Japan · J1 League · Regular Season - 15

Gamba Osaka

15º · 0.92 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h

–

Fagiano Okayama

10º · 1.45 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 0h

Panasonic Stadium Suita·Suita·Japan·40,322

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Gamba Osaka and Fagiano Okayama meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 21 November 2026. Gamba Osaka have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Fagiano Okayama have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Gamba Osaka and 1.41 for Fagiano Okayama. The models give Gamba Osaka a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Fagiano Okayama win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Gamba Osaka

—

Fagiano Okayama

15º

Position

10º

0.92

PPG

1.45

17%

Win %

45%

1.17

Goals / game

1.27

1.75

Conceded / game

1.36

58%

BTTS %

64%

Clean sheet %

27%

50%

Over 2.5 %

73%

4.6

Avg corners

6.1

13.1

Avg shots

14.1

4.3

Avg shots on target

3.5

1.0

Avg yellow cards

1.6

11.7

Avg fouls

11.9

55.1%

Avg possession

43.8%

Home vs Away

Gamba Osaka

Home (5)

—

Fagiano Okayama

Away (5)

1.00

PPG

1.20

20%

Win %

40%

1.20

Goals / game

1.40

1.60

Conceded / game

1.60

40%

BTTS %

100%

20%

Clean sheet %

40%

Over 2.5 %

100%

4.6

Avg corners

6.1

13.1

Avg shots

14.1

4.3

Avg shots on target

3.5

1.0

Avg yellow cards

1.6

55.1%

Avg possession

43.8%

Goals Scored

	Gamba Osaka	Home	Away	Fagiano Okayama	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	58%	40%	71%	83%	67%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	42%	40%	43%	33%	33%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	8%	20%	0%	8%	17%	0%
Failed To Score	42%	60%	29%	17%	33%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Gamba Osaka	Home	Away	Fagiano Okayama	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	92%	80%	100%	75%	50%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	67%	60%	71%	58%	50%	67%
Over 2.5 Conceded	17%	20%	14%	8%	17%	0%
Clean Sheets	8%	20%	0%	25%	50%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Gamba Osaka	Fagiano Okayama
Over 0.5	92%	92%
Over 1.5	83%	83%
Over 2.5	50%	75%
Over 3.5	42%	8%
Over 4.5	8%	8%
BTTS	58%	67%
BTTS & Win	17%	25%
BTTS & Draw	33%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	50%	67%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Gamba Osaka	Fagiano Okayama
Win 1st Half	8%	8%
Draw 1st Half	50%	67%
Loss 1st Half	42%	25%
Scored 1st Half	25%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	67%	67%
Win 2nd Half	25%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	33%	42%
Loss 2nd Half	42%	25%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	58%
Conceded 2nd Half	75%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	67%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	50%

Recent Venue Form

Gamba Osaka (H)

Kyoto Sanga2–2

Tokushima Vortis5–0

Vissel Kobe0–1

Công An Nhân Dân4–1

FC Tokyo0–2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0

Fagiano Okayama (A)

Kawasaki Frontale1–2

Nagoya Grampus3–3

Avispa Fukuoka1–2

Consadole Sapporo2–1

Urawa2–1

JEF United Chiba2–1

Number of Corners

10.3

Corners / Match

12 games

League Avg

9.2

114 games

10.1

Corners / Match

11 games

Match Corners	Gamba Osaka	Fagiano Okayama	League Avg
Over 6	83%	73%	75%
Over 7	67%	64%	62%
Over 8	67%	64%	56%
Over 9	58%	55%	43%
Over 10	50%	36%	34%
Over 11	25%	36%	24%
Over 12	17%	27%	17%
Over 13	17%	18%	8%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Gamba Osaka	Fagiano Okayama
Corners Earned / Match	4.6	6.1
Corners Against / Match	5.7	4.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	92%	91%
Over 3.5 Corners For	75%	82%
Over 4.5 Corners For	50%	73%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	83%	64%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	75%	55%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	58%	36%

Head to Head · 6 matches

Gamba Osaka

33%

Draws

33%

Fagiano Okayama

33%

100%

Over 1.5

6/6

67%

Over 2.5

4/6

33%

Over 3.5

2/6

67%

BTTS

4/6

19/04/26

Gamba Osaka

2–2

Fagiano Okayama

22/02/26

Fagiano Okayama

1–2

Gamba Osaka

10/08/25

Gamba Osaka

0–3

Fagiano Okayama

26/02/25

Fagiano Okayama

2–0

Gamba Osaka

04/08/13

Fagiano Okayama

2–3

Gamba Osaka

22/06/13

Gamba Osaka

1–1

Fagiano Okayama

J1 League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	8	3	1	+20	27
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Kashiwa Reysol	12	8	1	3	+6	25
4	FC Tokyo	11	7	3	1	+13	24
5	Vissel Kobe	12	7	2	3	+7	23
6	Kashima	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Kawasaki Frontale	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Urawa	11	6	0	5	-3	18
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	11	4	5	2	+4	17
10	Fagiano Okayama	11	5	1	5	-1	16
11	Shimizu S-pulse	12	4	2	6	-10	14
12	Nagoya Grampus	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Cerezo Osaka	11	3	4	4	-7	13
14	V-varen Nagasaki	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	2	5	5	-7	11
16	Kyoto Sanga	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	1	5	6	-12	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	2	1	9	-8	7
20	JEF United Chiba	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team Insights

Gamba Osaka

●Gamba Osaka have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Gamba Osaka have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Gamba Osaka have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
●Gamba Osaka have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.

Fagiano Okayama

●Fagiano Okayama have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Fagiano Okayama have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Fagiano Okayama have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
●Fagiano Okayama have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.