWHAvispa Fukuoka3–1
Avispa Fukuoka3–1DAYokohama F. Marinos2–2
Yokohama F. Marinos2–2LHFC Tokyo0–4
FC Tokyo0–4LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2LAUrawa1–3
Urawa1–3DHJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1–AV-varen Nagasaki01/11
V-varen Nagasaki01/11–AShimizu S-pulse07/11
Shimizu S-pulse07/11–HNagoya Grampus21/11
Nagoya Grampus21/11Nagoya GrampusDHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WAKashiwa Reysol3–1
Kashiwa Reysol3–1WAKawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1LAFC Tokyo0–1
FC Tokyo0–1LAV-varen Nagasaki0–2
V-varen Nagasaki0–2–AVissel Kobe31/10
Vissel Kobe31/10–HKyoto Sanga07/11
Kyoto Sanga07/11–ATokyo Verdy21/11
Tokyo Verdy21/11Top Scorers
Tokyo VerdyGoki Yamada1 ⚽
Issei Kumatoriya1 ⚽
Kanya Fujimoto1 ⚽
N. Hayashi1 ⚽
Naoki Hayashi1 ⚽
S. Mizoguchi1 ⚽
Nagoya GrampusYuya Yamagishi3 ⚽
K. Nakayama1 ⚽
Katsuhiro Nakayama1 ⚽
M. Ono1 ⚽
S. Inagaki1 ⚽
Haruya Fujii1 ⚽
Cards Given
Tokyo VerdyYuya Fukuda2 🟨
Kaito Suzuki2 🟨
Itsuki Someno2 🟨
Kazunari Ichimi2 🟨
Kim Hyun-Woo1 🟨
Kanya Fujimoto1 🟨
Nagoya GrampusYota Sato2 🟨
Katsuhiro Nakayama1 🟨
Kensuke Nagai1 🟨
Ryuji Izumi1 🟨
S. Inagaki1 🟨
Sho Inagaki1 🟨